Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas will fight against each other in the final of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 9th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on PISTA RAFA NADAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.4
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 3.15

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

This will be the 9th time that Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas face off. The head to head is 6-2 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.

The last time that they played, Tsitsipas won 3-6 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 7-5 in the quarter in at the Australian Open back in February 2021.

Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal – Australian Open 17-February-2021

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard reached the final after beating Ilya Ivashka 3-6 6-2 6-4, Kei Nishikori 6-0 2-6 6-2, Cameron Norrie 6-1 6-4 and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 6-2.

In the semifinal, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Carreno-Busta (6-3 6-2). During the match Nadal scored 64 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 45. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nadal blasted 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rafael broke Carreno-Busta 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nadal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 2 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Nadal has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (473-90). 6-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a 220-23 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Rafael’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Barcelona.

Nadal has a 10-2 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Barcelona

Previously, he won this tournament 11 times in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2016, 2017 and 2018. See his history.

Barcelona
Nadal's Record

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranked no. 5 (career high), Tsitsipas reached the final after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-0 6-2, Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-3, Felix Auger Aliassime 6-3 6-3 and Jannik Sinner 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Sinner (6-3 6-3). During the match Tsitsipas scored 65 points vs Sinner’s 50. The Greek was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Tsitsipas blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Stefanos Tsitsipas was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (33/46) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tsitsipas broke Sinner 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Stefanos started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Carlo where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-3 6-3.

The Greek has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2021, 9-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Barcelona
Tsitsipas's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

R.Nadal
S.Tsitsipas
7h:41
7h:41
Time on court​
5h:27
5h:27
1h:29
1h:29
Last match​
1h:23
1h:23
4
4
Match played
4
4
83
83
Games Played​
71
71
10
10
Set played​​
8
8
303
303
Total points​
252
252
75.8
75.8
Avg point​
63
63
123
123
Winners
120
120
30.8
30.8
Avg Winners​
30
30
41%
41%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
10
10
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
10
10
Double Faults
4
4
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
123/168
123/168
1st won total​
120/156
120/156
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
57/108
57/108
2nd won total​
42/73
42/73
53%
53%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
16/35
16/35
BP won
14/32
14/32
4/8.8
4/8.8
Avg BP won
3.5/8
3.5/8
46%
46%
Won
44%
44%
23
23
Conceded
13
13
5.8
5.8
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
6
6
Broken
1
1
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
17
17
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Tsitsipas
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 8
Tot Games 83 71
Pts 303-240 252-182
Total Points 543 434
Winners 123 120
%Winners 41% 48%

Both Nadal and Tsitsipas played 4 matches. At the moment, Rafael Nadal lost 2 sets while Stefanos Tsitsipas hasn’t lost a set so far. Nadal has played 2 sets more than Tsitsipas (10 vs 8). Therefore, Nadal played 12 games more than Tsitsipas. The Spaniard scored 123 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Tsitsipas scored 120 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Tsitsipas
Aces 10 10
Avg per match 2.5 2.5
1st in 168/276 156/229
%1st in 61% 68%
1st pts 123/168 120/156
%1st pts 73% 77%
2nd pts 57/108 42/73
%2nd pts 53% 58%

Nadal blasted 10 aces (2.5 per match). Tsitsipas fired 10 aces (2.5 per match). Nadal won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Tsitsipas
Won 16 14
Converted 16/35 14/32
% Converted 46% 44%
Conceded 23 13
Saved 17 12
% Saved 74% 92%
Times Broken 6 1

Rafael broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. The Greek broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Greek conceded his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R2
Ivashka
R3
Nishikori
1/4
Norrie
1/2
Carreno-Busta
Total
Score 3-6 6-2 6-4 6-0 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-4 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 2 2 10
Tot Games 27 22 17 17 83
pts 87-74 87-74 65-47 64-45 303-240
Total points 161 161 112 109 543
Winners 40 32 24 27 123
%Winners 46% 37% 37% 42% 41%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 4 3 10
Double Faults 2 3 2 3 10
1st in 50/81 49/82 34/57 35/56 168/276
% 1st in 62% 60% 60% 63% 61%
1st pts 40/50 32/49 24/34 27/35 123/168
% 1st pts 80% 65% 71% 77% 73%
2nd pts 16/31 17/33 13/23 11/21 57/108
% 2nd pts 52% 52% 57% 52% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 5 4 4 16
Converted 3/6 5/11 4/8 4/10 16/35
Converted % 50% 45% 50% 40% 46%
Conceded 3 13 3 4 23
Saved 1/3 11/13 2/3 3/4 17
Saved % 33% 85% 67% 75% 65%
Times Broken 2 2 1 1 6
Tsitsipas
R2
Munar Clar
R3
De Minaur
1/4
Auger-Aliassime
1/2
Sinner
Total
Score 6-0 6-2 7-5 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 14 21 18 18 71
pts 63-33 66-56 58-43 65-50 252-182
Total points 96 122 101 115 434
Winners 21 37 29 33 120
%Winners 33% 56% 50% 51% 48%
SERVE
Aces 2 5 1 2 10
Double Faults 1 1 1 1 4
1st in 24/43 49/70 37/55 46/61 156/229
% 1st in 56% 70% 67% 75% 68%
1st pts 21/24 37/49 29/37 33/46 120/156
% 1st pts 88% 76% 78% 72% 77%
2nd pts 11/19 11/21 11/18 9/15 42/73
% 2nd pts 58% 52% 61% 60% 58%
Breaks
Won 5 3 3 3 14
Converted 5/12 3/5 3/5 3/10 14/32
Converted % 42% 60% 60% 30% 44%
Conceded 3 3 3 4 13
Saved 3/3 2/3 3/3 4/4 12
Saved % 100% 67% 100% 100% 92%
Times Broken 0 1 0 0 1

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