H2H - Preview

H2H, PREDICTION Kaia Kanepi vs Richel Hogenkamp | Las Palmas de odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Las Palmas de. Kanepi and Hogenkamp will square off in the semifinal of Las Palmas (W25). See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Mark Hall

21 November 2020

Prediction and head to head Kaia Kanepi vs. Richel Hogenkamp

Kaia Kanepi and Richel Hogenkamp will fight against each other in the semifinal of Las Palmas (W25) for the 4^th time of their career. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kaia Kanepi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Kaia Kanepi is the pick to win this match.
Kaia Kanepi -> 1.24
Richel Hogenkamp -> 4.05

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

Prediction and head to head Kaia Kanepi vs. Richel Hogenkamp

This will be the 4^th time that Kaia Kanepi and Richel Hogenkamp play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Kanepi (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Kanepi won 6-3 6-0 in the qualifications in Rabat back in 2016.

Kaia Kanepi

Ranked no. 101, Kaia reached the qualifications after beating Maryna Zanevska 6-2 4-6 7-5, Paula Ormaechea 6-2 4-6 7-5 and Anastasia Zarycka 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, The Estonian had a good straight sets win against Zarytska (6-2 6-3). During the match Kanepi scored 63 points vs Zarytska’s 44. Kanepi was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about the service games, Kanepi recorded 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Kaia Kanepi lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kanepi put 58% of her first serves in, winning 65% (17/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Kanepi broke Zarytska 7 times after converting 41% of her break points (7/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kanepi has dropped 2 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Kanepi has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (231-122). 4-1 on clay in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kanepi has a 91-41 match record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in the Cotentin where she defeated Harriet Dart in the final 6-4 6-4 and in the W25 Istanbul where she overcame Vera Zvonareva in the final 6-3 6-3.

Kaia has a 15-5 win-loss record in 2020, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year in the Las Palmas (W25)

The Estonian didn’t compete in the Las Palmas (W25) in 2019.

Richel Hogenkamp

Ranked no. 219, Richel reached the qualifications after defeating Katharina Gerlach 6-2 4-6 6-3, Kathinka Von Deichmann 6-4 7-6⁴ and Oksana Selekhmeteva 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Selekhmeteva (6-1 6-4). During the match Hogenkamp scored 64 points vs Selekhmeteva’s 42. Hogenkamp was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about serving, Hogenkamp scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Richel Hogenkamp lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Hogenkamp put 59% of her first serves in, winning 70% (19/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. Hogenkamp broke Selekhmeteva 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Richel has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Richel has a 10-9 win-loss record in 2020, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kanepi	Hogenkamp
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	7
Tot Games	77	67
Pts	268-211	238-197
Total Points	479	435
Winners	90	83
%Winners	34%	35%

Both Kanepi and Hogenkamp played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Kaia Kanepi conceded 2 sets, while Richel Hogenkamp dropper 1 set. Kanepi has played 1 set more than Hogenkamp (8 vs 7). Therefore, Kanepi played 10 games more than Hogenkamp. The Estonian scored 90 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Dutch scored 83 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kanepi	Hogenkamp
Aces	8	4
Avg per match	2.7	1.3
1st in	122/211	140/212
%1st in	58%	66%
1st pts	90/122	83/140
%1st pts	74%	59%
2nd pts	39/89	38/72
%2nd pts	44%	53%

Kanepi struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Hogenkamp bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Kanepi won 74% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Hogenkamp won 59% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kanepi	Hogenkamp
Won	19	19
Converted	19/40	19/32
% Converted	48%	59%
Conceded	18	26
Saved	7	15
% Saved	39%	58%
Times Broken	11	11

The Estonian broke her opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. Kaia dropped her serve 11 times and she saved 39% of the break points that she conceded. Richel broke her opponents 19 times with a 59% conversion rate. Hogenkamp conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.

	R1 Zanevska	R2 Ormaechea	1/4 Zarytska	Total
Kanepi
Score	6-2 4-6 7-5	6-2 4-6 7-5	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	30	30	17	77
pts	102-82	103-85	63-44	268-211
Total points	184	188	107	479
Winners	36	37	17	90
%Winners	35%	36%	27%	34%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	2	8
Double Faults	2	3	2	7
1st in	44/82	52/84	26/45	122/211
% 1st in	54%	62%	58%	58%
1st pts	36/44	37/52	17/26	90/122
% 1st pts	82%	71%	65%	74%
2nd pts	18/38	13/32	8/19	39/89
% 2nd pts	47%	41%	42%	44%
Breaks
Won	5	7	7	19
Converted	5/12	7/11	7/17	19/40
Converted %	42%	64%	41%	48%
Conceded	5	8	5	18
Saved	2/5	3/8	2/5	7
Saved %	40%	38%	40%	39%
Times Broken	3	5	3	11

	R1 Gerlach	R2 Von Deichmann	1/4 Selekhmeteva	Total
Hogenkamp
Score	6-2 4-6 6-3	6-4 7-6⁴	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	27	23	17	67
pts	86-74	88-81	64-42	238-197
Total points	160	169	106	435
Winners	29	35	19	83
%Winners	34%	40%	30%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	1	4
Double Faults	4	7	2	13
1st in	52/75	61/91	27/46	140/212
% 1st in	69%	67%	59%	66%
1st pts	29/52	35/61	19/27	83/140
% 1st pts	56%	57%	70%	59%
2nd pts	13/23	15/30	10/19	38/72
% 2nd pts	57%	50%	53%	53%
Breaks
Won	8	5	6	19
Converted	8/15	5/9	6/8	19/32
Converted %	53%	56%	75%	59%
Conceded	10	12	4	26
Saved	5/10	8/12	2/4	15
Saved %	50%	67%	50%	56%
Times Broken	5	4	2	11