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H2H, PREDICTION Marie Bouzkova vs Daria Kasatkina | Melbourne odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Bouzkova and Kasatkina will play each other in the final of the Phillip Island Trophy. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Mark Hall

18 February 2021

Prediction and head to head Marie Bouzkova vs. Daria Kasatkina

Marie Bouzkova and Daria Kasatkina will face off in the final of the Phillip Island Trophy for the 2^nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3 pm on 1573 Arena. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.61
Marie Bouzkova -> 2.44

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Prediction and head to head Marie Bouzkova vs. Daria Kasatkina

This will be the 2^nd time that Marie Bouzkova and Daria Kasatkina face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Kasatkina won 6-4 5-7 7-5 in the qualifications in Ostrava back in 2020.

Marie Bouzkova

Ranked no. 50, Bouzkova reached the qualifications after defeating Danka Kovinic 3-6 5-0 ret., Lin Zhu 6-4 6-2, Gabriella Da Silva Fick 6-1 6-1, Jil Teichmann 6-3 4-6 6-2 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-7⁹ 6-2 7-5.

In the semifinal against Andreescu, The Czech recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁹ 6-2 7-5). During the match Bouzkova scored 120 points vs Andreescu’s 109. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bouzkova scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 70% of her first serves in, winning 64% (51/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the 2nd serve. Bouzkova broke Andreescu 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Bouzkova has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (257-129). 7-2 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Bouzkova has a 176-69 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Bouzkova’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.

Bouzkova has a 7-2 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Melbourne

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018. See her history

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 75, Darya got to the qualifications after beating Katie Boulter 6-4 6-2, Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-3, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 2-6 6-1 6-4, Petra Martic 6-0 6-4 and Danielle Rose Collins 6-2 6-7⁶ 6-1.

In the semifinal, Kasatkina defeated Collins (6-2 6-7⁶ 6-1). During the match Kasatkina scored 106 points vs Collins’s 83. Kasatkina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Kasatkina blasted 10 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 68% of her first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (11/29) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Collins 9 times after converting 47% of her break points (9/19).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Darya has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.

The Russian has a 9-3 win-loss record in 2021, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Melbourne

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2016. See her history

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bouzkova	Kasatkina
Match played	4	5
Tot Set	10	12
Tot Games	92	106
Pts	353-281	385-310
Total Points	634	695
Winners	137	165
%Winners	39%	43%

Bouzkova played 4 matches while Kasatkina competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Marie Bouzkova lost 2 sets, while Daria Kasatkina conceded 2 sets. Bouzkova has played 2 set(s) less than Kasatkina (10 vs 12). Therefore, Bouzkova played 14 games less than Kasatkina. Bouzkova scored 137 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Darya recorded 165 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bouzkova	Kasatkina
Aces	5	15
Avg per match	1.3	3
1st in	202/294	240/358
%1st in	69%	67%
1st pts	137/202	165/240
%1st pts	68%	69%
2nd pts	54/92	54/118
%2nd pts	59%	46%

Bouzkova struck 5 aces (1.3 per match). Kasatkina blasted 15 aces (3 per match). Bouzkova won 68% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bouzkova	Kasatkina
Won	21	27
Converted	21/42	27/50
% Converted	50%	54%
Conceded	24	30
Saved	16	18
% Saved	67%	60%
Times Broken	8	12

Bouzkova broke her opponents 21 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Kasatkina broke her opponents 27 times with a 54% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

	R1 Kovinic	R2 Zhu	R3 Da Silva Fick	1/4 Belen Teichmann	1/2 Andreescu	Total
Bouzkova
Score	3-6 5-0 ret.	6-4 6-2	6-1 6-1	6-3 4-6 6-2	6-7⁹ 6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	3	12
Tot Games	14	18	14	27	33	106
pts	47-39	71-56	54-27	108-89	120-109	400-320
Total points	86	127	81	197	229	720
Winners	19	26	17	43	51	156
%Winners	40%	37%	31%	40%	43%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	3	0	1	1	6
Double Faults	1	0	1	4	3	9
1st in	31/39	39/56	24/36	59/87	80/115	233/333
% 1st in	79%	70%	67%	68%	70%	70%
1st pts	19/31	26/39	17/24	43/59	51/80	156/233
% 1st pts	61%	67%	71%	73%	64%	67%
2nd pts	5/8	12/17	9/12	14/28	19/35	59/100
% 2nd pts	63%	71%	75%	50%	54%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	4	6	5	6	24
Converted	3/3	4/8	6/8	5/13	6/13	24/45
Converted %	100%	50%	75%	38%	46%	53%
Conceded	3	5	3	7	9	27
Saved	1/3	4/5	2/3	4/7	6/9	17
Saved %	33%	80%	67%	57%	67%	61%
Times Broken	2	1	1	3	3	10

	R1 Boulter	R2 Gracheva	R3 Pavlyuchenkova	1/4 Martic	1/2 Collins	Total
Kasatkina
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-3	2-6 6-1 6-4	6-0 6-4	6-2 6-7⁶ 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	3	12
Tot Games	18	19	25	16	28	106
pts	59-44	72-61	83-78	65-44	106-83	385-310
Total points	103	133	161	109	189	695
Winners	24	33	39	29	40	165
%Winners	41%	46%	47%	45%	38%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	1	1	10	15
Double Faults	1	1	7	0	3	12
1st in	33/52	47/67	61/97	38/52	61/90	240/358
% 1st in	63%	70%	63%	73%	68%	67%
1st pts	24/33	33/47	39/61	29/38	40/61	165/240
% 1st pts	73%	70%	64%	76%	66%	69%
2nd pts	14/19	12/20	12/36	5/14	11/29	54/118
% 2nd pts	74%	60%	33%	36%	38%	46%
Breaks
Won	3	3	7	5	9	27
Converted	3/5	3/5	7/9	5/12	9/19	27/50
Converted %	60%	60%	78%	42%	47%	54%
Conceded	1	7	11	2	9	30
Saved	1/1	7/7	5/11	1/2	4/9	18
Saved %	100%	100%	45%	50%	44%	68%
Times Broken	0	0	6	1	5	12