Dominic Thiem and Andrey Rublev will square off in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 5th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominic Thiem who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dominic Thiem is the pick to win this match.
Dominic Thiem -> 1.80
Andrey Rublev -> 2.00
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Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 5th time that Dominic Thiem and Andrey Rublev fight against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Thiem and Rublev (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.
Dominic Thiem
Ranked no. 3 (career high), the Austrian got to the Round Robin after defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-65 4-6 6-3 and Rafael Nadal 7-67 7-64.
In the previous match, Dominic had a good straight sets win against Nadal (7-67 7-64). During the match Thiem scored 86 points vs Nadal’s 81. Thiem was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Thiem struck 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Dominic Thiem was pretty efficent on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Dominic broke Nadal once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Austrian has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Thiem has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (423-208). 4-1 on indoor hard courts in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Thiem has a 60-43 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in at the U.S. Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 2-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6(6).
The Austrian has a 24-7 win-loss record in 2020, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals
Thiem had to surrender in the final to Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Andrey Rublev
Ranked no. 8 (career high), the Russian got to the Round Robin after beating
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Doha where he overcame Corentin Moutet in the final 6-2 7-6(3) and in Adelaide where he overcame Lloyd Harris in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Hamburg where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 3-6 7-5 and in St. Petersburg where he overcame Borna Coric in the final 7-6(5) 6-4 and in Vienna where he defeated Lorenzo Sonego in the final 6-4 6-4.
Andrey has a 40-10 win-loss record in 2020, 13-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals
The Russian didn’t play in the Nitto ATP Finals in 2019.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Thiem | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 49 |
| Pts | 187-177 | 0-0 |
| Total Points | 364 | 0 |
| Winners | 98 | 0 |
| %Winners | 52% | NAN% |
Both Thiem and Rublev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Dominic Thiem conceded 1 set, while Andrey Rublev dropper 4 sets. Talking about their workload, Thiem and Rublev have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Thiem played 9 games more than Rublev. Thiem scored 98 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Andrey fired 0 winners (NAN%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Thiem | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 127/191 | 0/0 |
| %1st in | 66% | NAN% |
| 1st pts | 98/127 | 0/0 |
| %1st pts | 77% | NAN% |
| 2nd pts | 35/64 | 0/0 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | NAN% |
Thiem struck 15 aces (7.5 per match). Rublev didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Thiem won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won NAN% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win NAN% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Thiem | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 0 |
| Converted | 2/9 | 0/0 |
| % Converted | 22% | NAN% |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 60% | NAN% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Thiem broke his opponents twice with a 22% conversion rate. Thiem dropped his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. On the other side, Andrey hasn’t manged yet to break his opponents. He didn’t manage to even clinch a single break point. The Russian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points without even conceding a single break point.
| Thiem | ||||
| Round Robin Nadal |
Round Robin Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 7-64 | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 58 | |
| pts | 86-81 | 101-96 | 187-177 | |
| Total points | 167 | 197 | 364 | |
| Winners | 39 | 59 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 58% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 51/87 | 76/104 | 127/191 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 73% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 39/51 | 59/76 | 98/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/36 | 16/28 | 35/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 57% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 1/4 | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 25% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Rublev | ||||
| Round Robin Tsitsipas |
Round Robin Nadal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 7-66 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 19 | 49 | |
| pts | – | – | 0-0 | |
| Total points | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winners | 0 | |||
| %Winners | NAN% | NAN% | NAN% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | |||
| 1st in | / | / | 0/0 | |
| % 1st in | NAN% | NAN% | NAN% | |
| 1st pts | / | / | 0/0 | |
| % 1st pts | NAN% | NAN% | NAN% | |
| 2nd pts | / | / | 0/0 | |
| % 2nd pts | NAN% | NAN% | NAN% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 0 | |||
| Converted | / | / | 0/0 | |
| Converted % | NAN% | NAN% | NAN% | |
| Conceded | 0 | |||
| Saved | 0/ | 0/ | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | |||
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLLLWL
LLLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Nitto ATP Finals
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Rafael NadalNadal (7-67 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies – Lukasz Kubot/Marcelo MeloKubot/Marcelo Melo (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Andrey RublevRublev (6-1 4-6 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (7-65 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – John Peers/Michael VenusPeers/Michael Venus (7-62 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mate Pavic/Bruno SoaresPavic/Bruno Soares – Jurgen Melzer/Edouard Roger-VasselinMelzer/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-76 6-1 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Lukasz Kubot/Marcelo MeloKubot/Marcelo Melo (7-5 3-6 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rafael NadalNadal – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Andrey RublevRublev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (4-0) – H2H and prediction
