Hugo Gaston and Andrea Pellegrino will face off in the final of the Rome 1 Challenger for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.39
Andrea Pellegrino -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Andrea Pellegrino
This will be the 2nd time that Hugo Gaston and Andrea Pellegrino fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pellegrino (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Pellegrino won 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 in the qualifications in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2020.
Hugo Gaston
Ranked no. 158, Hugo got to the final after beating Ernesto Escobedo 6-3 6-4, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-2 6-3, Tristan Lamasine 6-2 7-66 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Gaston had a good straight sets win against Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-4 7-5). During the match Gaston scored 76 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 61. The French player was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gaston recorded 2 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Hugo Gaston was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Pablo Patino-Samudio 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gaston started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Gaston has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 60% of his matches (105-70). 5-1 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaston has a 55-28 record in the last 6 years on clay.
The French player best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Cherbourg Challenger and the Rome 1 Challenger.
Gaston has a 10-8 win-loss record in 2021, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rome 1 Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranked no. 288, Andrea got to the final after defeating Steven Diez 1-6 6-2 6-3, Flavio Cobolli 7-67 6-1, Sebastian Ofner 2-6 6-2 6-3 and Vit Kopriva 3-6 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal against Kopriva, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-1). During the match Pellegrino scored 78 points vs Kopriva’s 60. Andrea was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Pellegrino wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Andrea Pellegrino was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Andrea broke Kopriva 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pellegrino started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Rome 1 Challenger.
Pellegrino has a 8-8 win-loss record in 2021, 7-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaston | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 92 |
| Pts | 295-245 | 319-276 |
| Total Points | 540 | 595 |
| Winners | 98 | 121 |
| %Winners | 33% | 38% |
Both Gaston and Pellegrino played 4 matches. At the moment, Andrea Pellegrino conceded 3 sets while Hugo Gaston hasn’t dropped a set so far. Gaston has played 3 set(s) less than Pellegrino (8 vs 11). Therefore, Gaston played 13 games less than Pellegrino. Gaston scored 98 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 121 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaston | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st in | 135/253 | 185/298 |
| %1st in | 53% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 98/135 | 121/185 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 63/118 | 63/113 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 56% |
Gaston recorded 7 aces (1.8 per match). Pellegrino managed to score 7 aces (1.8 per match). Gaston won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaston | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 20 |
| Converted | 17/35 | 20/38 |
| % Converted | 49% | 53% |
| Conceded | 23 | 35 |
| Saved | 17 | 24 |
| % Saved | 74% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 11 |
Gaston broke his opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Pellegrino broke his opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaston | ||||||
| R1 Escobedo |
R2 Kokkinakis |
1/4 Lamasine |
1/2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 7-66 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 79 | |
| pts | 68-55 | 68-59 | 83-70 | 76-61 | 295-245 | |
| Total points | 123 | 127 | 153 | 137 | 540 | |
| Winners | 21 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% | 30% | 36% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 28/57 | 36/63 | 36/66 | 35/67 | 135/253 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 57% | 55% | 52% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 25/36 | 25/36 | 27/35 | 98/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 69% | 69% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 15/27 | 15/30 | 17/32 | 63/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 56% | 50% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | 5/10 | 4/9 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | 44% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 7/7 | 5/8 | 3/5 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 63% | 60% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Pellegrino | ||||||
| R1 Diez |
R2 Cobolli |
1/4 Ofner |
1/2 Kopriva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-2 6-3 | 7-67 6-1 | 2-6 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 92 | |
| pts | 84-80 | 75-63 | 82-73 | 78-60 | 319-276 | |
| Total points | 164 | 138 | 155 | 138 | 595 | |
| Winners | 27 | 35 | 31 | 28 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 47% | 38% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 49/90 | 51/75 | 46/72 | 39/61 | 185/298 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 68% | 64% | 64% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/49 | 35/51 | 31/46 | 28/39 | 121/185 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 69% | 67% | 72% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/41 | 12/24 | 15/26 | 12/22 | 63/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 50% | 58% | 55% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/5 | 5/6 | 6/15 | 20/38 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 80% | 83% | 40% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 35 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 5/7 | 6/9 | 4/6 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 71% | 67% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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- Hugo GastonGaston – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (0-1) – H2H and prediction
