Naomi Osaka and Jennifer Brady will face off in the final of the Australian Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7.30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.56
Jennifer Brady -> 2.77
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Jennifer Brady
This will be the 4th time that Naomi Osaka and Jennifer Brady play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Osaka (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Osaka won 7-6(1) 3-6 6-3 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in 2020.
Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Jennifer Brady – U.S. Open 10-September-2020
Naomi Osaka
Ranked no. 3, the Japanese got to the final after defeating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-1 6-2, Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-3, Ons Jabeur 6-3 6-2, Garbine Muguruza 4-6 6-4 7-5, Su-Wei Hsieh 6-2 6-2 and Serena Williams 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Williams (6-3 6-4). During the match Osaka scored 62 points vs Williams’s 48. Osaka was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Osaka recorded 6 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 45% of her first serves in, winning 85% (23/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Osaka was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Williams 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Osaka has lost 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points she played.
Osaka has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (215-112). 9-0 on hard in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Osaka has a 149-68 record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne and at the Australian Open .
Osaka has a 9-0 win-loss record in 2021, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Osaka lost in the 3rd round to Cori Gauff.
Jennifer Brady
Ranked no. 24 (career high), the American reached the final after beating Aliona Bolsova 6-1 6-3, Madison Brengle 6-1 6-2, Kaja Juvan 6-1 6-3, Donna Vekic 6-1 7-5, Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-2 6-1 and Karolina Muchova 6-4 3-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Brady defeated Muchova (6-4 3-6 6-4).-80) than Muchova. In fact, the world no. 3 won 80 points vs Muchova’s. That means that Brady was more focused during the important points. Jennifer was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Brady scored 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jennifer Brady lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Brady put 50% of her first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (28/48) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Muchova 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Brady has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne and at the Australian Open .
The American has a 9-2 win-loss record in 2021, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The American lost in the 1st round to Simona Halep.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Osaka | Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 116 | 120 |
| Pts | 420-321 | 418-316 |
| Total Points | 741 | 734 |
| Winners | 155 | 156 |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% |
Both Osaka and Brady played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Naomi Osaka surrendered 1 set, while Jennifer Brady dropped 2 sets. Osaka has played 1 set(s) less than Brady (13 vs 14). Therefore, Osaka played 4 games less than Brady. Osaka scored 155 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 156 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Osaka | Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 44 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 195/373 | 202/392 |
| %1st in | 52% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 155/195 | 156/202 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 95/178 | 102/190 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 54% |
Osaka fired 44 aces (7.3 per match). Brady fired 32 aces (5.3 per match). Osaka won 79% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Brady won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Osaka | Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 25 | 27 |
| Converted | 25/51 | 27/42 |
| % Converted | 49% | 64% |
| Conceded | 27 | 29 |
| Saved | 19 | 20 |
| % Saved | 70% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 9 |
The Japanese broke her opponents 25 times with a 49% conversion rate. Osaka conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 27 times with a 64% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Osaka | ||||||||
| R1 Pavlyuchenkova |
R2 Garcia |
R3 Jabeur |
R4 Muguruza |
1/4 Hsieh |
1/2 Williams |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 17 | 32 | 16 | 19 | 116 | |
| pts | 65-39 | 61-39 | 74-61 | 93-90 | 65-44 | 62-48 | 420-321 | |
| Total points | 104 | 100 | 135 | 183 | 109 | 110 | 741 | |
| Winners | 22 | 24 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 23 | 155 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 39% | 35% | 40% | 35% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 27/45 | 28/48 | 35/81 | 53/87 | 25/52 | 27/60 | 195/373 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 58% | 43% | 61% | 48% | 45% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 24/28 | 26/35 | 37/53 | 23/25 | 23/27 | 155/195 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 86% | 74% | 70% | 92% | 85% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 14/20 | 22/46 | 18/34 | 15/27 | 16/33 | 95/178 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 70% | 48% | 53% | 56% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 25 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/7 | 4/7 | 5/14 | 4/12 | 4/4 | 25/51 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 43% | 57% | 36% | 33% | 100% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 6/7 | 4/8 | 3/3 | 5/7 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 86% | 50% | 100% | 71% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | |
| Brady | ||||||||
| R1 Bolsova |
R2 Brengle |
R3 Juvan |
R4 Vekic |
1/4 Pegula |
1/2 Muchova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 7-5 | 4-6 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 25 | 29 | 120 | |
| pts | 57-35 | 56-32 | 70-51 | 75-52 | 80-63 | 80-83 | 418-316 | |
| Total points | 92 | 88 | 121 | 127 | 143 | 163 | 734 | |
| Winners | 17 | 23 | 23 | 29 | 31 | 33 | 156 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 41% | 33% | 39% | 39% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 20/39 | 29/47 | 33/70 | 34/63 | 38/77 | 48/96 | 202/392 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 62% | 47% | 54% | 49% | 50% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 17/20 | 23/29 | 23/33 | 29/34 | 31/38 | 33/48 | 156/202 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 79% | 70% | 85% | 82% | 69% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/19 | 11/18 | 19/37 | 14/29 | 15/39 | 28/48 | 102/190 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 61% | 51% | 48% | 38% | 58% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 27 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/6 | 5/10 | 4/6 | 7/10 | 3/3 | 27/42 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 70% | 100% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 29 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7/8 | 3/4 | 6/10 | 4/7 | 20 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 88% | 75% | 60% | 57% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLWW
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jennifer BradyBrady – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
