Danielle Rose Collins and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the semifinal of the Phillip Island Trophy for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1 pm on 1573 Arena. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Danielle Rose Collins who should win in 3 sets.
Danielle Rose Collins -> 1.77
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Danielle Rose Collins vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 2nd time that Danielle Rose Collins and Daria Kasatkina fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kasatkina won 6-2 6-3 in the 2nd round in Rome back in 2018.
Danielle Rose Collins
Ranked no. 40, Collins got to the 2nd round after defeating Varvara Lepchenko 6-73 6-1 6-3, Misaki Doi 6-4 6-2 and Rebecca Peterson 6-1 6-2.
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Peterson (6-1 6-2). During the match Collins scored 68 points vs Peterson’s 43. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Collins recorded 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Danielle Rose Collins was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (27/38) of her 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Peterson 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Danielle has lost 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points she played.
Collins has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 61% of her matches (137-86). 7-2 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Collins has a 94-58 record in the last 6 years on hard.
The American has a 7-2 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Melbourne
Collins lost in the 2nd round to Yulia Putintseva.
Daria Kasatkina
Ranked no. 75, Kasatkina reached the 2nd round after defeating Katie Boulter 6-4 6-2, Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-3, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 2-6 6-1 6-4 and Petra Martic 6-0 6-4.
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Martic (6-0 6-4). During the match Kasatkina scored 65 points vs Martic’s 44. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 73% of her first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Martic 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a 8-3 win-loss record in 2021, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Melbourne
Darya lost in the 1st round to Madison Keys.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Collins | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 78 |
| Pts | 242-188 | 279-227 |
| Total Points | 430 | 506 |
| Winners | 92 | 125 |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% |
Collins played 3 matches while Kasatkina competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Danielle Rose Collins conceded 1 set, while Daria Kasatkina conceded 1 set. Collins has played 2 set(s) less than Kasatkina (7 vs 9). Therefore, Collins played 16 games less than Kasatkina. The American scored 92 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Darya blasted 125 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Collins | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 127/216 | 179/268 |
| %1st in | 59% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 92/127 | 125/179 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 51/89 | 43/89 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 48% |
Collins blasted 10 aces (3.3 per match). Kasatkina bagged 5 aces (1.3 per match). Collins won 72% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Collins | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 18 |
| Converted | 13/25 | 18/31 |
| % Converted | 52% | 58% |
| Conceded | 17 | 21 |
| Saved | 15 | 14 |
| % Saved | 88% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
Danielle broke her opponents 13 times with a 52% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve twice and she saved 88% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 18 times with a 58% conversion rate. Darya conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Collins | |||||
| R2 Lepchenko | R3 Doi | 1/4 Peterson | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 18 | 15 | 62 | |
| pts | 116-100 | 58-45 | 68-43 | 242-188 | |
| Total points | 216 | 103 | 111 | 430 | |
| Winners | 42 | 23 | 27 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 59/98 | 30/53 | 38/65 | 127/216 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 57% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 42/59 | 23/30 | 27/38 | 92/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 77% | 71% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/39 | 12/23 | 16/27 | 51/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 52% | 59% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 13/25 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 67% | 67% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 10 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/1 | 10/10 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 0% | 100% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Kasatkina | ||||||
| R1 Boulter | R2 Gracheva | R3 Pavlyuchenkova | 1/4 Martic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | 2-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-0 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 25 | 16 | 78 | |
| pts | 59-44 | 72-61 | 83-78 | 65-44 | 279-227 | |
| Total points | 103 | 133 | 161 | 109 | 506 | |
| Winners | 24 | 33 | 39 | 29 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 46% | 47% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 47/67 | 61/97 | 38/52 | 179/268 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 70% | 63% | 73% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 33/47 | 39/61 | 29/38 | 125/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 70% | 64% | 76% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 12/20 | 12/36 | 5/14 | 43/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 60% | 33% | 36% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | 7/9 | 5/12 | 18/31 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | 78% | 42% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 21 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 7/7 | 5/11 | 1/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 45% | 50% | 98% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
Tennis Scores in Melbourne
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna Blinkova/Anastasia PotapovaBlinkova/Anastasia Potapova – Kateryna Bondarenko/Nadiya KichenokBondarenko/Nadiya Kichenok (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-3 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Makoto Ninomiya/Yafan WangNinomiya/Yafan Wang – Hao-Ching Chan/Latisha ChanChan/Latisha Chan (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Petra MarticMartic (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Nikala ScholtzScholtz – Marc PolmansPolmans (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-2) – H2H and prediction