Marie Bouzkova and Daria Kasatkina will face off in the final of the Phillip Island Trophy for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3 pm on 1573 Arena. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.61
Marie Bouzkova -> 2.44

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Prediction and head to head Marie Bouzkova vs. Daria Kasatkina

This will be the 2nd time that Marie Bouzkova and Daria Kasatkina face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Kasatkina won 6-4 5-7 7-5 in the qualifications in Ostrava back in 2020.

Marie Bouzkova

Ranked no. 50, Bouzkova reached the qualifications after defeating Danka Kovinic 3-6 5-0 ret., Lin Zhu 6-4 6-2, Gabriella Da Silva Fick 6-1 6-1, Jil Teichmann 6-3 4-6 6-2 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-79 6-2 7-5.

In the semifinal against Andreescu, The Czech recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-79 6-2 7-5). During the match Bouzkova scored 120 points vs Andreescu’s 109. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bouzkova scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 70% of her first serves in, winning 64% (51/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. Bouzkova broke Andreescu 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Bouzkova has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (257-129). 7-2 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Bouzkova has a 176-69 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Bouzkova’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.

Bouzkova has a 7-2 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Melbourne

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018. See her history

.

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 75, Darya got to the qualifications after beating Katie Boulter 6-4 6-2, Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-3, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 2-6 6-1 6-4, Petra Martic 6-0 6-4 and Danielle Rose Collins 6-2 6-76

6-1.

In the semifinal, Kasatkina defeated Collins (6-2 6-76 6-1). During the match Kasatkina scored 106 points vs Collins’s 83. Kasatkina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Kasatkina blasted 10 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 68% of her first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (11/29) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Collins 9 times after converting 47% of her break points (9/19).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Darya has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.

The Russian has a 9-3 win-loss record in 2021, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Melbourne

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016. See her history

.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bouzkova Kasatkina
Match played 4 5
Tot Set 10 12
Tot Games 92 106
Pts 353-281 385-310
Total Points 634 695
Winners 137 165
%Winners 39% 43%

Bouzkova played 4 matches while Kasatkina competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Marie Bouzkova lost 2 sets, while Daria Kasatkina conceded 2 sets. Bouzkova has played 2 set(s) less than Kasatkina (10 vs 12). Therefore, Bouzkova played 14 games less than Kasatkina. Bouzkova scored 137 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Darya recorded 165 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bouzkova Kasatkina
Aces 5 15
Avg per match 1.3 3
1st in 202/294 240/358
%1st in 69% 67%
1st pts 137/202 165/240
%1st pts 68% 69%
2nd pts 54/92 54/118
%2nd pts 59% 46%

Bouzkova struck 5 aces (1.3 per match). Kasatkina blasted 15 aces (3 per match). Bouzkova won 68% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bouzkova Kasatkina
Won 21 27
Converted 21/42 27/50
% Converted 50% 54%
Conceded 24 30
Saved 16 18
% Saved 67% 60%
Times Broken 8 12

Bouzkova broke her opponents 21 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Kasatkina broke her opponents 27 times with a 54% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Bouzkova
R1
Kovinic		 R2
Zhu		 R3
Da Silva Fick		 1/4
Belen Teichmann		 1/2
Andreescu		 Total
Score 3-6 5-0 ret. 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-1 6-3 4-6 6-2 6-79 6-2 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 3 12
Tot Games 14 18 14 27 33 106
pts 47-39 71-56 54-27 108-89 120-109 400-320
Total points 86 127 81 197 229 720
Winners 19 26 17 43 51 156
%Winners 40% 37% 31% 40% 43% 39%
SERVE
Aces 1 3 0 1 1 6
Double Faults 1 0 1 4 3 9
1st in 31/39 39/56 24/36 59/87 80/115 233/333
% 1st in 79% 70% 67% 68% 70% 70%
1st pts 19/31 26/39 17/24 43/59 51/80 156/233
% 1st pts 61% 67% 71% 73% 64% 67%
2nd pts 5/8 12/17 9/12 14/28 19/35 59/100
% 2nd pts 63% 71% 75% 50% 54% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 4 6 5 6 24
Converted 3/3 4/8 6/8 5/13 6/13 24/45
Converted % 100% 50% 75% 38% 46% 53%
Conceded 3 5 3 7 9 27
Saved 1/3 4/5 2/3 4/7 6/9 17
Saved % 33% 80% 67% 57% 67% 61%
Times Broken 2 1 1 3 3 10
Kasatkina
R1
Boulter		 R2
Gracheva		 R3
Pavlyuchenkova		 1/4
Martic		 1/2
Collins		 Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-3 2-6 6-1 6-4 6-0 6-4 6-2 6-76 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 3 12
Tot Games 18 19 25 16 28 106
pts 59-44 72-61 83-78 65-44 106-83 385-310
Total points 103 133 161 109 189 695
Winners 24 33 39 29 40 165
%Winners 41% 46% 47% 45% 38% 43%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 1 1 10 15
Double Faults 1 1 7 0 3 12
1st in 33/52 47/67 61/97 38/52 61/90 240/358
% 1st in 63% 70% 63% 73% 68% 67%
1st pts 24/33 33/47 39/61 29/38 40/61 165/240
% 1st pts 73% 70% 64% 76% 66% 69%
2nd pts 14/19 12/20 12/36 5/14 11/29 54/118
% 2nd pts 74% 60% 33% 36% 38% 46%
Breaks
Won 3 3 7 5 9 27
Converted 3/5 3/5 7/9 5/12 9/19 27/50
Converted % 60% 60% 78% 42% 47% 54%
Conceded 1 7 11 2 9 30
Saved 1/1 7/7 5/11 1/2 4/9 18
Saved % 100% 100% 45% 50% 44% 68%
Times Broken 0 0 6 1 5 12

Upcoming matches in the draw

Bouzkova
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Kasatkina

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