Jennifer Brady and Karolina Muchova will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jennifer Brady who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jennifer Brady is the pick to win this match.
Jennifer Brady -> 1.57
Karolina Muchova -> 2.37

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Prediction and head to head Jennifer Brady vs. Karolina Muchova

This will be the 2nd time that Jennifer Brady and Karolina Muchova face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Muchova won 6-4 3-6 7-6(2) in the 2nd round in Prague back in 2019.

Jennifer Brady

Ranked no. 24 (career high), Brady reached the 2nd round after beating Aliona Bolsova 6-1 6-3, Madison Brengle 6-1 6-2, Kaja Juvan 6-1 6-3, Donna Vekic 6-1 7-5 and Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-2 6-1.

In the quarter against Pegula, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-1). During the match Brady scored 80 points vs Pegula’s 63. Brady was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Brady recorded 7 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jennifer Brady lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Brady put 49% of her first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (15/39) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Pegula 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jennifer has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Brady has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 60% of her matches (240-157). 8-2 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Brady has a 176-96 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

The American’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.

Jennifer has a 8-2 win-loss record in 2021, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Brady lost in the 1st round to Simona Halep.

Karolina Muchova

Ranked no. 27, the Czech reached the 2nd round after defeating Jelena Ostapenko 7-5 6-2, Mona Barthel 6-4 6-1, Karolina Pliskova 7-5 7-5, Elise Mertens 7-65 7-5 and Ashleigh Barty 1-6 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter against Barty, The Czech recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Muchova scored 80 points vs Barty’s 75. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Muchova scored 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 61% (28/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (22/35) on the 2nd serve. Karolina broke Barty 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Czech has a 8-0 win-loss record in 2021, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

The Czech lost in the 2nd round to Catherine Cartan Bellis.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Brady Muchova
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 11 11
Tot Games 91 110
Pts 338-233 398-343
Total Points 571 741
Winners 123 145
%Winners 36% 36%

Both Brady and Muchova played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jennifer Brady lost 1 set, while Karolina Muchova lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Brady and Muchova have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Brady played 19 games less than Muchova. Brady scored 123 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Karolina fired 145 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Brady Muchova
Aces 24 16
Avg per match 4.8 3.2
1st in 154/296 236/362
%1st in 52% 65%
1st pts 123/154 145/236
%1st pts 80% 61%
2nd pts 74/142 71/126
%2nd pts 52% 56%

Brady blasted 24 aces (4.8 per match). Muchova scored 16 aces (3.2 per match). Brady won 80% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Brady Muchova
Won 24 26
Converted 24/39 26/50
% Converted 62% 52%
Conceded 22 45
Saved 16 30
% Saved 73% 67%
Times Broken 6 15

Jennifer broke her opponents 24 times with a 62% conversion rate. The American lost her serve 6 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponents 26 times with a 52% conversion rate. Muchova conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Brady
R1
Bolsova		 R2
Brengle		 R3
Juvan		 R4
Vekic		 1/4
Pegula		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-1 6-2 6-1 6-3 6-1 7-5 4-6 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 3 11
Tot Games 16 15 16 19 25 91
pts 57-35 56-32 70-51 75-52 80-63 338-233
Total points 92 88 121 127 143 571
Winners 17 23 23 29 31 123
%Winners 30% 41% 33% 39% 39% 36%
SERVE
Aces 2 5 1 9 7 24
Double Faults 0 2 1 3 5 11
1st in 20/39 29/47 33/70 34/63 38/77 154/296
% 1st in 51% 62% 47% 54% 49% 52%
1st pts 17/20 23/29 23/33 29/34 31/38 123/154
% 1st pts 85% 79% 70% 85% 82% 80%
2nd pts 15/19 11/18 19/37 14/29 15/39 74/142
% 2nd pts 79% 61% 51% 48% 38% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 4 5 4 7 24
Converted 4/7 4/6 5/10 4/6 7/10 24/39
Converted % 57% 67% 50% 67% 70% 62%
Conceded 0 0 8 4 10 22
Saved 0/0 0/0 7/8 3/4 6/10 16
Saved % – – 88% 75% 60% 45%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1 4 6
Muchova
R1
Ostapenko		 R2
Barthel		 R3
Pliskova		 R4
Mertens		 1/4
Barty		 Total
Score 7-5 6-2 6-4 6-1 7-5 7-5 7-65 7-5 1-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 3 11
Tot Games 20 17 24 25 24 110
pts 84-73 65-47 91-80 78-68 80-75 398-343
Total points 157 112 171 146 155 741
Winners 35 20 27 35 28 145
%Winners 42% 31% 30% 45% 35% 36%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 3 4 2 16
Double Faults 4 2 1 1 3 11
1st in 54/79 31/51 53/80 52/71 46/81 236/362
% 1st in 68% 61% 66% 73% 57% 65%
1st pts 35/54 20/31 27/53 35/52 28/46 145/236
% 1st pts 65% 65% 51% 67% 61% 61%
2nd pts 10/25 13/20 18/27 8/19 22/35 71/126
% 2nd pts 40% 65% 67% 42% 63% 56%
Breaks
Won 6 5 6 5 4 26
Converted 6/11 5/11 6/11 5/6 4/11 26/50
Converted % 55% 45% 55% 83% 36% 52%
Conceded 11 3 12 6 13 45
Saved 8/11 2/3 8/12 2/6 10/13 30
Saved % 73% 67% 67% 33% 77% 63%
Times Broken 3 1 4 4 3 15

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Brady
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Muchova

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