Matteo Berrettini and Christian Garin will face off in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.59
Christian Garin -> 2.49
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Christian Garin
This will be the 3rd time that Matteo Berrettini and Christian Garin fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Berrettini won 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in Shanghai back in 2019.
Matteo Berrettini
Ranked no. 10, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Fabio Fognini 6-3 6-4 and Federico Delbonis 7-64 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Delbonis (7-64 6-4). During the match Berrettini scored 73 points vs Delbonis’s 61. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini bagged 7 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (35/42) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Delbonis twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (225-119). 6-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has a 70-36 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Belgrade where he beat Aslan Karatsev in the final 6-1 3-6 7-6(0).
The Italian has a 14-3 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018. See his history.
Christian Garin
Ranked no. 25, the Chilean got to the quarter after beating Fernando Verdasco 6-1 6-4, Dominik Koepfer 6-3 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-72 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Garin defeated Medvedev (6-4 6-72 6-1). During the match Garin scored 106 points vs Medvedev’s 91. Garin was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Garin fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Christian Garin was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (40/53) of his 1st serve and 66% (27/41) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chilean broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Santiago where he overcame Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-4 6-7(3) 7-5.
The Chilean has a 9-6 win-loss record in 2021, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 66 |
| Pts | 141-112 | 254-202 |
| Total Points | 253 | 456 |
| Winners | 68 | 97 |
| %Winners | 48% | 38% |
Berrettini played 2 matches while Garin competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Christian Garin conceded 1 set while Matteo Berrettini hasn’t dropped a set so far. Berrettini has played 3 set(s) less than Garin (4 vs 7). Therefore, Berrettini played 24 games less than Garin. The Italian scored 68 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Christian fired 97 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 81/118 | 130/227 |
| %1st in | 69% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 68/81 | 97/130 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 23/37 | 58/97 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 60% |
Berrettini recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Garin fired 10 aces (3.3 per match). Berrettini won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 10 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 36% | 45% |
| Conceded | 3 | 14 |
| Saved | 2 | 12 |
| % Saved | 67% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Matteo broke his opponents 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Matteo surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Christian conceded his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | ||||
| R2 Fognini |
R3 Delbonis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 42 | |
| pts | 68-51 | 73-61 | 141-112 | |
| Total points | 119 | 134 | 253 | |
| Winners | 33 | 35 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 42/65 | 81/118 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 65% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 35/42 | 68/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 83% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 14/23 | 23/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 61% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/4 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 50% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Garin | |||||
| R1 Verdasco |
R2 Koepfer |
R3 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-72 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 30 | 66 | |
| pts | 73-51 | 75-60 | 106-91 | 254-202 | |
| Total points | 124 | 135 | 197 | 456 | |
| Winners | 28 | 29 | 40 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/65 | 36/68 | 53/94 | 130/227 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 53% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 29/36 | 40/53 | 97/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 81% | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 14/32 | 27/41 | 58/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 44% | 66% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/10 | 3/9 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 33% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | 100% | 130% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWL
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Alexander BublikBublik – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Christian GarinGarin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 6-72 6-1) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Andrey RublevRublev (7-64 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Alexander ZverevZverev (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – John IsnerIsner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christian GarinGarin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
