Rafael Nadal and Daniil Medvedev will fight against each other in the semifinal of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:00 pm on Centre Court. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.7
Rafael Nadal -> 2.41
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 4th time that Rafael Nadal and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after beating Andrey Rublev 6-3 6-4 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 4-6 6-2.
In the previous match, Nadal defeated Tsitsipas (6-4 4-6 6-2). During the match Nadal scored 84 points vs Tsitsipas’s 67. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nadal bagged 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Rafael Nadal was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (38/47) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Tsitsipas 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael has dropped 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Nadal has a a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (542-106). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has a 41-13 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Acapulco where he defeated Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2 and in at the French Open where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 6-0 6-2 7-5.
Rafael has a 27-6 win-loss record in 2020, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals
Rafael conquered the title last year in Nitto-atp-finals after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas .
Daniil Medvedev
Ranked no. 4 (career high), Medvedev got to the semifinal after defeating Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-4, Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-3 and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 6-3 6-3.
In the previous match, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Schwartzman (6-3 6-3). During the match Medvedev scored 65 points vs Schwartzman’s 49. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Medvedev made 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Daniil Medvedev conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 74% of his first serves in, winning 88% (35/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Schwartzman 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was managing to win the title in Paris where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 5-7 6-4 6-1.
The Russian has a 26-10 win-loss record in 2020, 12-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals
The Russian lost in the round robin to Alexander Zverev.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 55 |
| Pts | 147-116 | 208-161 |
| Total Points | 263 | 369 |
| Winners | 70 | 96 |
| %Winners | 48% | 46% |
Both Nadal and Medvedev played 3 matches. At the moment, Rafael Nadal dropped 3 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set more than Medvedev (7 vs 6). Therefore, Nadal played 18 games more than Medvedev. Nadal scored 70 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Daniil recorded 96 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 86/126 | 120/173 |
| %1st in | 68% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 70/86 | 96/120 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 25/40 | 28/53 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 53% |
Nadal recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Medvedev recorded 18 aces (6 per match). Nadal won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 9 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 9/26 |
| % Converted | 46% | 35% |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 33% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Medvedev broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | |||||
| Round Robin Tsitsipas |
Round Robin Thiem |
Round Robin Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-2 | 7-67 7-64 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 26 | 19 | 73 | |
| pts | 84-67 | – | 63-49 | 147-116 | |
| Total points | 151 | 0 | 112 | 263 | |
| Winners | 38 | 32 | 70 | ||
| %Winners | 45% | NAN% | 51% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 0 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 1st in | 47/72 | / | 39/54 | 86/126 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | NAN% | 72% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | / | 32/39 | 70/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | NAN% | 82% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | / | 10/15 | 25/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | NAN% | 67% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | ||
| Converted | 4/8 | / | 2/5 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | NAN% | 40% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/ | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | – | 11% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||
| Medvedev | |||||
| Round Robin Schwartzman |
Round Robin Djokovic |
Round Robin Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 19 | 55 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 70-54 | 73-58 | 208-161 | |
| Total points | 114 | 124 | 131 | 369 | |
| Winners | 35 | 30 | 31 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 43% | 42% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 10 | 4 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 40/54 | 38/56 | 42/63 | 120/173 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 68% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 30/38 | 31/42 | 96/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 79% | 74% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/14 | 11/18 | 12/21 | 28/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 61% | 57% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/8 | 3/9 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/1 | 5/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 83% | 94% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWWLL
LWLLLWWWLW Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (4-7) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Rafael NadalNadal (0-3) – H2H and prediction
