Jennifer Brady and Jessica Pegula will square off in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jennifer Brady who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jennifer Brady is the pick to win this match.
Jennifer Brady -> 1.42
Jessica Pegula -> 3.06

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Prediction and head to head Jennifer Brady vs. Jessica Pegula

This will be the 2nd time that Jennifer Brady and Jessica Pegula square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Pegula won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the 1st round in New York back in 2020.

Jennifer Brady

Ranked no. 24 (career high), the American reached the 1st round after defeating Aliona Bolsova 6-1 6-3, Madison Brengle 6-1 6-2, Kaja Juvan 6-1 6-3 and Donna Vekic 6-1 7-5.

In the 4th round, The American had a good straight sets win against Vekic (6-1 7-5). During the match Brady scored 75 points vs Vekic’s 52. Jennifer was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Brady bagged 9 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Jennifer Brady lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Brady put 54% of her first serves in, winning 85% (29/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Vekic 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jennifer hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points she played.

Brady has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 60% of her matches (239-157). 7-2 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Brady has a 175-96 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Jennifer’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.

Jennifer has a 7-2 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Brady lost in the 1st round to Simona Halep.

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 61, Pegula got to the 1st round after beating Victoria Azarenka 7-5 6-4, Samantha Stosur 6-0 6-1, Kristina Mladenovic 6-2 6-1 and Elina Svitolina 6-4 3-6 6-3.

In the 4th round, Pegula defeated Svitolina (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Pegula scored 91 points vs Svitolina’s 87. Pegula was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Pegula blasted 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 70% of her first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Svitolina 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

The American has a 6-2 win-loss record in 2021, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Jessica lost in the 1st round to Taylor Townsend.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Brady Pegula
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 8 9
Tot Games 66 78
Pts 258-170 277-213
Total Points 428 490
Winners 92 100
%Winners 36% 36%

Both Brady and Pegula played 4 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula conceded 1 set while Jennifer Brady hasn’t conceded a set so far. Brady has played 1 set(s) less than Pegula (8 vs 9). Therefore, Brady played 12 games less than Pegula. Brady scored 92 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Jessica made 100 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Brady Pegula
Aces 17 16
Avg per match 4.3 4
1st in 116/219 146/235
%1st in 53% 62%
1st pts 92/116 100/146
%1st pts 79% 68%
2nd pts 59/103 53/89
%2nd pts 57% 60%

Brady fired 17 aces (4.3 per match). Pegula recorded 16 aces (4 per match). Brady won 79% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Brady Pegula
Won 17 20
Converted 17/29 20/37
% Converted 59% 54%
Conceded 12 13
Saved 10 7
% Saved 83% 54%
Times Broken 2 6

Brady broke her opponents 17 times with a 59% conversion rate. Jennifer conceded her serve twice and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 20 times with a 54% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Brady
R1
Bolsova		 R2
Brengle		 R3
Juvan		 R4
Vekic		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-1 6-2 6-1 6-3 6-1 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 16 15 16 19 66
pts 57-35 56-32 70-51 75-52 258-170
Total points 92 88 121 127 428
Winners 17 23 23 29 92
%Winners 30% 41% 33% 39% 36%
SERVE
Aces 2 5 1 9 17
Double Faults 0 2 1 3 6
1st in 20/39 29/47 33/70 34/63 116/219
% 1st in 51% 62% 47% 54% 53%
1st pts 17/20 23/29 23/33 29/34 92/116
% 1st pts 85% 79% 70% 85% 79%
2nd pts 15/19 11/18 19/37 14/29 59/103
% 2nd pts 79% 61% 51% 48% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 4 5 4 17
Converted 4/7 4/6 5/10 4/6 17/29
Converted % 57% 67% 50% 67% 59%
Conceded 0 0 8 4 12
Saved 0/0 0/0 7/8 3/4 10
Saved % – – 88% 75% 41%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1 2
Pegula
R1
Azarenka		 R2
Stosur		 R3
Mladenovic		 R4
Svitolina		 Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-0 6-1 6-2 6-1 6-4 3-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 22 13 15 28 78
pts 73-68 54-25 59-33 91-87 277-213
Total points 141 79 92 178 490
Winners 27 19 16 38 100
%Winners 37% 35% 27% 42% 36%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 2 4 16
Double Faults 1 0 1 2 4
1st in 39/69 25/37 25/47 57/82 146/235
% 1st in 57% 68% 53% 70% 62%
1st pts 27/39 19/25 16/25 38/57 100/146
% 1st pts 69% 76% 64% 67% 68%
2nd pts 16/30 8/12 15/22 14/25 53/89
% 2nd pts 53% 67% 68% 56% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 6 6 4 20
Converted 4/7 6/8 6/8 4/14 20/37
Converted % 57% 75% 75% 29% 54%
Conceded 2 0 4 7 13
Saved 0/2 0/0 3/4 4/7 7
Saved % 0% – 75% 57% 33%
Times Broken 2 0 1 3 6

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Brady
More Stats
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Pegula

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