Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.7
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Casper Ruud
This will be the 4th time that Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Ruud won 4-6 6-3 7-6(5) in the quarter in Rome back in 2020.
Highlights Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini – Rome 19-September-2020
Matteo Berrettini
Ranked no. 10, the Italian reached the semifinal after defeating Fabio Fognini 6-3 6-4, Federico Delbonis 7-64 6-4 and Christian Garin 5-7 6-3 6-0.
In the quarter against Garin, Matteo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-0). During the match Berrettini scored 95 points vs Garin’s 77. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini scored 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 68% of his first serves in, winning 80% (43/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Garin 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (226-119). 7-1 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Berrettini has a 71-36 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Belgrade where he overcame Aslan Karatsev in the final 6-1 3-6 7-6(0).
The Italian has a 15-3 win-loss record in 2021, 7-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018. See his history.
Casper Ruud
Ranked no. 22 (career high), Casper got to the semifinal after defeating Felix Auger Aliassime 6-1 6-4, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-1 6-2, Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-64 6-4 and Alexander Bublik 7-5 6-1.
In the quarter, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Bublik (7-5 6-1). During the match Ruud scored 68 points vs Bublik’s 47. The Norwegian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Ruud managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Casper Ruud was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ruud broke Bublik 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Casper started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
The Norwegian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Carlo and Munich.
Ruud has a 16-5 win-loss record in 2021, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 74 |
| Pts | 236-189 | 258-191 |
| Total Points | 425 | 449 |
| Winners | 111 | 129 |
| %Winners | 47% | 50% |
Berrettini played 3 matches while Ruud competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini lost 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t lost a set so far. Berrettini has played 1 set(s) less than Ruud (7 vs 8). Therefore, Berrettini played 5 games less than Ruud. Matteo scored 111 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Casper managed to score 129 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 135/198 | 164/218 |
| %1st in | 68% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 111/135 | 129/164 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 34/63 | 33/54 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 61% |
Berrettini scored 26 aces (8.7 per match). Ruud scored 22 aces (5.5 per match). Berrettini won 82% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 11 |
| Converted | 10/25 | 11/24 |
| % Converted | 40% | 46% |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 56% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
Berrettini broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Berrettini dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Ruud broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Norwegian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Berrettini | |||||
| R2 Fognini |
R3 Delbonis |
1/4 Garin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-64 6-4 | 5-7 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 27 | 69 | |
| pts | 68-51 | 73-61 | 95-77 | 236-189 | |
| Total points | 119 | 134 | 172 | 425 | |
| Winners | 33 | 35 | 43 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 48% | 45% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 42/65 | 54/80 | 135/198 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 65% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 35/42 | 43/54 | 111/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 83% | 80% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 14/23 | 11/26 | 34/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 61% | 42% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/4 | 6/14 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 50% | 43% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 50% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Ruud | ||||||
| R1 Auger-Aliassime |
R2 Nishioka |
R3 Tsitsipas |
1/4 Bublik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | 7-64 6-4 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 23 | 19 | 74 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 55-29 | 65-65 | 68-47 | 258-191 | |
| Total points | 120 | 84 | 130 | 115 | 449 | |
| Winners | 32 | 27 | 41 | 29 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 49% | 63% | 43% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/52 | 34/44 | 51/68 | 38/54 | 164/218 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 77% | 75% | 70% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 27/34 | 41/51 | 29/38 | 129/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 79% | 80% | 76% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 6/10 | 9/17 | 12/16 | 33/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 60% | 53% | 75% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 3/9 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 80% | 100% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | – | – | 100% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLLWW
WWWWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christian GarinGarin (5-7 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Rafael NadalNadal (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alexander BublikBublik (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – John IsnerIsner (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Rafael NadalNadal (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alexander BublikBublik (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christian GarinGarin (5-7 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Dominic ThiemThiem (2-8) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
