H2H, PREDICTION Matteo Berrettini vs Karen Khachanov | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Berrettini and Khachanov will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Karen Khachanov

Matteo Berrettini and Karen Khachanov will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5 pm on John Cain Arena. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.44
Karen Khachanov -> 2.97

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Karen Khachanov

This will be the 4th time that Matteo Berrettini and Karen Khachanov play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Khachanov won 7-6(6) 6-4 in the 1st round in All Lower level tournaments back in 2020.

Matteo Berrettini

Ranked no. 10, the Italian got to the 1st round after defeating Kevin Anderson 7-69 7-5 6-3 and Tomas Machac 6-3 6-2 4-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Machac (6-3 6-2 4-6 6-3). During the match Berrettini scored 132 points vs Machac’s 107. Matteo was very aggressive to blast 61 winners.

Talking about the service games, Berrettini fired 19 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve once and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 67% of his first serves in, winning 78% (61/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Berrettini broke Machac 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Matteo has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Berrettini has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (218-118). 7-2 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has a 102-49 record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Italian has a 7-2 win-loss record in 2021, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Berrettini capitulated in the 2nd round to Tennys Sandgren.

Karen Khachanov

Ranked no. 20, Karen reached the 1st round after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 6-74 7-62 6-4 and Richard Berankis 6-2 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Khachanov had a good straight sets win against Berankis (6-2 6-4 6-4). During the match Khachanov scored 106 points vs Berankis’s 80. Karen was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Khachanov blasted 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Karen Khachanov was very efficient on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 77% (20/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Khachanov broke Berankis 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karen has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Karen’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.

Karen has a 5-1 win-loss record in 2021, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Karen had to surrender in the 3rd round to Nick Kyrgios.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Berrettini Khachanov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 70 73
Pts 246-200 251-212
Total Points 446 463
Winners 125 106
%Winners 51% 42%

Both Berrettini and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set, while Karen Khachanov lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Berrettini and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Berrettini played 3 games less than Khachanov. The Italian scored 125 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Karen recorded 106 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Berrettini Khachanov
Aces 33 22
Avg per match 16.5 11
1st in 150/212 135/223
%1st in 71% 61%
1st pts 125/150 106/135
%1st pts 83% 79%
2nd pts 34/62 53/88
%2nd pts 55% 60%

Berrettini made 33 aces (16.5 per match). Khachanov recorded 22 aces (11 per match). Berrettini won 83% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Berrettini Khachanov
Won 7 8
Converted 7/16 8/26
% Converted 44% 31%
Conceded 16 11
Saved 15 9
% Saved 94% 82%
Times Broken 1 2

The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve once and he saved 94% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. Khachanov conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Berrettini
R1
Anderson
R2
Machac
Total
Score 7-69 7-5 6-3 6-3 6-2 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 4 7
Tot Games 34 36 70
pts 114-93 132-107 246-200
Total points 207 239 446
Winners 64 61 125
%Winners 56% 46% 51%
SERVE
Aces 14 19 33
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 72/95 78/117 150/212
% 1st in 76% 67% 71%
1st pts 64/72 61/78 125/150
% 1st pts 89% 78% 83%
2nd pts 15/23 19/39 34/62
% 2nd pts 65% 49% 55%
Breaks
Won 2 5 7
Converted 2/7 5/9 7/16
Converted % 29% 56% 44%
Conceded 3 13 16
Saved 3/3 12/13 15
Saved % 100% 92% 96%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Khachanov
R1
Vukic
R2
Berankis
Total
Score 6-3 6-74 7-62 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 4 3 7
Tot Games 45 28 73
pts 145-132 106-80 251-212
Total points 277 186 463
Winners 67 39 106
%Winners 46% 37% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 12 22
Double Faults 6 2 8
1st in 84/146 51/77 135/223
% 1st in 58% 66% 61%
1st pts 67/84 39/51 106/135
% 1st pts 80% 76% 79%
2nd pts 33/62 20/26 53/88
% 2nd pts 53% 77% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/12 4/14 8/26
Converted % 33% 29% 31%
Conceded 9 2 11
Saved 7/9 2/2 9
Saved % 78% 100% 89%
Times Broken 2 0 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Berrettini
WLLWL
Khachanov
LLLWWL
2025 2024 2023
2 - 3
2 - 4
2-2
Hard
2-3

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

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