Ashleigh Barty and Aryna Sabalenka will face off in the final of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 7th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ashleigh Barty who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ashleigh Barty is the pick to win this match.
Ashleigh Barty -> 1.77
Aryna Sabalenka -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This will be the 7th time that Ashleigh Barty and Aryna Sabalenka face off. The head to head is 3-3 for Barty and Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Barty won 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 in the quarter in Miami back in March 2021.
Highlights Ashleigh Barty vs Aryna Sabalenka – Miami 30-March-2021
Ashleigh Barty
Currently world no. 1 Barty reached the final after defeating Laura Siegemund 6-0 7-5, Karolina Pliskova 2-6 6-1 7-5 and Elina Svitolina 4-6 7-65 6-2.
In the semifinal against Svitolina, Ashleigh recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-2). During the match Barty scored 95 points vs Svitolina’s 88. Barty was extremely aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Barty scored just 1 ace in the match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults. Ashleigh Barty lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Barty put 70% of her first serves in, winning 79% (49/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Ashleigh broke Svitolina 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Barty started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Barty has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 74% of her matches (262-91). 5-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Barty has a 50-23 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in in Melbourne where she overcame Garbine Muguruza in the final 7-6(3) 6-4 and in in Miami where she defeated Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-3 4-0 ret..
Barty has a 19-3 win-loss record in 2021, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Barty has never competed in this tournament before.
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 7 (career high), Aryna got to the final after defeating Shuai Zhang 6-2 6-2, Anna-Lena Friedsam 6-4 6-2, Anett Kontaveit 7-5 4-6 6-1 and Simona Halep 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Halep (6-3 6-2). During the match Sabalenka scored 68 points vs Halep’s 46. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Sabalenka bagged 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Aryna Sabalenka was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of her 1st serve and 81% (13/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sabalenka broke Halep 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2.
Sabalenka has a 18-5 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Barty | Sabalenka |
---|---|---|
Match played | 3 | 4 |
Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
Tot Games | 76 | 80 |
Pts | 256-212 | 312-247 |
Total Points | 468 | 559 |
Winners | 103 | 131 |
%Winners | 40% | 42% |
Barty played 3 matches while Sabalenka competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ashleigh Barty dropped 2 sets, while Aryna Sabalenka dropped 1 set. Barty has played 1 set(s) less than Sabalenka (8 vs 9). Therefore, Barty played 4 games less than Sabalenka. Barty scored 103 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Sabalenka managed to score 131 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Barty | Sabalenka |
---|---|---|
Aces | 14 | 19 |
Avg per match | 4.7 | 4.8 |
1st in | 124/208 | 175/282 |
%1st in | 60% | 62% |
1st pts | 103/124 | 131/175 |
%1st pts | 83% | 75% |
2nd pts | 39/84 | 56/107 |
%2nd pts | 46% | 52% |
Barty bagged 14 aces (4.7 per match). Sabalenka struck 19 aces (4.8 per match). Barty won 83% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Sabalenka won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Barty | Sabalenka |
---|---|---|
Won | 14 | 16 |
Converted | 14/38 | 16/31 |
% Converted | 37% | 52% |
Conceded | 10 | 29 |
Saved | 3 | 25 |
% Saved | 30% | 86% |
Times Broken | 7 | 4 |
Ashleigh broke her opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 30% of the break points that she conceded. Sabalenka broke her opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. Sabalenka conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.
Barty | |||||
R2 Siegemund |
1/4 Pliskova |
1/2 Svitolina |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-0 7-5 | 2-6 6-1 7-5 | 4-6 7-65 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 31 | 76 | |
pts | 66-44 | 95-80 | 95-88 | 256-212 | |
Total points | 110 | 175 | 183 | 468 | |
Winners | 24 | 30 | 49 | 103 | |
%Winners | 36% | 32% | 52% | 40% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 6 | 7 | 1 | 14 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
1st in | 24/54 | 38/65 | 62/89 | 124/208 | |
% 1st in | 44% | 58% | 70% | 60% | |
1st pts | 24/24 | 30/38 | 49/62 | 103/124 | |
% 1st pts | 100% | 79% | 79% | 83% | |
2nd pts | 12/30 | 15/27 | 12/27 | 39/84 | |
% 2nd pts | 40% | 56% | 44% | 46% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
Converted | 5/9 | 5/19 | 4/10 | 14/38 | |
Converted % | 56% | 26% | 40% | 37% | |
Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
Saved | 1/2 | 0/3 | 2/5 | 3 | |
Saved % | 50% | 0% | 40% | 30% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Sabalenka | ||||||
R1 Zhang |
R2 Friedsam |
1/4 Kontaveit |
1/2 Halep |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-5 4-6 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 29 | 17 | 80 | |
pts | 64-42 | 64-53 | 116-106 | 68-46 | 312-247 | |
Total points | 106 | 117 | 222 | 114 | 559 | |
Winners | 25 | 28 | 53 | 25 | 131 | |
%Winners | 39% | 44% | 46% | 37% | 42% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 19 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 13 | |
1st in | 29/50 | 37/58 | 75/124 | 34/50 | 175/282 | |
% 1st in | 58% | 64% | 60% | 68% | 62% | |
1st pts | 25/29 | 28/37 | 53/75 | 25/34 | 131/175 | |
% 1st pts | 86% | 76% | 71% | 74% | 75% | |
2nd pts | 12/21 | 10/21 | 21/49 | 13/16 | 56/107 | |
% 2nd pts | 57% | 48% | 43% | 81% | 52% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16 | |
Converted | 4/8 | 4/4 | 5/10 | 3/9 | 16/31 | |
Converted % | 50% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 52% | |
Conceded | 1 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 29 | |
Saved | 1/1 | 6/7 | 15/18 | 3/3 | 25 | |
Saved % | 100% | 86% | 83% | 100% | 123% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Nerman FaticFatic (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-3) – H2H and prediction