H2H, PREDICTION Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Sabalenka and Li will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ann Li

Aryna Sabalenka and Ann Li will play each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11 am on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.25
Ann Li -> 4.333

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ann Li

There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Ann Li since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 7 (career high), Aryna got to the 3rd round after defeating Viktoria Kuzmova 6-0 6-4 and Daria Kasatkina 7-65 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (7-65 6-3). During the match Sabalenka scored 67 points vs Kasatkina’s 63. Aryna was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 7 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 57% of her first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Kasatkina 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (193-101). 8-1 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a 118-51 record in the last 6 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Abu Dhabi where she beat Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2.

The Belarussian has a 8-1 win-loss record in 2021, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Aryna had to surrender in the 1st round to Carla Suarez Navarro.

Ann Li

Ranked no. 69 (career high), the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Shuai Zhang 6-2 6-0 and Alize Cornet 6-2 7-66.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Cornet (6-2 7-66). During the match Li scored 84 points vs Cornet’s 71. The American was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Li couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Ann Li lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Li put 61% of her first serves in, winning 65% (31/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. Li broke Cornet 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Li hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.

Li’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.

Li has a 6-0 win-loss record in 2021, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

Ann had to surrender in the 2nd round to Sofia Kenin.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Li
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 38 35
Pts 127-101 138-95
Total Points 228 233
Winners 40 46
%Winners 31% 33%

Both Sabalenka and Li played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Li have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sabalenka played 3 games more than Li. Aryna scored 40 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Li bagged 46 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Li
Aces 9 2
Avg per match 4.5 1
1st in 58/108 70/119
%1st in 54% 59%
1st pts 40/58 46/70
%1st pts 69% 66%
2nd pts 25/50 26/49
%2nd pts 50% 53%

Sabalenka blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Li bagged 2 aces (1 per match). Sabalenka won 69% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Li won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Li
Won 11 12
Converted 11/17 12/19
% Converted 65% 63%
Conceded 8 13
Saved 3 8
% Saved 38% 62%
Times Broken 5 5

The Belarussian broke her opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Ann conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Kuzmova
R2
Kasatkina
Total
Score 6-0 6-4 7-65 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 22 38
pts 60-38 67-63 127-101
Total points 98 130 228
Winners 16 24 40
%Winners 27% 36% 31%
SERVE
Aces 2 7 9
Double Faults 3 6 9
1st in 21/43 37/65 58/108
% 1st in 49% 57% 54%
1st pts 16/21 24/37 40/58
% 1st pts 76% 65% 69%
2nd pts 12/22 13/28 25/50
% 2nd pts 55% 46% 50%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/10 5/7 11/17
Converted % 60% 71% 65%
Conceded 4 4 8
Saved 2/4 1/4 3
Saved % 50% 25% 38%
Times Broken 2 3 5
Li
R1
Zhang
R2
Cornet
Total
Score 6-2 6-0 6-2 7-66
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 14 21 35
pts 54-24 84-71 138-95
Total points 78 155 233
Winners 15 31 46
%Winners 28% 37% 33%
SERVE
Aces 2 0 2
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 22/40 48/79 70/119
% 1st in 55% 61% 59%
1st pts 15/22 31/48 46/70
% 1st pts 68% 65% 66%
2nd pts 10/18 16/31 26/49
% 2nd pts 56% 52% 53%
Breaks
Won 7 5 12
Converted 7/10 5/9 12/19
Converted % 70% 56% 63%
Conceded 5 8 13
Saved 3/5 5/8 8
Saved % 60% 63% 62%
Times Broken 2 3 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sabalenka
LLWWWWWWWL
Li
LLWWWWLLWW
2024 2023 2022
56 - 14
42 - 27
38-7
Hard
16-14
2-2
I Hard
4-3
15-4
Clay
22-9
1-1
Grass
0-1

Tennis Scores at the Australian Open

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Upcoming matches in the draw