Anastasija Sevastova and Marta Kostyuk will play each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on Stadium 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marta Kostyuk is the pick to win this match.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.61
Anastasija Sevastova -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Anastasija Sevastova vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 2nd time that Anastasija Sevastova and Marta Kostyuk fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kostyuk (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Kostyuk won 6-3 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2020.
Highlights Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasija Sevastova – U.S. Open 02-September-2020
Anastasija Sevastova
Ranked no. 54, Anastasija reached the qualifications after beating Tsvetana Pironkova 3-6 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications against Pironkova, Anastasija recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Sevastova scored 101 points vs Pironkova’s 93. Anastasija was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sevastova couldn’t to score even 1 ace and she committed only 3 double faults. Anastasija Sevastova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Sevastova put 54% of her first serves in, winning 60% (32/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (24/46) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Pironkova 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Sevastova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (255-149). 2-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sevastova has a 118-51 record in the last years on clay.
Anastasija has a 11-8 win-loss record in 2021, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017. See her history.
Marta Kostyuk
Ranked no. 77 (career high), Kostyuk reached the qualifications after beating Margarita Gasparyan 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, Marta had a good straight sets win against Gasparyan (6-4 6-1). During the match Kostyuk scored 74 points vs Gasparyan’s 57. Marta was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Kostyuk fired 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Gasparyan 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Kostyuk’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Abu Dhabi and Istanbul.
Kostyuk has a 10-5 win-loss record in 2021, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sevastova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 |
| Pts | 101-93 | 74-57 |
| Total Points | 194 | 131 |
| Winners | 32 | 29 |
| %Winners | 32% | 39% |
Both Sevastova and Kostyuk played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Anastasija Sevastova lost 1 set while Marta Kostyuk hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sevastova has played 1 set more than Kostyuk (3 vs 2). Therefore, Sevastova played 11 games more than Kostyuk. Sevastova scored 32 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian bagged 29 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sevastova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2 |
| 1st in | 53/99 | 43/67 |
| %1st in | 54% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 32/53 | 29/43 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 12/24 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 50% |
Sevastova didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kostyuk fired 2 aces . Sevastova won 60% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sevastova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 15 | 9 |
| Saved | 10 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Anastasija broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sevastova surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Kostyuk broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Marta conceded her serve once and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sevastova | |||
| Q1 Pironkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 101-93 | 101-93 | |
| Total points | 194 | 194 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 53/99 | 53/99 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 32/53 | 32/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 24/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 | |
| Saved | 10/15 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Kostyuk | |||
| Q1 Gasparyan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 74-57 | 74-57 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 43/67 | 43/67 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 29/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 12/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWW
LWLLWWLWWL Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Simona HalepHalep (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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- Venus WilliamsWilliams – Jennifer BradyBrady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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