Casper Ruud and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.33
Alexander Bublik -> 3.58
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 2nd time that Casper Ruud and Alexander Bublik square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Ruud won 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in St petersburg back in 2019.
Casper Ruud
Ranked no. 22 (career high), Casper got to the quarter after beating Felix Auger Aliassime 6-1 6-4, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-1 6-2 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-64 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (7-64 6-4). During the match Ruud and Tsitsipas scored the same amount of points (65). However, the world no. 22 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Ruud was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ruud blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Casper Ruud was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (41/51) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Casper was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Tsitsipas once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Casper started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (229-141). 10-3 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ruud has a 150-80 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Ruud’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Carlo and Munich.
Ruud has a 15-5 win-loss record in 2021, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See his history.
Alexander Bublik
Ranked no. 44, the Kazakhstani reached the quarter after defeating Marton Fucsovics 7-65 6-3, Denis Shapovalov 6-4 5-7 6-4 and Aslan Karatsev 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Bublik had a good straight sets win against Karatsev (6-4 6-3). During the match Bublik scored 66 points vs Karatsev’s 55. Alexander was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Bublik made 14 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 65% of his first serves in, winning 79% (37/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (9/25) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Karatsev 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Bublik’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Antalya and Singapore.
The Kazakhstani has a 19-11 win-loss record in 2021, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 73 |
| Pts | 190-144 | 256-225 |
| Total Points | 334 | 481 |
| Winners | 100 | 121 |
| %Winners | 53% | 47% |
Both Ruud and Bublik played 3 matches. At the moment, Alexander Bublik lost 1 set while Casper Ruud hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Bublik (6 vs 7). Therefore, Ruud played 18 games less than Bublik. Casper scored 100 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani managed to score 121 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 5.7 | 10.7 |
| 1st in | 126/164 | 161/248 |
| %1st in | 77% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 100/126 | 121/161 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 21/38 | 44/87 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 51% |
Ruud scored 17 aces (5.7 per match). Bublik recorded 32 aces (10.7 per match). Ruud won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/15 | 8/26 |
| % Converted | 53% | 31% |
| Conceded | 0 | 18 |
| Saved | 0 | 14 |
| % Saved | NAN% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Norwegian broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Casper was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||||
| R1 Auger-Aliassime |
R2 Nishioka |
R3 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 23 | 55 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 55-29 | 65-65 | 190-144 | |
| Total points | 120 | 84 | 130 | 334 | |
| Winners | 32 | 27 | 41 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 49% | 63% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/52 | 34/44 | 51/68 | 126/164 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 77% | 75% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 27/34 | 41/51 | 100/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 79% | 80% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 6/10 | 9/17 | 21/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 60% | 53% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 80% | 100% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bublik | |||||
| R1 Fucsovics |
R2 Shapovalov |
R3 Karatsev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 32 | 19 | 73 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 112-104 | 66-55 | 256-225 | |
| Total points | 144 | 216 | 121 | 481 | |
| Winners | 38 | 46 | 37 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 41% | 56% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 52/75 | 62/101 | 47/72 | 161/248 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 61% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 38/52 | 46/62 | 37/47 | 121/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 74% | 79% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 21/39 | 9/25 | 44/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 54% | 36% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/14 | 3/7 | 8/26 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 21% | 43% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/6 | 7/8 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 88% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLLLWL
LWLLLLWLLL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Christian GarinGarin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 6-72 6-1) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Andrey RublevRublev (7-64 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Alexander ZverevZverev (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – John IsnerIsner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Christian GarinGarin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
