Daniil Medvedev and Christian Garin will face off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.75
Christian Garin -> 2.18
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Christian Garin
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Christian Garin clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 6-3 6-3 in the 3rd round in Montreal back in 2019.
Daniil Medvedev
Ranked no. 3, Daniil got to the 3rd round after beating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 4-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Davidovich Fokina, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Medvedev scored 99 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 83. Medvedev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 77% of his first serves in, winning 70% (45/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Davidovich Fokina 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Medvedev has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of his matches (334-151). 1-0 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a 60-35 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Marseille where he beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4.
Daniil has a 18-3 win-loss record in 2021, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018 and 2019. See his history.
Christian Garin
Ranked no. 25, Garin got to the 3rd round after defeating Fernando Verdasco 6-1 6-4 and Dominik Koepfer 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Christian had a good straight sets win against Koepfer (6-3 6-4). During the match Garin scored 75 points vs Koepfer’s 60. The Chilean was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Garin bagged 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Christian Garin lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 53% of his first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Koepfer 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Santiago where he overcame Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-4 6-7(3) 7-5.
Christian has a 8-6 win-loss record in 2021, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 36 |
| Pts | 99-83 | 148-111 |
| Total Points | 182 | 259 |
| Winners | 45 | 57 |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% |
Medvedev played 1 match while Garin competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev dropped 1 set while Christian Garin hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Garin (3 vs 4). Therefore, Medvedev played 8 games less than Garin. Daniil scored 45 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Christian blasted 57 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 64/83 | 77/133 |
| %1st in | 77% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 45/64 | 57/77 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 31/56 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 55% |
Medvedev struck 5 aces . Garin managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Medvedev won 70% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 7/13 |
| % Converted | 31% | 54% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 63% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Daniil broke his opponent 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Garin broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 99-83 | 99-83 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 64/83 | 64/83 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 45/64 | 45/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Garin | ||||
| R1 Verdasco |
R2 Koepfer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 73-51 | 75-60 | 148-111 | |
| Total points | 124 | 135 | 259 | |
| Winners | 28 | 29 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/65 | 36/68 | 77/133 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 53% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 29/36 | 57/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 81% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 14/32 | 31/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 44% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/10 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | 3/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | 160% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLWWWL
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benoit PairePaire (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Jannik SinnerSinner (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-4 6-74 7-66) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (2-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Federico DelbonisDelbonis – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Kei NishikoriNishikori (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – John MillmanMillman (6-75 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Christian GarinGarin – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tommy PaulPaul (6-75 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-2 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Marcos GironGiron (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Jannik SinnerSinner (7-6(5) 6-2) – See score progression
- John IsnerIsner – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-4 6-7(4) 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Benoit PairePaire (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- John IsnerIsner – Andrey RublevRublev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel EvansEvans – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Federico DelbonisDelbonis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
