H2H, PREDICTION Rafael Nadal vs Alexander Zverev | Madrid odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Madrid. Nadal and Zverev will fight against each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Alexander Zverev

Rafael Nadal and Alexander Zverev will play each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 8th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.34
Alexander Zverev -> 3.52

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See Updated Draw

Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Alexander Zverev

This will be the 8th time that Rafael Nadal and Alexander Zverev clash against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Zverev won 6-4 7-5 in the semifinal in Paris back in 2020.

Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal – Paris 07-November-2020

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 2, Nadal reached the quarter after beating Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 6-1 6-2 and Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-3 6-3). During the match Nadal scored 57 points vs Popyrin’s 45. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nadal scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (25/35) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rafael broke Popyrin 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nadal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 61% of the points he played.

Nadal has a superlative win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (476-90). 9-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has a 223-23 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in in Barcelona where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 7-5.

Rafael has a 13-2 win-loss record in 2021, 9-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, he won this tournament 5 times in 2005, 2010, 2013, 2014 and 2017. See his history.

Nadal
Madrid
Nadal's Record

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 6, Zverev reached the quarter after beating Kei Nishikori 6-3 6-2 and Daniel Evans 6-3 7-63.

In the 3rd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Evans (6-3 7-63). During the match Zverev scored 71 points vs Evans’s 61. The German was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Zverev blasted 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was very effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The German broke Evans twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zverev started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in in Acapulco where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 7-6(3).

Alexander has a 13-7 win-loss record in 2021, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Zverev
Madrid
Zverev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

R.Nadal
A.Zverev
2h:36
2h:36
Time on court​
2h:51
2h:51
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
1h:37
1h:37
2
2
Match played
2
2
33
33
Games Played​
39
39
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
113
113
Total points​
132
132
56.5
56.5
Avg point​
66
66
46
46
Winners
56
56
23
23
Avg Winners​
28
28
41%
41%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
12
12
1
1
Avg Aces
6
6
3
3
Double Faults
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
46/61
46/61
1st won total​
56/72
56/72
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
23/39
23/39
2nd won total​
26/44
26/44
59%
59%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
9/13
9/13
BP won
6/14
6/14
4.5/6.5
4.5/6.5
Avg BP won
3/7
3/7
!
69%
69%
Won
43%
43%
9
9
Conceded
5
5
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
2.5
2.5
2
2
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
7
7
Saved
3
3
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Zverev
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 33 39
Pts 113-72 132-103
Total Points 185 235
Winners 46 56
%Winners 41% 42%

Both Nadal and Zverev played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nadal and Zverev have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Nadal played 6 games less than Zverev. Rafael scored 46 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 56 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Zverev
Aces 2 12
Avg per match 1 6
1st in 61/100 72/116
%1st in 61% 62%
1st pts 46/61 56/72
%1st pts 75% 78%
2nd pts 23/39 26/44
%2nd pts 59% 59%

Nadal scored 2 aces (1 per match). Zverev recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Nadal won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Zverev
Won 9 6
Converted 9/13 6/14
% Converted 69% 43%
Conceded 9 5
Saved 7 3
% Saved 78% 60%
Times Broken 2 2

The Spaniard broke his opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Nadal surrendered his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Zverev broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R2
Alcaraz		 R3
Popyrin		 Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 18 33
pts 56-27 57-45 113-72
Total points 83 102 185
Winners 21 25 46
%Winners 38% 44% 41%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 2
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 26/45 35/55 61/100
% 1st in 58% 64% 61%
1st pts 21/26 25/35 46/61
% 1st pts 81% 71% 75%
2nd pts 11/19 12/20 23/39
% 2nd pts 58% 60% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/7 4/6 9/13
Converted % 71% 67% 69%
Conceded 3 6 9
Saved 2/3 5/6 7
Saved % 67% 83% 75%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Zverev
R2
Nishikori		 R3
Evans		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-3 7-63
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 22 39
pts 61-42 71-61 132-103
Total points 103 132 235
Winners 24 32 56
%Winners 39% 45% 42%
SERVE
Aces 5 7 12
Double Faults 0 6 6
1st in 32/49 40/67 72/116
% 1st in 65% 60% 62%
1st pts 24/32 32/40 56/72
% 1st pts 75% 80% 78%
2nd pts 11/17 15/27 26/44
% 2nd pts 65% 56% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 2 6
Converted 4/10 2/4 6/14
Converted % 40% 50% 43%
Conceded 3 2 5
Saved 2/3 1/2 3
Saved % 67% 50% 59%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Head 2 Head

Rafael Nadal
  • 22Slam
  • 92Main
  • 2Chall
  • 0Minor
Alexander Zverev
  • 0Slam
  • 23Main
  • 2Chall
  • 0Minor

Rafael
Nadal

7:4

Alexander
Zverev

Rank

264

High

1

2Hard0

5Clay2

0I.hard2

Rank

4

High

2

Win Loss
Nadal
LLWLWWWLWL
Zverev
LWWWWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
7 - 5
34 - 10
2-1
Hard
18-6
5-4
Clay
16-4

Tennis Scores in Madrid

See Updated Draw

Upcoming matches in the draw
Nadal
Rafael Nadal
More Stats
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Zverev
Alexander Zverev