Ashleigh Barty and Shelby Rogers will play each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ashleigh Barty who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ashleigh Barty is the pick to win this match.
Ashleigh Barty -> 1.27
Shelby Rogers -> 4.1
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Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Shelby Rogers
This will be the 3rd time that Ashleigh Barty and Shelby Rogers square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Barty (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Barty won 7-5 2-6 10-4 in the quarter in Melbourne back in February 2021.
Highlights Ashleigh Barty vs Shelby Rogers – Melbourne 05-February-2021
Ashleigh Barty
Currently world no. 1 Ashleigh reached the quarter after defeating Danka Kovinic 6-0 6-0, Daria Gavrilova 6-1 7-67 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Barty had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (6-2 6-4). During the match Barty scored 68 points vs Alexandrova’s 53. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Barty scored 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Ashleigh Barty lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Barty put 57% of her first serves in, winning 76% (22/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Ashleigh broke Alexandrova 5 times after converting 29% of her break points (5/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Barty hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 61% of the points she played.
Barty has a a good record in the last 10 years having won 74% of her matches (250-88). 7-0 on hard in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Barty has a 137-45 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Melbourne where she defeated Garbine Muguruza in the final 7-6(3) 6-4.
The Australian has a 7-0 win-loss record in 2021, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Barty capitulated in the semifinal to Sofia Kenin.
Shelby Rogers
Ranked no. 57, Rogers reached the quarter after defeating Francesca Jones 6-4 6-1, Olga Danilovic 6-2 6-3 and Anett Kontaveit 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Shelby had a good straight sets win against Kontaveit (6-4 6-3). During the match Rogers scored 69 points vs Kontaveit’s 56. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Rogers scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Shelby Rogers lost the serve once. Furthermore, Rogers put 52% of her first serves in, winning 70% (21/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. Rogers broke Kontaveit 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shelby hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
The American has a 6-1 win-loss record in 2021, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Shelby surrendered in the 1st round to Garbine Muguruza.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Barty | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 53 |
| Pts | 191-123 | 195-134 |
| Total Points | 314 | 329 |
| Winners | 65 | 65 |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% |
Both Barty and Rogers played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Barty and Rogers have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Barty played 3 games less than Rogers. The Australian scored 65 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Rogers made 65 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Barty | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 87/152 | 81/141 |
| %1st in | 57% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 65/87 | 65/81 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 33/65 | 37/60 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 62% |
Barty made 16 aces (5.3 per match). Rogers bagged 18 aces (6 per match). Barty won 75% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Rogers won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Barty | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 13 |
| Converted | 17/31 | 13/30 |
| % Converted | 55% | 43% |
| Conceded | 13 | 3 |
| Saved | 7 | 0 |
| % Saved | 54% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
The Australian broke her opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. Ashleigh conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Shelby conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
| Barty | |||||
| R1 Kovinic |
R2 Gavrilova |
R3 Alexandrova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | 6-1 7-67 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 20 | 18 | 50 | |
| pts | 50-10 | 73-60 | 68-53 | 191-123 | |
| Total points | 60 | 133 | 121 | 314 | |
| Winners | 16 | 27 | 22 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 37% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 18/27 | 40/74 | 29/51 | 87/152 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 54% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 16/18 | 27/40 | 22/29 | 65/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 68% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/9 | 14/34 | 11/22 | 33/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 89% | 41% | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/6 | 5/17 | 17/31 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 100% | 29% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/10 | 1/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 33% | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Rogers | |||||
| R1 Jones |
R2 Danilovic |
R3 Kontaveit |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 19 | 53 | |
| pts | 60-36 | 66-42 | 69-56 | 195-134 | |
| Total points | 96 | 108 | 125 | 329 | |
| Winners | 25 | 19 | 21 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 29% | 30% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 1 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 29/43 | 22/40 | 30/58 | 81/141 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 55% | 52% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 19/22 | 21/30 | 65/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | 70% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 11/18 | 18/28 | 37/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 61% | 64% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/12 | 4/10 | 13/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 42% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWLWL Tennis Scores at the Australian Open
- Su-Wei HsiehHsieh – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Serena WilliamsWilliams – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (4-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Shelby RogersRogers (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Jennifer BradyBrady (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Simona HalepHalep (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Su-Wei HsiehHsieh – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-4) – H2H and prediction
