Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 am on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.63
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 31 (career high), Pegula got to the 3rd round after defeating Daria Kasatkina 7-5 6-3 and Naomi Osaka 7-62 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Osaka (7-62 6-2). During the match Pegula scored 74 points vs Osaka’s 64. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pegula fired 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 57% of her first serves in, winning 73% (32/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Osaka 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (239-154). 3-1 on clay in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has a 70-51 record in the last years on clay.

The American’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Doha.

Pegula has a 20-7 win-loss record in 2021, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Rome
Pegula's Record

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 33, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-1 and Jennifer Brady w/o.

In the 2nd round, The Russian defeated Brady (w/o). During the match Alexandrova and Brady scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 31 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match.

Talking about serving, Alexandrova was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded no breaks for the entire match to put NAN% of her first serves in, win NAN% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and NAN% (/) on the 2nd serve.

The Russian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.

Ekaterina has a 12-9 win-loss record in 2021, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020. See her history.

Rome
Alexandrova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
E.Alexandrova
!
3h:03
3h:03
Time on court​
1h:15
1h:15
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
1h:15
1h:15
!
2
2
Match played
1
1
42
42
Games Played​
16
16
4
4
Set played​​
2
2
150
150
Total points​
69
69
75
75
Avg point​
69
69
59
59
Winners
23
23
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
23
23
39%
39%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
3
3
2
2
Avg Aces
3
3
5
5
Double Faults
11
11
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
!
11
11
59/79
59/79
1st won total​
23/34
23/34
!
75%
75%
1st won %
68%
68%
25/63
25/63
2nd won total​
12/26
12/26
40%
40%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
10/14
10/14
BP won
5/14
5/14
5/7
5/7
Avg BP won
5/14
5/14
!
71%
71%
Won
36%
36%
18
18
Conceded
4
4
9
9
Avg Conceded
4
4
6
6
Broken
1
1
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
12
12
Saved
3
3
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Alexandrova
Match played 2 1
Tot Set 4 2
Tot Games 42 16
Pts 150-127 69-54
Total Points 277 123
Winners 59 23
%Winners 39% 33%

Pegula played 2 matches while Alexandrova competed in 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Pegula has played 2 sets more than Alexandrova (4 vs 2). Therefore, Pegula played 26 games more than Alexandrova. Jessica scored 59 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina managed to score 23 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Alexandrova
Aces 4 3
Avg per match 2 3
1st in 79/142 34/60
%1st in 56% 57%
1st pts 59/79 23/34
%1st pts 75% 68%
2nd pts 25/63 12/26
%2nd pts 40% 46%

Pegula blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Alexandrova managed to score 3 aces . Pegula won 75% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Alexandrova
Won 10 5
Converted 10/14 5/14
% Converted 71% 36%
Conceded 18 4
Saved 12 3
% Saved 67% 75%
Times Broken 6 1

Jessica broke her opponents 10 times with a 71% conversion rate. Jessica surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R1
Kasatkina		 R2
Osaka		 Total
Score 7-5 6-3 7-62 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 21 42
pts 76-63 74-64 150-127
Total points 139 138 277
Winners 27 32 59
%Winners 36% 43% 39%
SERVE
Aces 0 4 4
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 35/65 44/77 79/142
% 1st in 54% 57% 56%
1st pts 27/35 32/44 59/79
% 1st pts 77% 73% 75%
2nd pts 10/30 15/33 25/63
% 2nd pts 33% 45% 40%
Breaks
Won 6 4 10
Converted 6/9 4/5 10/14
Converted % 67% 80% 71%
Conceded 9 9 18
Saved 5/9 7/9 12
Saved % 56% 78% 67%
Times Broken 4 2 6
Alexandrova
R1
Kostyuk		 R2
Brady		 Total
Score 6-3 6-1 w/o
Tot Set 2 – 2
Tot Games 16 – 16
pts 69-54 – 69-54
Total points 123 – 123
Winners 23 – 23
%Winners 33% – 33%
SERVE
Aces 3 – 3
Double Faults 11 – 11
1st in 34/60 – 34/60
% 1st in 57% – 57%
1st pts 23/34 – 23/34
% 1st pts 68% – 68%
2nd pts 12/26 – 12/26
% 2nd pts 46% – 46%
Breaks
Won 5 – 5
Converted 5/14 – 5/14
Converted % 36% – 36%
Conceded 4 – 4
Saved 3/4 – 3
Saved % 75% – 38%
Times Broken 1 – 1

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw

Pegula
More Stats
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Alexandrova

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