Anastasija Sevastova and Ana Bogdan will square off in the 1st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on Stadium 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ana Bogdan who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ana Bogdan is the pick to win this match.
Ana Bogdan -> 1.92
Anastasija Sevastova -> 1.92

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Prediction and head to head Anastasija Sevastova vs. Ana Bogdan

This will be the 4th time that Anastasija Sevastova and Ana Bogdan fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Bogdan (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Bogdan won 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the 1st round in Melbourne back in February 2021.

Anastasija Sevastova

Ranked no. 54, Sevastova got to the 1st round after defeating Tsvetana Pironkova 3-6 6-4 6-3 and Marta Kostyuk 6-1 7-5.

In the qualifications, Anastasija had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-1 7-5). During the match Sevastova scored 70 points vs Kostyuk’s 50. Sevastova was pretty aggressive to blast 14 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sevastova scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Anastasija Sevastova lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Sevastova put 55% of her first serves in, winning 61% (14/23) of the points behind her 1st serve and 79% (15/19) on the 2nd serve. Sevastova broke Kostyuk 6 times after converting 33% of her break points (6/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Anastasija started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.

Sevastova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (256-149). 3-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sevastova has a 119-51 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The Latvian has a 12-8 win-loss record in 2021, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017. See her history.

Madrid
Sevastova's Record

Ana Bogdan

Ranked no. 102, Ana got to the 1st round after defeating Katerina Siniakova 7-67 7-5 and Nao Hibino 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the qualifications against Hibino, The Romanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Bogdan scored 94 points vs Hibino’s 84. Ana was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Bogdan made 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ana Bogdan lost the serve 7 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bogdan put 62% of her first serves in, winning 58% (34/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Hibino 8 times after converting 62% of her break points (8/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bogdan started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Bogdan has a 8-6 win-loss record in 2021, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Madrid
Bogdan's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sevastova
A.Bogdan
3h:03
3h:03
Time on court​
4h:03
4h:03
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
!
2h:06
2h:06
2
2
Match played
2
2
47
47
Games Played​
54
54
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
171
171
Total points​
181
181
85.5
85.5
Avg point​
90.5
90.5
46
46
Winners
73
73
23
23
Avg Winners​
36.5
36.5
27%
27%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
4
4
0.5
0.5
Avg Aces
2
2
5
5
Double Faults
2
2
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
46/76
46/76
1st won total​
73/113
73/113
61%
61%
1st won %
65%
65%
39/65
39/65
2nd won total​
32/68
32/68
60%
60%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
12/30
12/30
BP won
11/20
11/20
6/15
6/15
Avg BP won
5.5/10
5.5/10
40%
40%
Won
!
55%
55%
17
17
Conceded
17
17
8.5
8.5
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
7
7
Broken
9
9
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
!
4.5
4.5
10
10
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sevastova Bogdan
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 47 54
Pts 171-143 181-165
Total Points 314 346
Winners 46 73
%Winners 27% 40%

Both Sevastova and Bogdan played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Anastasija Sevastova lost 1 set, while Ana Bogdan lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sevastova and Bogdan have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sevastova played 7 games less than Bogdan. Anastasija scored 46 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian struck 73 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sevastova Bogdan
Aces 1 4
Avg per match 0.5 2
1st in 76/141 113/181
%1st in 54% 62%
1st pts 46/76 73/113
%1st pts 61% 65%
2nd pts 39/65 32/68
%2nd pts 60% 47%

Sevastova fired 1 ace (0.5 per match). Bogdan also fired 4 aces (2 per match). Sevastova won 61% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Bogdan won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sevastova Bogdan
Won 12 11
Converted 12/30 11/20
% Converted 40% 55%
Conceded 17 17
Saved 10 8
% Saved 59% 47%
Times Broken 7 9

Anastasija broke her opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Latvian surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Ana broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Bogdan conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.

Sevastova
Q1
Pironkova		 Q3
Kostyuk		 Total
Score 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-1 7-5
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 28 19 47
pts 101-93 70-50 171-143
Total points 194 120 314
Winners 32 14 46
%Winners 32% 20% 27%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 1
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 53/99 23/42 76/141
% 1st in 54% 55% 54%
1st pts 32/53 14/23 46/76
% 1st pts 60% 61% 61%
2nd pts 24/46 15/19 39/65
% 2nd pts 52% 79% 60%
Breaks
Won 6 6 12
Converted 6/12 6/18 12/30
Converted % 50% 33% 40%
Conceded 15 2 17
Saved 10/15 0/2 10
Saved % 67% 0% 34%
Times Broken 5 2 7
Bogdan
Q1
Siniakova		 Q3
Hibino		 Total
Score 7-67 7-5 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 25 29 54
pts 87-81 94-84 181-165
Total points 168 178 346
Winners 39 34 73
%Winners 45% 36% 40%
SERVE
Aces 1 3 4
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 54/86 59/95 113/181
% 1st in 63% 62% 62%
1st pts 39/54 34/59 73/113
% 1st pts 72% 58% 65%
2nd pts 14/32 18/36 32/68
% 2nd pts 44% 50% 47%
Breaks
Won 3 8 11
Converted 3/7 8/13 11/20
Converted % 43% 62% 55%
Conceded 5 12 17
Saved 3/5 5/12 8
Saved % 60% 42% 51%
Times Broken 2 7 9

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sevastova
More Stats
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Bogdan

Click for FULL STATS