Rafael Nadal and Fabio Fognini will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 17th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.158
Fabio Fognini -> 5.95
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Fabio Fognini
This will be the 17th time that Rafael Nadal and Fabio Fognini clash against each other. The head to head is 12-4 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 6-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Nadal won 2-6 6-1 6-2 in the quarter in Montreal back in 2019.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Fabio Fognini – Montreal 09-August-2019
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Laslo Djere 6-3 6-4 6-1, Michael Mmoh 6-1 6-4 6-2 and Cameron Norrie 7-5 6-2 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Nadal had a good straight sets win against Norrie (7-5 6-2 7-5). During the match Nadal scored 107 points vs Norrie’s 79. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal struck 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Rafael Nadal was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (43/56) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nadal broke Norrie 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
Nadal has a a extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (466-88). 3-0 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Nadal has a 191-44 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Nadal has a 3-0 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Nadal surrendered in the quarter to Dominic Thiem.
Fabio Fognini
Ranked no. 17, Fabio got to the quarter after beating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 6-2 6-3, Salvatore Caruso 4-6 6-2 2-6 6-3 7-612 and Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Fognini had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-4 6-3 6-4). During the match Fognini scored 93 points vs De Minaur’s 80. Fognini was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Fognini fired 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Fabio Fognini was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (35/47) of his 1st serve and 55% (23/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Fognini broke De Minaur 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fabio has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Fabio has a 6-3 win-loss record in 2021, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the Australian Open
Fabio lost in the 4th round to Tennys Sandgren.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 104 |
| Pts | 280-193 | 336-294 |
| Total Points | 473 | 630 |
| Winners | 126 | 132 |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% |
Both Nadal and Fognini played 3 matches. At the moment, Fabio Fognini surrendered 2 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nadal has played 2 set(s) less than Fognini (9 vs 11). Therefore, Nadal played 21 games less than Fognini. The Spaniard scored 126 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 132 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 155/221 | 171/315 |
| %1st in | 70% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 126/155 | 132/171 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 38/66 | 84/144 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 58% |
Nadal blasted 19 aces (6.3 per match). Fognini scored 10 aces (3.3 per match). Nadal won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Fognini won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 13 |
| Converted | 16/34 | 13/32 |
| % Converted | 47% | 41% |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Saved | 4 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Nadal broke his opponents 16 times with a 47% conversion rate. Nadal conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | |||||
| R1 Djere |
R2 Mmoh |
R3 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | 7-5 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 25 | 32 | 83 | |
| pts | 87-60 | 86-54 | 107-79 | 280-193 | |
| Total points | 147 | 140 | 186 | 473 | |
| Winners | 40 | 43 | 43 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 7 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 48/72 | 51/67 | 56/82 | 155/221 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 76% | 68% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 40/48 | 43/51 | 43/56 | 126/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 84% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 9/16 | 18/26 | 38/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 56% | 69% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 5/11 | 5/12 | 16/34 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 45% | 42% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 0% | 27% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Fognini | |||||
| R1 Herbert |
R2 Caruso |
R3 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-2 2-6 6-3 7-612 | 6-4 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 48 | 29 | 104 | |
| pts | 89-73 | 154-141 | 93-80 | 336-294 | |
| Total points | 162 | 295 | 173 | 630 | |
| Winners | 34 | 63 | 35 | 132 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 6 | 3 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 43/78 | 81/148 | 47/89 | 171/315 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | 53% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 63/81 | 35/47 | 132/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 78% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/35 | 40/67 | 23/42 | 84/144 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | 55% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/13 | 5/8 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 23% | 63% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/7 | 1/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 57% | 33% | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWWLL
WWWWWLLWWL Tennis Scores at the Australian Open
- Casper RuudRuud – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-1 5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Lloyd HarrisHarris (7-67 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Mikael YmerYmer (6-4 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-61 7-65 7-65) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Feliciano LopezLopez (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (6-3 6-3 4-6 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-5 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-61 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (4-6 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-62 5-7 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-76 7-5 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Milos RaonicRaonic (11-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Casper RuudRuud (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Rafael NadalNadal (4-12) – H2H and prediction
