Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas will fight against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 8th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7.30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.46
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 2.89
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
This will be the 8th time that Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas face off. The head to head is 6-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Nadal won 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2020.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Nitto atp finals 19-November-2020
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the R after defeating Laslo Djere 6-3 6-4 6-1, Michael Mmoh 6-1 6-4 6-2, Cameron Norrie 7-5 6-2 7-5 and Fabio Fognini 6-3 6-4 6-2.
In the 4th round, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match Nadal scored 99 points vs Fognini’s 73. Nadal was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Fognini 6 times after converting 32% of his break points (6/19).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Nadal has a a solid record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (467-88). 4-0 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Nadal has a 192-44 match record in the last years on hard.
Rafael has a 4-0 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
The Spaniard had to surrender in the quarter to Dominic Thiem.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranked no. 6, Stefanos got to the R after beating Gilles Simon 6-1 6-2 6-1, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-75 6-4 6-1 6-75 6-4, Mikael Ymer 6-4 6-1 6-1 and Matteo Berrettini w/o.
In the 4th round, The Greek defeated Berrettini (w/o). During the match Tsitsipas and Berrettini scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 2 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match.
Talking about serving, Tsitsipas wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Stefanos Tsitsipas conceded no breaks for the entire match to put NAN% of his first serves in, win NAN% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and NAN% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Greek has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Tsitsipas has a 5-0 win-loss record in 2021, 5-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Stefanos lost in the 3rd round to Milos Raonic.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 110 | 99 |
| Pts | 379-266 | 357-263 |
| Total Points | 645 | 620 |
| Winners | 159 | 138 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Nadal played 4 matches while Tsitsipas competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Stefanos Tsitsipas dropped 2 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set more than Tsitsipas (12 vs 11). Therefore, Nadal played 11 games more than Tsitsipas. The Spaniard scored 159 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Tsitsipas bagged 138 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 8.7 |
| 1st in | 198/293 | 166/269 |
| %1st in | 68% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 159/198 | 138/166 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 58/95 | 63/103 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 61% |
Nadal fired 25 aces (6.3 per match). Tsitsipas blasted 26 aces (8.7 per match). Nadal won 80% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 22 | 19 |
| Converted | 22/53 | 19/44 |
| % Converted | 42% | 43% |
| Conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Saved | 8 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Nadal broke his opponents 22 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Tsitsipas broke his opponents 19 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Greek conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | ||||||
| R1 Djere |
R2 Mmoh |
R3 Norrie |
R4 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | 7-5 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 25 | 32 | 27 | 110 | |
| pts | 87-60 | 86-54 | 107-79 | 99-73 | 379-266 | |
| Total points | 147 | 140 | 186 | 172 | 645 | |
| Winners | 40 | 43 | 43 | 33 | 159 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 48/72 | 51/67 | 56/82 | 43/72 | 198/293 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 76% | 68% | 60% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 40/48 | 43/51 | 43/56 | 33/43 | 159/198 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 84% | 77% | 77% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 9/16 | 18/26 | 20/29 | 58/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 56% | 69% | 69% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 5/11 | 5/12 | 6/19 | 22/53 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 45% | 42% | 32% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 0% | 67% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tsitsipas | ||||||
| R1 Simon |
R2 Kokkinakis |
R3 Ymer |
R4 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 6-1 | 6-75 6-4 6-1 6-75 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 6-1 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 53 | 24 | 0 | 99 | |
| pts | 82-42 | 188-166 | 87-55 | – | 357-263 | |
| Total points | 124 | 354 | 142 | 0 | 620 | |
| Winners | 27 | 80 | 31 | 138 | ||
| %Winners | 33% | 43% | 36% | NAN% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 10 | 3 | 14 | ||
| 1st in | 33/56 | 93/147 | 40/66 | / | 166/269 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 63% | 61% | – | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 80/93 | 31/40 | / | 138/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 86% | 78% | – | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/23 | 30/54 | 16/26 | / | 63/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 56% | 62% | – | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 7 | 19 | ||
| Converted | 7/10 | 5/22 | 7/12 | / | 19/44 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 23% | 58% | – | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | ||
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 0/ | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 0% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||
Head 2 Head
LW Tennis Scores at the Australian Open
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – John Peers/Michael VenusPeers/Michael Venus (7-64 7-64) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-61 7-65 7-65) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Feliciano LopezLopez (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Mikael YmerYmer (6-4 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-5 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Lloyd HarrisHarris (7-67 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-1 5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (4-6 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-76 7-5 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-62 5-7 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-61 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexander ZverevZverev (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Rafael NadalNadal (1-6) – H2H and prediction
