Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Daria Kasatkina will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Phillip Island Trophy for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3 pm on 1573 Arena. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.62
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -> 2.36

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Prediction and head to head Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. Daria Kasatkina

This will be the 4th time that Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Daria Kasatkina play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Kasatkina won 6-4 6-3 in the quarter in Moscow back in 2018.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Ranked no. 39, Pavlyuchenkova reached the quarter after defeating Ajla Tomljanovic 5-7 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Tomljanovic, Pavlyuchenkova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-2). During the match Pavlyuchenkova scored 87 points vs Tomljanovic’s 81. Anastasia was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pavlyuchenkova managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pavlyuchenkova put 69% of her first serves in, winning 65% (39/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Pavlyuchenkova has a favorable record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (242-196). 3-3 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pavlyuchenkova has a 136-113 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Anastasia has a 3-3 win-loss record in 2021, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in Melbourne

Pavlyuchenkova surrendered in the quarter to Garbine Muguruza.

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 75, Darya reached the quarter after beating Katie Boulter 6-4 6-2 and Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Gracheva (6-4 6-3). During the match Kasatkina scored 72 points vs Gracheva’s 61. Kasatkina was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Daria Kasatkina conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 7 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 70% of her first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Gracheva 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Darya hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Darya has a 6-3 win-loss record in 2021, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in Melbourne

Kasatkina had to surrender in the 1st round to Madison Keys.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pavlyuchenkova Kasatkina
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 4
Tot Games 30 37
Pts 87-81 131-105
Total Points 168 236
Winners 39 57
%Winners 45% 44%

Pavlyuchenkova played 1 match while Kasatkina competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova conceded 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t lost a set so far. Pavlyuchenkova has played 1 set(s) less than Kasatkina (3 vs 4). Therefore, Pavlyuchenkova played 7 games less than Kasatkina. The Russian scored 39 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Kasatkina recorded 57 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pavlyuchenkova Kasatkina
Aces 3 3
Avg per match 3 1.5
1st in 60/87 80/119
%1st in 69% 67%
1st pts 39/60 57/80
%1st pts 65% 71%
2nd pts 14/27 26/39
%2nd pts 52% 67%

Pavlyuchenkova managed to score 3 aces . Kasatkina bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pavlyuchenkova won 65% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pavlyuchenkova Kasatkina
Won 5 6
Converted 5/8 6/10
% Converted 63% 60%
Conceded 6 8
Saved 3 8
% Saved 50% 100%
Times Broken 3 0

The Russian broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Kasatkina broke her opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Russian was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.

Pavlyuchenkova
R2
Tomljanovic
Total
Score 5-7 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 87-81 87-81
Total points 168 168
Winners 39 39
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 60/87 60/87
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 39/60 39/60
% 1st pts 65% 65%
2nd pts 14/27 14/27
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/8 5/8
Converted % 63% 63%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 3/6 3
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 3 3
Kasatkina
R1
Boulter
R2
Gracheva
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 19 37
pts 59-44 72-61 131-105
Total points 103 133 236
Winners 24 33 57
%Winners 41% 46% 44%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 3
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 33/52 47/67 80/119
% 1st in 63% 70% 67%
1st pts 24/33 33/47 57/80
% 1st pts 73% 70% 71%
2nd pts 14/19 12/20 26/39
% 2nd pts 74% 60% 67%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/5 3/5 6/10
Converted % 60% 60% 60%
Conceded 1 7 8
Saved 1/1 7/7 8
Saved % 100% 100% 200%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores in Melbourne

Upcoming matches in the draw