Sebastian Baez and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will face off in the final of the Santiago Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:30 pm on CANCHA 1. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.48
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Baez and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 253 (career high), Sebastian got to the final after defeating Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-2 6-4, Gonzalo Villanueva 7-5 6-2, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-2 6-1 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-1 7-63.
In the semifinal, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-1 7-63). During the match Baez scored 72 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 51. Sebastian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Baez recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Sebastian Baez was quite effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Pablo Patino-Samudio 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (119-55). 13-2 on clay in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Baez has a 103-45 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
The Argentine’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Concepcion Challenger.
Baez has a 13-2 win-loss record in 2021, 13-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Ranked no. 263, Tomas Barrios Vera reached the final after beating Christian Lindell 4-6 6-1 7-64, Kimmer Coppejans 6-4 6-4, Gonzalo Lama 7-64 7-65 and Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 7-65 1-1 ret..
In the semifinal, Marcelo defeated Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (7-65 1-1 ret.). During the match Tomas Barrios Vera scored 49 points vs Meligeni Rodrigues Alves’s 44. Tomas Barrios Vera was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Tomas Barrios Vera scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (21/25) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tomas Barrios Vera broke Meligeni Rodrigues Alves once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Tomas Barrios Vera’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Santiago Challenger.
Marcelo has a 8-7 win-loss record in 2021, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 76 |
| Pts | 271-198 | 265-231 |
| Total Points | 469 | 496 |
| Winners | 116 | 115 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Baez played 4 matches while Tomas Barrios Vera competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera dropped 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Baez has played 1 set more than Tomas Barrios Vera (8 vs 7). However, it’s interesting to notice that Baez played 3 games less than Tomas Barrios Vera. Sebastian scored 116 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Marcelo blasted 115 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5 |
| 1st in | 174/231 | 162/245 |
| %1st in | 75% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 116/174 | 115/162 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 31/57 | 52/83 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 63% |
Baez recorded 4 aces (1 per match). Tomas Barrios Vera blasted 15 aces (5 per match). Baez won 67% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Tomas Barrios Vera won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Tomas Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 9 |
| Converted | 20/39 | 9/30 |
| % Converted | 51% | 30% |
| Conceded | 23 | 14 |
| Saved | 16 | 9 |
| % Saved | 70% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 5 |
Sebastian broke his opponents 20 times with a 51% conversion rate. Baez lost his serve 7 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Marcelo broke his opponents 9 times with a 30% conversion rate. Tomas Barrios Vera conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | ||||||
| R1 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
R2 Villanueva |
1/4 Ugo |
1/2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-1 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 15 | 20 | 73 | |
| pts | 80-67 | 65-47 | 54-33 | 72-51 | 271-198 | |
| Total points | 147 | 112 | 87 | 123 | 469 | |
| Winners | 37 | 27 | 22 | 30 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 41% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 60/78 | 42/55 | 32/40 | 40/58 | 174/231 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 76% | 80% | 69% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 37/60 | 27/42 | 22/32 | 30/40 | 116/174 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 64% | 69% | 75% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 6/13 | 4/8 | 13/18 | 31/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 46% | 50% | 72% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 6/11 | 6/8 | 3/6 | 20/39 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 55% | 75% | 50% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 0% | 50% | 75% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | ||||||
| R1 Lindell |
R2 Coppejans |
1/4 Lama |
1/2 Meligeni Rodrigues Alves |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 7-64 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-64 7-65 | 7-65 1-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 20 | 26 | 15 | 91 | |
| pts | 97-82 | 82-69 | 86-80 | 49-44 | 314-275 | |
| Total points | 179 | 151 | 166 | 93 | 589 | |
| Winners | 43 | 28 | 44 | 21 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 34% | 51% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 66/96 | 41/70 | 55/79 | 25/41 | 187/286 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 59% | 70% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 43/66 | 28/41 | 44/55 | 21/25 | 136/187 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 68% | 80% | 84% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 21/29 | 15/24 | 9/16 | 61/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 72% | 63% | 56% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 2/16 | 0/4 | 1/5 | 10/35 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 13% | 0% | 20% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 100% | – | 50% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
