Francisco Cerundolo and Sebastian Baez will clash against each other in the final of the Concepcion Challenger for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francisco Cerundolo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francisco Cerundolo is the pick to win this match.
Francisco Cerundolo -> 1.53
Sebastian Baez -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Francisco Cerundolo vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 2nd time that Francisco Cerundolo and Sebastian Baez fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Cerundolo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Cerundolo won 6-1 6-3 in the semifinal in Argentina F6 (Buenos Aires) back in 2018.
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranked no. 146, Cerundolo reached the final after defeating Andrea Collarini 7-5 7-5, Nicolas Jarry 4-6 6-4 7-5 and Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-3 7-64.
In the quarter, Francisco had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (6-3 7-64). During the match Cerundolo scored 87 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 77. Francisco was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Cerundolo scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Francisco Cerundolo lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cerundolo put 62% of his first serves in, winning 69% (37/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Francisco broke Seyboth Wild 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cerundolo has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Cerundolo has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 74% of his matches (163-58). 3-0 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cerundolo has a 154-54 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Francisco has a 4-0 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Concepcion Challenger
Cerundolo has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 312, Sebastian reached the final after beating Gonzalo Lama 6-4 6-1, Daniel Elahi Galan 7-5 6-2, Hugo Dellien 6-1 6-1 and Andrej Martin 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Baez had a good straight sets win against Dellien (6-1 6-1). During the match Baez scored 52 points vs Dellien’s 28. Baez was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Baez managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sebastian Baez was quite effective on serve to win 84% (21/25) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Dellien 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.
Baez has a 3-0 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 51 |
| Pts | 277-252 | 171-114 |
| Total Points | 529 | 285 |
| Winners | 109 | 68 |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% |
Both Cerundolo and Baez played 3 matches. At the moment, Francisco Cerundolo dropped 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t conceded a set so far. Cerundolo has played 1 set more than Baez (7 vs 6). Therefore, Cerundolo played 27 games more than Baez. Cerundolo scored 109 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Baez blasted 68 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 161/254 | 98/138 |
| %1st in | 63% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 109/161 | 68/98 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 47/93 | 25/40 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 63% |
Cerundolo scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Baez fired 5 aces (1.7 per match). Cerundolo won 68% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cerundolo | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 16 |
| Converted | 13/32 | 16/19 |
| % Converted | 41% | 84% |
| Conceded | 18 | 8 |
| Saved | 10 | 4 |
| % Saved | 56% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 4 |
Francisco broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. Cerundolo surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 16 times with a 84% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cerundolo | |||||
| R1 Collarini |
R2 Jarry |
1/4 Seyboth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 32 | 22 | 78 | |
| pts | 89-84 | 101-91 | 87-77 | 277-252 | |
| Total points | 173 | 192 | 164 | 529 | |
| Winners | 30 | 42 | 37 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 42% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 45/75 | 62/92 | 54/87 | 161/254 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 67% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 30/45 | 42/62 | 37/54 | 109/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 68% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/30 | 17/30 | 16/33 | 47/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 57% | 48% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/18 | 4/6 | 4/8 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 28% | 67% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 40% | 60% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Baez | |||||
| R1 Lama |
R2 Elahi Galan Riveros |
1/4 Dellien |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 14 | 51 | |
| pts | 59-36 | 60-50 | 52-28 | 171-114 | |
| Total points | 95 | 110 | 80 | 285 | |
| Winners | 21 | 26 | 21 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/45 | 40/54 | 25/39 | 98/138 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 74% | 64% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 21/33 | 26/40 | 21/25 | 68/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 65% | 84% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 9/14 | 8/14 | 25/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 64% | 57% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 16/19 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 83% | 83% | 84% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 33% | – | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLLWL
LLLWLWWLWW Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
