Shelby Rogers and Danka Kovinic will square off in the quarter of the MUSC Health Women’s Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on ALTHEA GIBSON. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shelby Rogers who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Shelby Rogers is the pick to win this match.
Shelby Rogers -> 1.43
Danka Kovinic -> 3.02

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Prediction and head to head Shelby Rogers vs. Danka Kovinic

This will be the 2nd time that Shelby Rogers and Danka Kovinic square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kovinic (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Kovinic won 2-6 6-1 6-2 in the 2nd round in Tianjin back in 2016.

Shelby Rogers

Ranked no. 46 (career high), Rogers reached the quarter after beating Caty McNally 6-0 6-1 and Claire Liu 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Shelby had a good straight sets win against Liu (6-2 6-2). During the match Rogers scored 53 points vs Liu’s 34. Shelby was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rogers scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Shelby Rogers lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rogers put 60% of her first serves in, winning 81% (22/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Shelby broke Liu 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shelby started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 64% of the points she played.

Rogers has a positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (214-169). 4-1 on clay in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rogers has a 71-54 record in the last years on clay.

The American has a 14-6 win-loss record in 2021, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2017. See her history.

Charleston
Rogers's Record

Danka Kovinic

Ranked no. 65, Danka got to the quarter after defeating Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-3 and Lauren Davis 6-1 1-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The defeated Davis (6-1 1-6 6-3). During the match Kovinic scored 84 points vs Davis’s 76. Kovinic was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Kovinic fired 8 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Danka Kovinic lost the serve 4 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kovinic put 55% of her first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (17/40) on the 2nd serve. Danka broke Davis 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Danka started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Danka’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Charleston.

Kovinic has a 9-6 win-loss record in 2021, 7-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Charleston

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2021. See her history.

Charleston
Kovinic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Rogers
D.Kovinic
2h:10
2h:10
Time on court​
!
3h:27
3h:27
1h:08
1h:08
Last match​
!
2h:08
2h:08
2
2
Match played
2
2
29
29
Games Played​
41
41
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
107
107
Total points​
149
149
53.5
53.5
Avg point​
74.5
74.5
42
42
Winners
51
51
21
21
Avg Winners​
25.5
25.5
39%
39%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
13
13
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
4
4
Double Faults
10
10
2
2
Avg Double Faults
5
5
42/51
42/51
1st won total​
51/76
51/76
!
82%
82%
1st won %
67%
67%
20/36
20/36
2nd won total​
34/73
34/73
56%
56%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
10/20
10/20
BP won
11/16
11/16
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
5.5/8
5.5/8
50%
50%
Won
!
69%
69%
6
6
Conceded
19
19
3
3
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
1
1
Broken
7
7
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
5
5
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rogers Kovinic
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 29 41
Pts 107-59 149-122
Total Points 166 271
Winners 42 51
%Winners 39% 34%

Both Rogers and Kovinic played 2 matches. At the moment, Danka Kovinic lost 1 set while Shelby Rogers hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rogers has played 1 set(s) less than Kovinic (4 vs 5). Therefore, Rogers played 12 games less than Kovinic. Rogers scored 42 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Danka bagged 51 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rogers Kovinic
Aces 7 13
Avg per match 3.5 6.5
1st in 51/87 76/149
%1st in 59% 51%
1st pts 42/51 51/76
%1st pts 82% 67%
2nd pts 20/36 34/73
%2nd pts 56% 47%

Rogers recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Kovinic blasted 13 aces (6.5 per match). Rogers won 82% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Kovinic won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rogers Kovinic
Won 10 11
Converted 10/20 11/16
% Converted 50% 69%
Conceded 6 19
Saved 5 12
% Saved 83% 63%
Times Broken 1 7

Shelby broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Rogers dropped her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. The broke her opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. The conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.

Rogers
R1
McNally
R2
Liu
Total
Score 6-0 6-1 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 13 16 29
pts 54-25 53-34 107-59
Total points 79 87 166
Winners 20 22 42
%Winners 37% 42% 39%
SERVE
Aces 6 1 7
Double Faults 1 3 4
1st in 24/42 27/45 51/87
% 1st in 57% 60% 59%
1st pts 20/24 22/27 42/51
% 1st pts 83% 81% 82%
2nd pts 11/18 9/18 20/36
% 2nd pts 61% 50% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/9 5/11 10/20
Converted % 56% 45% 50%
Conceded 4 2 6
Saved 4/4 1/2 5
Saved % 100% 50% 75%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Kovinic
R1
Tomova
R2
Davis
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-1 1-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 23 41
pts 65-46 84-76 149-122
Total points 111 160 271
Winners 19 32 51
%Winners 29% 38% 34%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 13
Double Faults 4 6 10
1st in 28/61 48/88 76/149
% 1st in 46% 55% 51%
1st pts 19/28 32/48 51/76
% 1st pts 68% 67% 67%
2nd pts 17/33 17/40 34/73
% 2nd pts 52% 43% 47%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/6 5/10 11/16
Converted % 100% 50% 69%
Conceded 7 12 19
Saved 4/7 8/12 12
Saved % 57% 67% 62%
Times Broken 3 4 7

Tennis Scores in Charleston

Upcoming matches in the draw