Anastasija Sevastova and Ana Bogdan will square off in the 1^st round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4^th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on Stadium 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ana Bogdan who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ana Bogdan is the pick to win this match.
Ana Bogdan -> 1.92
Anastasija Sevastova -> 1.92

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This will be the 4^th time that Anastasija Sevastova and Ana Bogdan fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Bogdan (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Bogdan won 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the 1^st round in Melbourne back in February 2021.

Anastasija Sevastova

Ranked no. 54, Sevastova got to the 1^st round after defeating Tsvetana Pironkova 3-6 6-4 6-3 and Marta Kostyuk 6-1 7-5.

In the qualifications, Anastasija had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-1 7-5). During the match Sevastova scored 70 points vs Kostyuk’s 50. Sevastova was pretty aggressive to blast 14 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sevastova scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Anastasija Sevastova lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Sevastova put 55% of her first serves in, winning 61% (14/23) of the points behind her 1st serve and 79% (15/19) on the 2nd serve. Sevastova broke Kostyuk 6 times after converting 33% of her break points (6/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Anastasija started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.

Sevastova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (256-149). 3-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sevastova has a 119-51 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The Latvian has a 12-8 win-loss record in 2021, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017. See her history.

Madrid

Sevastova's Record

Ana Bogdan

Ranked no. 102, Ana got to the 1^st round after defeating Katerina Siniakova 7-6⁷ 7-5 and Nao Hibino 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the qualifications against Hibino, The Romanian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Bogdan scored 94 points vs Hibino’s 84. Ana was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Bogdan made 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ana Bogdan lost the serve 7 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bogdan put 62% of her first serves in, winning 58% (34/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. The Romanian broke Hibino 8 times after converting 62% of her break points (8/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bogdan started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Bogdan has a 8-6 win-loss record in 2021, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Madrid

Bogdan's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Sevastova and Bogdan played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Anastasija Sevastova lost 1 set, while Ana Bogdan lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sevastova and Bogdan have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sevastova played 7 games less than Bogdan. Anastasija scored 46 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian struck 73 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Sevastova fired 1 ace (0.5 per match). Bogdan also fired 4 aces (2 per match). Sevastova won 61% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Bogdan won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Anastasija broke her opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Latvian surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Ana broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Bogdan conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 4Main
• 9ITF
• 4Minor

• 0Slam
• 0Main
• 10ITF
• 7Minor

Anastasija
Sevastova

2:2

Ana
Bogdan

Rank

188

High

11

0Hard1

2Clay1

Rank

451

High

39

Win Loss

Sevastova

LWLWWLLWLL

Bogdan

LLWLLWLLLW

2025 2024 2023

13 - 14

6 - 10

5-5

Hard

2-2

3-2

I Hard

1-1

5-5

Clay

2-6

0-2

Grass

1-1

Tennis Scores in Madrid

• Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Su-Wei HsiehHsieh (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings

• Ashleigh BartyBarty – Shelby RogersRogers (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Su-Wei HsiehHsieh – Tamara ZidansekZidansek (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Kateryna KozlovaKozlova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alison RiskeRiske – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Petra KvitovaKvitova – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Angelique KerberKerber – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Elena VesninaVesnina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ana BogdanBogdan – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Johanna KontaKonta (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Sloane StephensStephens (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Yaroslava ShvedovaShvedova – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Petra MarticMartic – Bernarda PeraPera (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Kristina MladenovicMladenovic – Belinda BencicBencic (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-7) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Shuai ZhangZhang (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Saisai ZhengZheng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Simona HalepHalep (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Madison KeysKeys (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Svetlana KuznetsovaKuznetsova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Venus WilliamsWilliams – Jennifer BradyBrady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nina StojanovicStojanovic – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Qiang WangWang – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Misaki DoiDoi – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction

Sevastova

More Stats

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Bogdan