Matteo Berrettini and Aslan Karatsev will square off in the final of the Serbia Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.72
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.10
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Aslan Karatsev
There is no head to head record between Matteo Berrettini and Aslan Karatsev since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Matteo Berrettini
Ranked no. 10, Berrettini reached the final after defeating Marco Cecchinato 6-4 6-3, Filip Krajinovic 6-4 6-4 and Taro Daniel 6-1 6-75 6-0.
In the semifinal, Berrettini defeated Daniel (6-1 6-75 6-0). During the match Berrettini scored 102 points vs Daniel’s 68. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini fired 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was quite effective on serve to win 79% (41/52) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matteo broke Daniel 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (222-119). 3-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Berrettini has a 67-36 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Belgrade.
The Italian has a 11-3 win-loss record in 2021, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Belgrade
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Aslan Karatsev
Ranked no. 28, Aslan got to the final after defeating Aljaz Bedene 6-3 4-6 7-65, Gianluca Mager 6-3 6-4 and Novak Djokovic 7-5 4-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Karatsev defeated Djokovic (7-5 4-6 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 127 points vs Djokovic’s 124. Karatsev was very aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about serving, Karatsev scored 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Aslan Karatsev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 23 break points. Furthermore, Karatsev put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (54/85) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (22/50) on the 2nd serve. Aslan broke Djokovic 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aslan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Dubai where he overcame Lloyd Harris in the final 6-3 6-2.
Karatsev has a 20-4 win-loss record in 2021, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 83 |
| Pts | 235-173 | 292-273 |
| Total Points | 408 | 565 |
| Winners | 106 | 118 |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% |
Both Berrettini and Karatsev played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Berrettini lost 1 set, while Aslan Karatsev dropped 2 sets. Berrettini has played 1 set(s) less than Karatsev (7 vs 8). Therefore, Berrettini played 18 games less than Karatsev. The Italian scored 106 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 118 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 5 |
| 1st in | 133/196 | 179/298 |
| %1st in | 68% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 106/133 | 118/179 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 36/63 | 61/119 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 51% |
Berrettini blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Karatsev blasted 15 aces (5 per match). Berrettini won 80% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Karatsev won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Karatsev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 13 |
| Converted | 11/30 | 13/32 |
| % Converted | 37% | 41% |
| Conceded | 11 | 36 |
| Saved | 10 | 26 |
| % Saved | 91% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 10 |
Matteo broke his opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Berrettini conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Karatsev broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. Karatsev conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | |||||
| R2 Cecchinato |
1/4 Krajinovic |
1/2 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-75 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 26 | 65 | |
| pts | 66-53 | 67-52 | 102-68 | 235-173 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | 170 | 408 | |
| Winners | 31 | 34 | 41 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 51% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 9 | 10 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 39/57 | 42/62 | 52/77 | 133/196 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 31/39 | 34/42 | 41/52 | 106/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 81% | 79% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 11/20 | 15/25 | 36/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 55% | 60% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 2/6 | 6/13 | 11/30 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 33% | 46% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 6/6 | 1/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 50% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Karatsev | |||||
| R2 Bedene |
1/4 Mager |
1/2 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 7-65 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 19 | 32 | 83 | |
| pts | 99-96 | 66-53 | 127-124 | 292-273 | |
| Total points | 195 | 119 | 251 | 565 | |
| Winners | 38 | 26 | 54 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 0 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 59/101 | 35/62 | 85/135 | 179/298 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 56% | 63% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 38/59 | 26/35 | 54/85 | 118/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 74% | 64% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/42 | 14/27 | 22/50 | 61/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 52% | 44% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/7 | 6/16 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 43% | 38% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 28 | 36 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 0/1 | 23/28 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 0% | 82% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
