Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas will fight against each other in the final of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 9th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on PISTA RAFA NADAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.4
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 3.15
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
This will be the 9th time that Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas face off. The head to head is 6-2 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Tsitsipas won 3-6 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 7-5 in the quarter in at the Australian Open back in February 2021.
Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rafael Nadal – Australian Open 17-February-2021
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard reached the final after beating Ilya Ivashka 3-6 6-2 6-4, Kei Nishikori 6-0 2-6 6-2, Cameron Norrie 6-1 6-4 and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Carreno-Busta (6-3 6-2). During the match Nadal scored 64 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 45. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal blasted 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rafael broke Carreno-Busta 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nadal started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 2 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Nadal has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (473-90). 6-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a 220-23 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Rafael’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Barcelona.
Nadal has a 10-2 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Previously, he won this tournament 11 times in 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2016, 2017 and 2018. See his history.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranked no. 5 (career high), Tsitsipas reached the final after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-0 6-2, Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-3, Felix Auger Aliassime 6-3 6-3 and Jannik Sinner 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Sinner (6-3 6-3). During the match Tsitsipas scored 65 points vs Sinner’s 50. The Greek was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Tsitsipas blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Stefanos Tsitsipas was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (33/46) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tsitsipas broke Sinner 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stefanos started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Carlo where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-3 6-3.
The Greek has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2021, 9-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 71 |
| Pts | 303-240 | 252-182 |
| Total Points | 543 | 434 |
| Winners | 123 | 120 |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% |
Both Nadal and Tsitsipas played 4 matches. At the moment, Rafael Nadal lost 2 sets while Stefanos Tsitsipas hasn’t lost a set so far. Nadal has played 2 sets more than Tsitsipas (10 vs 8). Therefore, Nadal played 12 games more than Tsitsipas. The Spaniard scored 123 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Tsitsipas scored 120 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 168/276 | 156/229 |
| %1st in | 61% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 123/168 | 120/156 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 57/108 | 42/73 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 58% |
Nadal blasted 10 aces (2.5 per match). Tsitsipas fired 10 aces (2.5 per match). Nadal won 73% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 14 |
| Converted | 16/35 | 14/32 |
| % Converted | 46% | 44% |
| Conceded | 23 | 13 |
| Saved | 17 | 12 |
| % Saved | 74% | 92% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 |
Rafael broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. The Greek broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Greek conceded his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||||
| R2 Ivashka | R3 Nishikori | 1/4 Norrie | 1/2 Carreno-Busta | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-0 2-6 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 83 | |
| pts | 87-74 | 87-74 | 65-47 | 64-45 | 303-240 | |
| Total points | 161 | 161 | 112 | 109 | 543 | |
| Winners | 40 | 32 | 24 | 27 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% | 37% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 50/81 | 49/82 | 34/57 | 35/56 | 168/276 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 60% | 60% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 32/49 | 24/34 | 27/35 | 123/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 65% | 71% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 17/33 | 13/23 | 11/21 | 57/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | 57% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/11 | 4/8 | 4/10 | 16/35 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 50% | 40% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 23 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 11/13 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 85% | 67% | 75% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Tsitsipas | ||||||
| R2 Munar Clar | R3 De Minaur | 1/4 Auger-Aliassime | 1/2 Sinner | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 71 | |
| pts | 63-33 | 66-56 | 58-43 | 65-50 | 252-182 | |
| Total points | 96 | 122 | 101 | 115 | 434 | |
| Winners | 21 | 37 | 29 | 33 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 56% | 50% | 51% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 24/43 | 49/70 | 37/55 | 46/61 | 156/229 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 70% | 67% | 75% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 37/49 | 29/37 | 33/46 | 120/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 76% | 78% | 72% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/21 | 11/18 | 9/15 | 42/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 52% | 61% | 60% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/10 | 14/32 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 60% | 60% | 30% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-2) – H2H and prediction