Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev will square off in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 5th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.39
Andrey Rublev -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Andrey Rublev

This will be the 5th time that Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev square off. The head to head is 4-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Medvedev won 7-6(6) 6-3 7-6(5) in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in 2020.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev – U.S. Open 09-September-2020

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 4 (career high), Medvedev reached the quarter after defeating Vasek Pospisil 6-2 6-2 6-4, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 7-5 6-1, Filip Krajinovic 6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 6-2 6-3.

In the 4th round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-4 6-2 6-3). During the match Medvedev scored 81 points vs Mcdonald’s 60. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Medvedev struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was very efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Medvedev broke Mcdonald 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medvedev has dropped 2 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of his matches (328-151). 8-0 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a 132-50 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

The Russian has a 8-0 win-loss record in 2021, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

The Russian lost in the 4th round to Stan Wawrinka.

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 8 (career high), Andrey reached the quarter after beating Yannick Hanfmann 6-3 6-3 6-4, Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-4 6-4 7-68, Feliciano Lopez 7-5 6-2 6-3 and Casper Ruud 6-2 7-63 0-0 ret..

In the 4th round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Ruud (6-2 7-63 0-0 ret.). During the match Rublev scored 66 points vs Ruud’s 51. Rublev was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Rublev recorded 4 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Andrey Rublev was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rublev broke Ruud 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Russian has a 8-0 win-loss record in 2021, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Last year at the Australian Open

Rublev lost in the 4th round to Alexander Zverev.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Rublev
Match played 4 3
Tot Set 14 9
Tot Games 123 90
Pts 409-304 301-245
Total Points 713 546
Winners 171 129
%Winners 42% 43%

Medvedev played 4 matches while Rublev competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev dropped 2 sets while Andrey Rublev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 5 sets more than Rublev (14 vs 9). Therefore, Medvedev played 33 games more than Rublev. Daniil scored 171 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Rublev bagged 129 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Rublev
Aces 43 45
Avg per match 10.8 15
1st in 215/351 153/251
%1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 171/215 129/153
%1st pts 80% 84%
2nd pts 75/136 61/98
%2nd pts 55% 62%

Medvedev struck 43 aces (10.8 per match). Rublev scored 45 aces (15 per match). Medvedev won 80% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Rublev
Won 25 11
Converted 25/42 11/31
% Converted 60% 35%
Conceded 17 11
Saved 11 10
% Saved 65% 91%
Times Broken 6 1

Daniil broke his opponents 25 times with a 60% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Rublev broke his opponents 11 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Pospisil
R2
Carballes Baena
R3
Krajinovic
R4
Mcdonald
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-4 6-2 7-5 6-1 6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0 6-4 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 5 3 14
Tot Games 26 27 43 27 123
pts 89-63 95-53 144-128 81-60 409-304
Total points 152 148 272 141 713
Winners 39 42 54 36 171
%Winners 44% 44% 38% 44% 42%
SERVE
Aces 8 13 15 7 43
Double Faults 2 3 4 2 11
1st in 50/74 49/76 70/130 46/71 215/351
% 1st in 68% 64% 54% 65% 61%
1st pts 39/50 42/49 54/70 36/46 171/215
% 1st pts 78% 86% 77% 78% 80%
2nd pts 16/24 13/27 31/60 15/25 75/136
% 2nd pts 67% 48% 52% 60% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 7 7 6 25
Converted 5/9 7/8 7/18 6/7 25/42
Converted % 56% 88% 39% 86% 60%
Conceded 1 4 11 1 17
Saved 1/1 2/4 8/11 0/1 11
Saved % 100% 50% 73% 0% 56%
Times Broken 0 2 3 1 6
Rublev
R1
Hanfmann
R2
Moura Monteiro
R3
Lopez
R4
Ruud
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-68 7-5 6-2 6-3 6-2 7-63 0-0 ret.
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 12
Tot Games 28 33 29 21 111
pts 100-84 109-94 92-67 66-51 367-296
Total points 184 203 159 117 663
Winners 41 49 39 27 156
%Winners 41% 45% 42% 41% 43%
SERVE
Aces 17 16 12 4 49
Double Faults 3 0 3 0 6
1st in 52/77 59/93 42/81 35/58 188/309
% 1st in 68% 63% 52% 60% 61%
1st pts 41/52 49/59 39/42 27/35 156/188
% 1st pts 79% 83% 93% 77% 83%
2nd pts 12/25 25/34 24/39 13/23 74/121
% 2nd pts 48% 74% 62% 57% 61%
Breaks
Won 5 2 4 4 15
Converted 5/13 2/9 4/9 4/10 15/41
Converted % 38% 22% 44% 40% 37%
Conceded 4 4 3 3 14
Saved 3/4 4/4 3/3 1/3 11
Saved % 75% 100% 100% 33% 77%
Times Broken 1 0 0 2 3

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw