Varvara Lepchenko and Katherine Sebov will play each other in the quarter of Boca Raton (W25) for the 2nd time of their career. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Varvara Lepchenko who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Varvara Lepchenko is the pick to win this match.
Varvara Lepchenko -> 1.32
Katherine Sebov -> 3.38
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Lepchenko vs. Katherine Sebov
This will be the 2nd time that Varvara Lepchenko and Katherine Sebov square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sebov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Sebov won 3-6 6-4 7-6(5) in the quarter in the 1100039215 back in 2017.
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranked no. 177, Lepchenko got to the quarter after beating Rebecca Sramkova 6-0 6-75 6-3 and Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Lepchenko had a good straight sets win against Krueger (6-3 6-4). During the match Lepchenko scored 75 points vs Krueger’s 64. Lepchenko was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Lepchenko couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 5 double faults. Varvara Lepchenko lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Lepchenko put 63% of her first serves in, winning 60% (29/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. Varvara broke Krueger 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Varvara has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 54% of the points she played.
Lepchenko has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 53% of her matches (241-215). 6-3 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Lepchenko has a 148-125 record in the last years on hard.
The American has a 6-3 win-loss record in 2021, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Boca Raton (W25)
Varvara has never competed in this tournament before.
Katherine Sebov
Ranked no. 265, Sebov got to the quarter after defeating Jeanette Mireles 6-1 6-1, Aldila Sutjiadi 6-4 6-3, Robin Anderson 7-60 2-0 ret. and Sachia Vickery 6-1 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Sebov had a good straight sets win against Vickery (6-1 6-0). During the match Sebov scored 53 points vs Vickery’s 23. Sebov was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Sebov scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Katherine Sebov was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (20/24) of her 1st serve and 56% (5/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Katherine broke Vickery 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Katherine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Katherine has a 6-2 win-loss record in 2021, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lepchenko | Sebov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 46 |
| Pts | 194-162 | 113-71 |
| Total Points | 356 | 184 |
| Winners | 81 | 45 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Lepchenko played 2 matches while Sebov competed in 3 matches. Sebov started her run from the qualifications while Lepchenko had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Varvara Lepchenko dropped 1 set while Katherine Sebov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Lepchenko has played 1 set(s) less than Sebov (5 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Lepchenko played 1 game more than Sebov. The American scored 81 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Katherine blasted 45 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lepchenko | Sebov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| 1st in | 131/186 | 66/90 |
| %1st in | 70% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 81/131 | 45/66 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 29/55 | 10/24 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 42% |
Lepchenko scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sebov scored 1 ace (0.3 per match). Lepchenko won 62% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Sebov won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lepchenko | Sebov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 12 |
| Converted | 12/28 | 12/19 |
| % Converted | 43% | 63% |
| Conceded | 19 | 5 |
| Saved | 14 | 1 |
| % Saved | 74% | 20% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Lepchenko broke her opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Lepchenko conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded. The Canadian broke her opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Katherine conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 20% of the break points that she conceded.
| Lepchenko | ||||
| R1 Sramkova |
R2 Krueger |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-75 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 19 | 47 | |
| pts | 119-98 | 75-64 | 194-162 | |
| Total points | 217 | 139 | 356 | |
| Winners | 52 | 29 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 83/110 | 48/76 | 131/186 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 63% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 52/83 | 29/48 | 81/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 60% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 15/28 | 29/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 54% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/22 | 5/6 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 32% | 83% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 6/8 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 75% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Sebov | ||||||
| Q1 Mireles |
Q3 Sutjiadi |
R1 Anderson |
R2 Vickery |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-60 2-0 ret. | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 61 | |
| pts | – | 60-48 | 69-59 | 53-23 | 182-130 | |
| Total points | 0 | 108 | 128 | 76 | 312 | |
| Winners | 25 | 29 | 20 | 74 | ||
| %Winners | NAN% | 42% | 42% | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | ||
| 1st in | / | 42/57 | 45/56 | 24/33 | 111/146 | |
| % 1st in | – | 74% | 80% | 73% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | / | 25/42 | 29/45 | 20/24 | 74/111 | |
| % 1st pts | – | 60% | 64% | 83% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | / | 5/15 | 2/11 | 5/9 | 12/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | – | 33% | 18% | 56% | 34% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16 | ||
| Converted | / | 6/10 | 4/14 | 6/9 | 16/33 | |
| Converted % | – | 60% | 29% | 67% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | ||
| Saved | 0/ | 1/5 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 20% | 25% | – | 23% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | ||
Head 2 Head
WWWLWLLLWW
LWWWLWWLWL Tennis Scores in W25 Boca Raton
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Juan LizariturryLizariturry (6-74 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Alberto Barroso CamposBarroso Campos (7-5 6-77 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tereza MrdezaMrdeza – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katherine SebovSebov – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriela TalabaTalaba – Usue Maitane ArconadaMaitane Arconada (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
