Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff will face off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 10:00 am on Pietrangeli. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.48
Cori Gauff -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Cori Gauff
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Sabalenka and Gauff (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 1-6 7-5 7-6(2) in the 2nd round in Ostrava back in 2020.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Cori Gauff – Ostrava 22-October-2020
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 4 (career high), the Belarussian got to the 3rd round after beating Sara Sorribes Tormo 7-5 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Sorribes Tormo (7-5 6-1). During the match Sabalenka scored 78 points vs Sorribes Tormo’s 58. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka struck 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Sorribes Tormo 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (210-106). 11-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a 37-25 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2 and in in Madrid where she defeated Ashleigh Barty in the final 6-0 3-6 6-4.
The Belarussian has a 25-6 win-loss record in 2021, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018 and 2019. See her history.
Cori Gauff
Ranked no. 35 (career high), Gauff reached the 3rd round after defeating Yulia Putintseva 7-5 4-6 6-4 and Maria Sakkari 6-1 1-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Cori defeated Sakkari (6-1 1-6 6-1). During the match Gauff scored 83 points vs Sakkari’s 72. Cori was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Gauff managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 66% of her first serves in, winning 68% (39/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (11/30) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Sakkari 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Gauff’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
Cori has a 16-8 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 53 |
| Pts | 78-58 | 193-173 |
| Total Points | 136 | 366 |
| Winners | 34 | 75 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Gauff competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Cori Gauff surrendered 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 4 set(s) less than Gauff (2 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 34 games less than Gauff. The Belarussian scored 34 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Cori recorded 75 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 49/84 | 124/193 |
| %1st in | 58% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 34/49 | 75/124 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 19/35 | 32/69 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 46% |
Sabalenka blasted 4 aces . Gauff scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sabalenka won 69% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 60% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 13 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 13/33 |
| % Converted | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded | 13 | 31 |
| Saved | 12 | 21 |
| % Saved | 92% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 10 |
Sabalenka broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sabalenka conceded her serve once and she saved 92% of the break points that she conceded. Gauff broke her opponents 13 times with a 39% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Sorribes Tormo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 78-58 | 78-58 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/84 | 49/84 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 34/49 | 34/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/35 | 19/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 12/13 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 92% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Gauff | ||||
| R1 Putintseva |
R2 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-4 | 6-1 1-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 21 | 53 | |
| pts | 110-101 | 83-72 | 193-173 | |
| Total points | 211 | 155 | 366 | |
| Winners | 36 | 39 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 47% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 67/106 | 57/87 | 124/193 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 36/67 | 39/57 | 75/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 54% | 68% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/39 | 11/30 | 32/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 37% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 8/19 | 5/14 | 13/33 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 36% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 23 | 8 | 31 | |
| Saved | 16/23 | 5/8 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 63% | 133% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
WWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva – Petra KvitovaKvitova (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-1 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Madison KeysKeys (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Sofia KeninKenin (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Kristina Mladenovic/Marketa VondrousovaMladenovic/Marketa Vondrousova – Lucie Hradecka/Laura SiegemundHradecka/Laura Siegemund (1-6 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Serena WilliamsWilliams (7-66 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Kristina MladenovicMladenovic (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Naomi OsakaOsaka (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Simona HalepHalep (1-6 3-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Yaroslava ShvedovaShvedova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jennifer BradyBrady (w/o) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Simona HalepHalep (1-6 3-3 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (5-6) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Angelique KerberKerber (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
