Juan Pablo Varillas and Sebastian Baez will play each other in the semifinal of the Santiago Challenger for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on CANCHA 1. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.4
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 2.95
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 2nd time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Sebastian Baez face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Baez won 6-3 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Montevideo Challenger back in 2019.
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranked no. 162, Juan reached the semifinal after beating Renzo Olivo 6-4 3-6 7-5, Andrej Martin 6-4 6-79 6-4 and Nicolas Jarry 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter, The Peruvian had a good straight sets win against Jarry (6-2 6-4). During the match Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 57 points vs Jarry’s 43. The Peruvian was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Juan Pablo Varillas was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Peruvian broke Jarry 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Peruvian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (268-177). 10-4 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pablo Patino-Samudio has a 238-152 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a 10-4 win-loss record in 2021, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See his history.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 253 (career high), the Argentine reached the semifinal after defeating Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-2 6-4, Gonzalo Villanueva 7-5 6-2 and Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-2 6-1.
In the quarter, Baez had a good straight sets win against Ugo Carabelli (6-2 6-1). During the match Baez scored 54 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 33. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Baez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sebastian Baez lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 80% of his first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (4/8) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Ugo Carabelli 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.
Baez’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Concepcion Challenger.
Sebastian has a 12-2 win-loss record in 2021, 12-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 53 |
| Pts | 299-272 | 199-147 |
| Total Points | 571 | 346 |
| Winners | 121 | 86 |
| %Winners | 40% | 43% |
Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Baez played 3 matches. At the moment, Juan Pablo Varillas conceded 2 sets while Sebastian Baez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pablo Patino-Samudio has played 2 sets more than Baez (8 vs 6). Therefore, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 29 games more than Baez. Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 121 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Baez made 86 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 179/283 | 134/173 |
| %1st in | 63% | 77% |
| 1st pts | 121/179 | 86/134 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 50/104 | 18/39 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 46% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 7 aces (2.3 per match). Baez blasted 2 aces (0.7 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 17 |
| Converted | 16/37 | 17/33 |
| % Converted | 43% | 52% |
| Conceded | 27 | 19 |
| Saved | 17 | 13 |
| % Saved | 63% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 6 |
Juan broke his opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Peruvian lost his serve 10 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Baez broke his opponents 17 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | |||||
| R1 Olivo | R2 Martin | 1/4 Jarry | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 6-4 6-79 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 33 | 18 | 82 | |
| pts | 109-107 | 133-122 | 57-43 | 299-272 | |
| Total points | 216 | 255 | 100 | 571 | |
| Winners | 43 | 52 | 26 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | 46% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 69/115 | 80/119 | 30/49 | 179/283 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 67% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 43/69 | 52/80 | 26/30 | 121/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 65% | 87% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 16/39 | 10/19 | 50/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 41% | 53% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 8/19 | 3/6 | 16/37 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 12 | 0 | 27 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 6/12 | 0/0 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 50% | – | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 | 0 | 10 | |
| Baez | |||||
| R1 Vitus Nodskov Rune | R2 Villanueva | 1/4 Ugo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 15 | 53 | |
| pts | 80-67 | 65-47 | 54-33 | 199-147 | |
| Total points | 147 | 112 | 87 | 346 | |
| Winners | 37 | 27 | 22 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 60/78 | 42/55 | 32/40 | 134/173 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 76% | 80% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 37/60 | 27/42 | 22/32 | 86/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 64% | 69% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 6/13 | 4/8 | 18/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 46% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 6/11 | 6/8 | 17/33 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 55% | 75% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 3 | 2 | 19 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 0% | 50% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Santiago Challenger
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Nicolas KickerKicker (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Gonzalo LamaLama (7-64 7-65) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (1-0) – H2H and prediction