Elise Mertens and Elena Rybakina will square off in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 7:30 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.55
Elena Rybakina -> 2.52
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Elena Rybakina
This will be the 2nd time that Elise Mertens and Elena Rybakina fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Rybakina won 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the quarter in Shenzhen back in 2020.
Elise Mertens
Ranked no. 16, Mertens got to the 2nd round after defeating Shuai Zhang 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-3 6-3). During the match Mertens scored 65 points vs Zhang’s 48. Mertens was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mertens made 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 69% of her first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Zhang 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Mertens has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 66% of her matches (355-181). 5-2 on clay in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has a 86-47 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Melbourne where she overcame Kaia Kanepi in the final 6-4 6-1.
The Belgian has a 18-5 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018. See her history.
Elena Rybakina
Ranked no. 22, Elena got to the 2nd round after beating Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 6-0.
In the 1st round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Tomljanovic (6-4 6-0). During the match Rybakina scored 58 points vs Tomljanovic’s 40. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Rybakina struck 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elena Rybakina lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 60% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Elena has a 8-8 win-loss record in 2021, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 |
| Pts | 65-48 | 58-40 |
| Total Points | 113 | 98 |
| Winners | 30 | 22 |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% |
Both Mertens and Rybakina played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mertens and Rybakina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mertens played 2 games more than Rybakina. Mertens scored 30 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Elena blasted 22 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 2 |
| 1st in | 40/58 | 32/53 |
| %1st in | 69% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 22/32 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 7/18 | 11/21 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 52% |
Mertens scored 6 aces . Rybakina made 2 aces . Mertens won 75% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 83% | 56% |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 60% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Elise broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Elena broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | |||
| R1 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-48 | 65-48 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 40/58 | 40/58 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/18 | 7/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Rybakina | |||
| R1 Tomljanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 58-40 | 58-40 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/53 | 32/53 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/32 | 22/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLWWWL
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- Elise MertensMertens – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (4-4) – H2H and prediction
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