H2H, PREDICTION Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Grigor Dimitrov | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Carreno-Busta and Dimitrov will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Grigor Dimitrov

Pablo Carreno-Busta and Grigor Dimitrov will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 8th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2.30 pm on Margaret Court Arena. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.8
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.1

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Grigor Dimitrov

This will be the 8th time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Grigor Dimitrov square off. The head to head is 4-3 for Dimitrov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Carreno-Busta won 6-3 7-6(4) in the quarter in Barcelona back in 2018.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 16, Pablo got to the quarter after defeating Kei Nishikori 7-5 7-64 6-2 and Jiri Vesely 6-3 7-63 2-6 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Vesely (6-3 7-63 2-6 6-4). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 121 points vs Vesely’s 111. Pablo was extremely aggressive to blast 62 winners.

Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Pablo Carreno-Busta was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (62/77) of his 1st serve and 56% (27/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Carreno-Busta broke Vesely twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pablo has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (346-201). 4-1 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carreno-Busta has a 104-61 record in the last years on hard.

The Spaniard has a 4-1 win-loss record in 2021, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Carreno-Busta surrendered in the 3rd round to Rafael Nadal.

Grigor Dimitrov

Ranked no. 21, Dimitrov reached the quarter after beating Marin Cilic 6-4 6-2 7-65 and Alex Bolt 7-61 6-1 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Dimitrov had a good straight sets win against Bolt (7-61 6-1 6-2). During the match Dimitrov scored 104 points vs Bolt’s 68. Grigor was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about serving, Dimitrov bagged 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (47/58) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Grigor broke Bolt 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dimitrov hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Dimitrov has a 4-1 win-loss record in 2021, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Grigor had to surrender in the 2nd round to Tommy Paul.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Carreno-Busta Dimitrov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 73 59
Pts 234-209 204-152
Total Points 443 356
Winners 119 99
%Winners 51% 49%

Both Carreno-Busta and Dimitrov played 2 matches. At the moment, Pablo Carreno-Busta surrendered 1 set while Grigor Dimitrov hasn’t lost a set so far. Carreno-Busta has played 1 set more than Dimitrov (7 vs 6). Therefore, Carreno-Busta played 14 games more than Dimitrov. Pablo scored 119 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Grigor managed to score 99 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Carreno-Busta Dimitrov
Aces 15 29
Avg per match 7.5 14.5
1st in 155/234 121/176
%1st in 66% 69%
1st pts 119/155 99/121
%1st pts 77% 82%
2nd pts 42/79 32/55
%2nd pts 53% 58%

Carreno-Busta recorded 15 aces (7.5 per match). Dimitrov bagged 29 aces (14.5 per match). Carreno-Busta won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Carreno-Busta Dimitrov
Won 8 8
Converted 8/14 8/19
% Converted 57% 42%
Conceded 19 8
Saved 14 7
% Saved 74% 88%
Times Broken 5 1

The Spaniard broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Grigor broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Grigor conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Carreno-Busta
R1
Nishikori
R2
Vesely
Total
Score 7-5 7-64 6-2 6-3 7-63 2-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 4 7
Tot Games 33 40 73
pts 113-98 121-111 234-209
Total points 211 232 443
Winners 57 62 119
%Winners 50% 51% 51%
SERVE
Aces 12 3 15
Double Faults 2 4 6
1st in 78/109 77/125 155/234
% 1st in 72% 62% 66%
1st pts 57/78 62/77 119/155
% 1st pts 73% 81% 77%
2nd pts 15/31 27/48 42/79
% 2nd pts 48% 56% 53%
Breaks
Won 6 2 8
Converted 6/11 2/3 8/14
Converted % 55% 67% 57%
Conceded 11 8 19
Saved 8/11 6/8 14
Saved % 73% 75% 74%
Times Broken 3 2 5
Dimitrov
R1
Cilic
R2
Bolt
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 7-65 7-61 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 31 28 59
pts 100-84 104-68 204-152
Total points 184 172 356
Winners 52 47 99
%Winners 52% 45% 49%
SERVE
Aces 19 10 29
Double Faults 2 4 6
1st in 63/91 58/85 121/176
% 1st in 69% 68% 69%
1st pts 52/63 47/58 99/121
% 1st pts 83% 81% 82%
2nd pts 15/28 17/27 32/55
% 2nd pts 54% 63% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/10 4/9 8/19
Converted % 40% 44% 42%
Conceded 4 4 8
Saved 3/4 4/4 7
Saved % 75% 100% 88%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Carreno-Busta
LLLWLLWWWW
Dimitrov
LWWLWLWWWL
2024 2023 2022
8 - 11
46 - 18
7-6
Hard
21-7
0-1
I Hard
13-5
1-3
Clay
8-4
0-1
Grass
4-2

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

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