Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem will play each other in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 15th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.61
Dominic Thiem -> 2.625

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Dominic Thiem

This will be the 15th time that Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem square off. The head to head is 9-5 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Nadal won 7-5 6-3 in the 3rd round in Monte Carlo back in 2016.

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 2, Nadal got to the 3rd round after defeating Andrey Rublev 6-3 6-4.

In the previous match, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-3 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 63 points vs Rublev’s 49. Rafael was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nadal recorded 2 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rafael broke Rublev twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Nadal has a a tremendous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (541-105). 4-1 on indoor hard courts in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a 40-12 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was managing to win the title in Acapulco where he overcame Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2 and in at the French Open where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 6-0 6-2 7-5.

Nadal has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2020, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals

Nadal won the title last year in Nitto-atp-finals after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas .

Dominic Thiem

Ranked no. 3 (career high), the Austrian got to the 3rd round after defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-65 4-6 6-3.

In the previous match, Thiem defeated Tsitsipas (7-65 4-6 6-3). During the match Thiem scored 101 points vs Tsitsipas’s 96. Dominic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about serving, Thiem managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Dominic Thiem was pretty efficent on serve to win 78% (59/76) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Austrian broke Tsitsipas once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).

His best result of the year was managing to win the title in at the U.S. Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 2-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6(6).

Thiem has a 23-7 win-loss record in 2020, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

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Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals

The Austrian lost in the final to Stefanos Tsitsipas.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Thiem
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 19 32
Pts 63-49 101-96
Total Points 112 197
Winners 32 59
%Winners 51% 58%

Both Nadal and Thiem played 1 match. At the moment, Dominic Thiem surrendered 1 set while Rafael Nadal hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set(s) less than Thiem (2 vs 3). Therefore, Nadal played 13 games less than Thiem. Rafael scored 32 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Thiem scored 59 winners (58%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Thiem
Aces 2 9
Avg per match 2 9
1st in 39/54 76/104
%1st in 72% 73%
1st pts 32/39 59/76
%1st pts 82% 78%
2nd pts 10/15 16/28
%2nd pts 67% 57%

Nadal made 2 aces . Thiem bagged 9 aces . Nadal won 82% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Thiem
Won 2 1
Converted 2/5 1/4
% Converted 40% 25%
Conceded 0 3
Saved 0 2
% Saved NAN% 67%
Times Broken 0 1

Rafael broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Nadal was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Dominic broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Thiem conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
Round Robin
Rublev		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 63-49 63-49
Total points 112 112
Winners 32 32
%Winners 51% 51%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 39/54 39/54
% 1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 32/39 32/39
% 1st pts 82% 82%
2nd pts 10/15 10/15
% 2nd pts 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/5 2/5
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % – 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Thiem
Round Robin
Tsitsipas		 Total
Score 7-65 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 101-96 101-96
Total points 197 197
Winners 59 59
%Winners 58% 58%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 76/104 76/104
% 1st in 73% 73%
1st pts 59/76 59/76
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 16/28 16/28
% 2nd pts 57% 57%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/4 1/4
Converted % 25% 25%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Nitto ATP Finals

Upcoming matches in the draw

Nadal
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Thiem

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