Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens will fight against each other in the quarter of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 7th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.63
Elise Mertens -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but Mertens leads 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Sabalenka won 7-5 6-2 in the final in Linz back in 2020.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens – Linz 15-November-2020
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 7 (career high), the Belarussian got to the quarter after defeating Vera Zvonareva 6-1 6-2, Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-3 and Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Pegula (6-1 6-2). During the match Sabalenka scored 55 points vs Pegula’s 32. The Belarussian was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 8 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 61% of her first serves in, winning 86% (24/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Pegula 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 61% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (206-106). 7-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a 33-25 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Abu Dhabi where she beat Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2.
Aryna has a 21-6 win-loss record in 2021, 7-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018 and 2019. See her history.
Elise Mertens
Ranked no. 16, the Belgian reached the quarter after defeating Shuai Zhang 6-3 6-3, Elena Rybakina 7-64 7-5 and Simona Halep 4-6 7-5 7-5.
In the 3rd round against Halep, Mertens recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 7-5). During the match Mertens scored 109 points vs Halep’s 102. Mertens was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Mertens managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 7 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 63% of her first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 34% (12/35) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Halep 8 times after converting 53% of her break points (8/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Melbourne where she overcame Kaia Kanepi in the final 6-4 6-1.
Elise has a 20-5 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 77 |
| Pts | 191-123 | 275-241 |
| Total Points | 314 | 516 |
| Winners | 69 | 106 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Both Sabalenka and Mertens played 3 matches. At the moment, Elise Mertens surrendered 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Mertens (6 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 29 games less than Mertens. Aryna scored 69 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian struck 106 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 94/166 | 156/243 |
| %1st in | 57% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 69/94 | 106/156 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 41/72 | 34/87 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 39% |
Sabalenka bagged 12 aces (4 per match). Mertens recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Sabalenka won 73% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 19 |
| Converted | 13/24 | 19/41 |
| % Converted | 54% | 46% |
| Conceded | 7 | 29 |
| Saved | 5 | 15 |
| % Saved | 71% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 14 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Aryna surrendered her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Belgian broke her opponents 19 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R1 Zvonareva |
R2 Kasatkina |
R3 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 | 15 | 48 | |
| pts | 63-37 | 73-54 | 55-32 | 191-123 | |
| Total points | 100 | 127 | 87 | 314 | |
| Winners | 18 | 27 | 24 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 37% | 44% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 30/56 | 36/64 | 28/46 | 94/166 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 56% | 61% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 18/30 | 27/36 | 24/28 | 69/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 75% | 86% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 14/28 | 9/18 | 41/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 50% | 50% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/10 | 4/5 | 13/24 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 40% | 80% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Mertens | |||||
| R1 Zhang |
R2 Rybakina |
R3 Halep |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-64 7-5 | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 | 34 | 77 | |
| pts | 65-48 | 101-91 | 109-102 | 275-241 | |
| Total points | 113 | 192 | 211 | 516 | |
| Winners | 30 | 35 | 41 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 35% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 40/58 | 56/90 | 60/95 | 156/243 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 62% | 63% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 35/56 | 41/60 | 106/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 63% | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/18 | 15/34 | 12/35 | 34/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 44% | 34% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 6/20 | 8/15 | 19/41 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 30% | 53% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 14 | 10 | 29 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 9/14 | 3/10 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 64% | 30% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
LWLWLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-0 6-79 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Simona HalepHalep (4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Jennifer BradyBrady (7-5 6-78 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-62 4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-70 7-63 6-0) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Jennifer BradyBrady (7-5 6-7(8) 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-0 6-7(9) 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Petra KvitovaKvitova (4-5) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Belinda BencicBencic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
