Naomi Osaka and Katie Boulter will face off in the 3^rd round of the Gippsland Trophy for the 3^rd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11 am on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.092
Katie Boulter -> 7.9

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This will be the 3^rd time that Naomi Osaka and Katie Boulter clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Osaka won 6-1 6-2 in the 1^st round in Birmingham back in 2018.

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 3, the Japanese reached the 1^st round after beating Alize Cornet 6-2 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Cornet (6-2 6-2). During the match Osaka scored 60 points vs Cornet’s 43. Osaka was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Osaka scored 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka was quite effective on serve to win 71% (24/34) of her 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Osaka was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Cornet 4 times.

Osaka has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of her matches (207-112). 1-0 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Osaka has a 141-68 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Osaka has a 1-0 win-loss record in 2021, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in Melbourne

The Japanese lost in the 3^rd round to Cori Gauff.

Katie Boulter

Ranked no. 371, Katie reached the 1^st round after beating Anna Kalinskaya 6-1 6-3 and Cori Gauff 3-6 7-5 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Gauff, The Brit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-2). During the match Boulter scored 83 points vs Gauff’s 70. Boulter was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Boulter bagged 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Katie Boulter was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (32/42) of her 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. The Brit broke Gauff 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Boulter has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Katie has a 2-0 win-loss record in 2021, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in Melbourne

The Brit capitulated in the 1^st round to Elina Svitolina.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Osaka played 1 match while Boulter competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Katie Boulter lost 1 set while Naomi Osaka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Osaka has played 3 set(s) less than Boulter (2 vs 5). Therefore, Osaka played 29 games less than Boulter. Naomi scored 24 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Boulter made 58 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Osaka scored 6 aces . Boulter struck 6 aces (3 per match). Osaka won 71% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Boulter won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Japanese broke her opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Naomi quite strong on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Brit broke her opponents 9 times with a 82% conversion rate. Boulter conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 4Slam
• 7Main
• 0ITF
• 0Minor

• 0Slam
• 3Main
• 4ITF
• 3Minor

Naomi
Osaka

3:0

Katie
Boulter

Rank

76

High

1

1Hard0

2Grass0

Rank

36

High

27

Win Loss

Osaka

LWLWLWLLWL

Boulter

LWLLWWLLWL

2024 2023 2022

19 - 17

27 - 17

10-9

Hard

15-7

1-0

I Hard

1-1

5-5

Clay

3-6

3-3

Grass

8-3

Tennis Scores in Melbourne

• Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Kaia KanepiKanepi – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-1 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Polona HercogHercog (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Alize CornetCornet (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Johanna KontaKonta – Bernarda PeraPera (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Caroline GarciaGarcia – Timea BabosBabos (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Kaja JuvanJuvan (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Destanee AiavaAiava (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Mayo HibiHibi (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Cori GauffGauff (3-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Qiang WangWang (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Simona HalepHalep – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Andrea PetkovicPetkovic (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Danka KovinicKovinic (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Destanee AiavaAiava (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Kaja JuvanJuvan (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Kaia KanepiKanepi – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-1 2-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Polona HercogHercog (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Cori GauffGauff (3-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Alize CornetCornet (6-2 6-2) – See score progression

• Simona HalepHalep – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kaia KanepiKanepi – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Johanna KontaKonta – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction

Osaka

More Stats

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Boulter