Aslan Karatsev and Lloyd Harris will face off in the final of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.54
Lloyd Harris -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Lloyd Harris
There is no head to head record between Aslan Karatsev and Lloyd Harris since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aslan Karatsev
Ranked no. 42 (career high), Aslan reached the final after defeating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-4, Daniel Evans 6-4 4-6 6-4, Lorenzo Sonego 3-6 6-3 6-4, Jannik Sinner 6-75 6-3 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 6-2 4-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Russian defeated Rublev (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match Karatsev scored 101 points vs Rublev’s 90. Aslan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Karatsev made 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (35/45) of his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Karatsev broke Rublev 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aslan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 4 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Karatsev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (330-205). 14-2 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has a 125-59 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open and Dubai.
The Russian has a 14-2 win-loss record in 2021, 14-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Karatsev has never competed in this tournament before.
Lloyd Harris
Ranked no. 81, Harris got to the final after beating Teimuraz Gabashvili 6-1 6-2, Blaz Rola 6-2 6-4, Christopher O Connell 6-75 6-4 6-1, Dominic Thiem 6-3 6-4, Filip Krajinovic 7-65 6-4, Kei Nishikori 6-1 3-6 6-3 and Denis Shapovalov 6-75 6-4 7-66.
In the semifinal against Shapovalov, Harris recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 7-66). During the match Lloyd scored 112 points vs Shapovalov’s 101. Lloyd was quite aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about serving, Lloyd blasted 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lloyd Harris was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (57/71) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lloyd broke Shapovalov twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The South African started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The South African’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Dubai.
Lloyd has a 11-4 win-loss record in 2021, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Karatsev | Lloyd |
---|---|---|
Match played | 5 | 7 |
Tot Set | 14 | 17 |
Tot Games | 136 | 166 |
Pts | 476-427 | 529-424 |
Total Points | 903 | 953 |
Winners | 186 | 267 |
%Winners | 39% | 50% |
Karatsev played 5 matches while Lloyd competed in 7 matches. Lloyd started his run from the qualifications while Karatsev had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Aslan Karatsev surrendered 4 sets, while Lloyd Harris conceded 3 sets. Karatsev has played 3 set(s) less than Lloyd (14 vs 17). Therefore, Karatsev played 30 games less than Lloyd. Karatsev scored 186 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The South African struck 267 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Karatsev | Lloyd |
---|---|---|
Aces | 32 | 71 |
Avg per match | 6.4 | 10.1 |
1st in | 246/420 | 325/470 |
%1st in | 59% | 69% |
1st pts | 186/246 | 267/325 |
%1st pts | 76% | 82% |
2nd pts | 93/174 | 81/145 |
%2nd pts | 53% | 56% |
Karatsev managed to score 32 aces (6.4 per match). Lloyd managed to score 71 aces (10.1 per match). Karatsev won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Lloyd won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Karatsev | Lloyd |
---|---|---|
Won | 20 | 22 |
Converted | 20/57 | 22/41 |
% Converted | 35% | 54% |
Conceded | 34 | 16 |
Saved | 23 | 10 |
% Saved | 68% | 63% |
Times Broken | 11 | 6 |
The Russian broke his opponents 20 times with a 35% conversion rate. Karatsev conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. The South African broke his opponents 22 times with a 54% conversion rate. Lloyd conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
Karatsev | |||||||
R1 Gerasimov |
R2 Evans |
R3 Sonego |
1/4 Sinner |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-75 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 136 | |
pts | 81-73 | 89-88 | 96-84 | 109-92 | 101-90 | 476-427 | |
Total points | 154 | 177 | 180 | 201 | 191 | 903 | |
Winners | 29 | 32 | 41 | 49 | 35 | 186 | |
%Winners | 36% | 36% | 43% | 45% | 35% | 39% | |
SERVE | |||||||
Aces | 4 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 32 | |
Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 27 | |
1st in | 38/72 | 45/87 | 56/89 | 62/92 | 45/80 | 246/420 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 52% | 63% | 67% | 56% | 59% | |
1st pts | 29/38 | 32/45 | 41/56 | 49/62 | 35/45 | 186/246 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 73% | 79% | 78% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 15/34 | 22/42 | 22/33 | 15/30 | 19/35 | 93/174 | |
% 2nd pts | 44% | 52% | 67% | 50% | 54% | 53% | |
Breaks | |||||||
Won | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 20 | |
Converted | 4/10 | 5/9 | 2/8 | 5/14 | 4/16 | 20/57 | |
Converted % | 40% | 56% | 25% | 36% | 25% | 35% | |
Conceded | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 34 | |
Saved | 5/7 | 6/10 | 6/7 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 23 | |
Saved % | 71% | 60% | 86% | 67% | 50% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
Lloyd | |||||||||
Q1 Gabashvili |
Q3 Rola |
R1 O |
R2 Thiem |
R3 Krajinovic |
1/4 Nishikori |
1/2 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-75 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | 6-75 6-4 7-66 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 | |
Tot Games | 15 | 18 | 30 | 19 | 23 | 25 | 36 | 166 | |
pts | 54-27 | 60-39 | 97-78 | 56-46 | 72-63 | 78-70 | 112-101 | 529-424 | |
Total points | 81 | 99 | 175 | 102 | 135 | 148 | 213 | 953 | |
Winners | 26 | 30 | 47 | 29 | 36 | 42 | 57 | 267 | |
%Winners | 48% | 50% | 48% | 52% | 50% | 54% | 51% | 50% | |
SERVE | |||||||||
Aces | 9 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 71 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
1st in | 29/40 | 36/45 | 58/82 | 30/51 | 41/62 | 60/85 | 71/105 | 325/470 | |
% 1st in | 73% | 80% | 71% | 59% | 66% | 71% | 68% | 69% | |
1st pts | 26/29 | 30/36 | 47/58 | 29/30 | 36/41 | 42/60 | 57/71 | 267/325 | |
% 1st pts | 90% | 83% | 81% | 97% | 88% | 70% | 80% | 82% | |
2nd pts | 7/11 | 5/9 | 16/24 | 11/21 | 11/21 | 13/25 | 18/34 | 81/145 | |
% 2nd pts | 64% | 56% | 67% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 53% | 56% | |
Breaks | |||||||||
Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 22 | |
Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 2/9 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 22/41 | |
Converted % | 67% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 22% | 80% | 67% | 54% | |
Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 3/4 | 10 | |
Saved % | – | 50% | 50% | – | 67% | 60% | 75% | 60% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
Head 2 Head
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – H2H and prediction