H2H - Preview

H2H, PREDICTION Andrey Rublev vs Fabio Fognini | ATP Cup odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. ATP Cup. Rublev and Fognini will fight against each other in the final of the ATP Cup. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Mark Hall

6 February 2021

Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Fabio Fognini

Andrey Rublev and Fabio Fognini will clash against each other in the final of the the ATP Cup for the 7^th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.222
Fabio Fognini -> 4.7

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Fabio Fognini

This will be the 7^th time that Andrey Rublev and Fabio Fognini play each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Fognini (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Fognini won 6-3 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Beijing back in 2019.

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 8 (career high), Rublev reached the 2^nd round after beating Guido Pella 6-1 6-2, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-1 6-3 and Jan-Lennard Struff 3-6 6-1 6-2.

In the semifinal against Struff, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Rublev scored 79 points vs Struff’s 62. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 61% of his first serves in, winning 84% (36/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Struff 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (293-171). 3-0 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a 108-60 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

Rublev has a 3-0 win-loss record in 2021, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Fabio Fognini

Ranked no. 17, the Italian got to the 2^nd round after beating Benoit Paire 6-1 7-6² and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-2 1-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Italian defeated Carreno-Busta (6-2 1-6 6-4). During the match Fognini scored 92 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 90. Fognini was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Fognini managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve 5 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Fognini put 53% of his first serves in, winning 56% (25/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the 2nd serve. Fognini broke Carreno-Busta 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fabio has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Fabio has a 3-2 win-loss record in 2021, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rublev	Fognini
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	55	62
Pts	197-140	166-142
Total Points	337	308
Winners	82	57
%Winners	42%	34%

Both Rublev and Fognini played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev dropped 1 set, while Fabio Fognini dropped 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Fognini have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Rublev played 7 games less than Fognini. Andrey scored 82 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 57 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rublev	Fognini
Aces	20	5
Avg per match	6.7	1.7
1st in	99/178	87/147
%1st in	56%	59%
1st pts	82/99	57/87
%1st pts	83%	66%
2nd pts	37/79	29/60
%2nd pts	47%	48%

Rublev bagged 20 aces (6.7 per match). Fognini fired 5 aces (1.7 per match). Rublev won 83% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Fognini won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rublev	Fognini
Won	14	10
Converted	14/25	10/22
% Converted	56%	45%
Conceded	9	18
Saved	6	11
% Saved	67%	61%
Times Broken	3	7

The Russian broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Fabio conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

	Round Robin Nishioka	Round Robin Pella	1/2 Struff	Total
Rublev
Score	6-1 6-3	6-1 6-2	3-6 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	16	15	24	55
pts	60-40	58-38	79-62	197-140
Total points	100	96	141	337
Winners	20	26	36	82
%Winners	33%	45%	46%	42%
SERVE
Aces	2	7	11	20
Double Faults	3	2	3	8
1st in	24/56	32/51	43/71	99/178
% 1st in	43%	63%	61%	56%
1st pts	20/24	26/32	36/43	82/99
% 1st pts	83%	81%	84%	83%
2nd pts	16/32	9/19	12/28	37/79
% 2nd pts	50%	47%	43%	47%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	14
Converted	5/8	4/6	5/11	14/25
Converted %	63%	67%	45%	56%
Conceded	3	2	4	9
Saved	2/3	2/2	2/4	6
Saved %	67%	100%	50%	72%