H2H, PREDICTION Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo Sonego | Vienna odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Vienna. Rublev and Sonego will square off in the final of the Erste Bank Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego

Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego will square off in the final of the Erste Bank Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.164
Lorenzo Sonego -> 5.8

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See Updated Draw

Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 2nd time that Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

Andrey Rublev

Ranked no. 8 (career high), Andrey got to the final after defeating Norbert Gombos 6-3 6-2, Jannik Sinner 2-1 ret., Dominic Thiem 7-65 6-2 and Kevin Anderson 6-4 4-1 ret..

In the semifinal, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Anderson (6-4 4-1 ret.). During the match Rublev scored 52 points vs Anderson’s 38. Andrey was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev fired 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 69% of his first serves in, win 87% (27/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Anderson twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rublev hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (289-170). 11-1 on indoor hard courts in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has a 87-48 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Doha where he defeated Corentin Moutet in the final 6-2 7-6(3) and in Adelaide where he beat Lloyd Harris in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Hamburg where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 3-6 7-5 and in St. Petersburg where he defeated Borna Coric in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.

Rublev has a 38-7 win-loss record in 2020, 11-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Last year in Vienna

The Russian had to surrender in the quarter to Matteo Berrettini.

Lorenzo Sonego

Ranked no. 42 (career high), the Italian got to the final after defeating Lucas Miedler 6-4 6-3, Dusan Lajovic 6-4 6-3, Hubert Hurkacz 7-66 7-62, Novak Djokovic 6-2 6-1 and Daniel Evans 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, Sonego had a good straight sets win against Evans (6-3 6-4). During the match Sonego scored 58 points vs Evans’s 40. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Sonego scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 75% (15/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Evans 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Sonego’s best result of the current year was getting to the semi-finals in Vienna.

Lorenzo has a 12-13 win-loss record in 2020, 5-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Last year in Vienna

The Italian lost in the 1st round to Marton Fucsovics.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rublev Sonego
Match played 2 6
Tot Set 4 13
Tot Games 38 128
Pts 136-100 331-244
Total Points 236 575
Winners 61 145
%Winners 45% 44%

Rublev played 2 matches while Sonego competed in 6 matches. Sonego started his run from the qualifications while Rublev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Lorenzo Sonego dropped 2 sets while Andrey Rublev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rublev has played 9 set(s) less than Sonego (4 vs 13). Therefore, Rublev played 90 games less than Sonego. Rublev scored 61 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 145 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rublev Sonego
Aces 22 32
Avg per match 11 5.3
1st in 71/110 177/282
%1st in 65% 63%
1st pts 61/71 145/177
%1st pts 86% 82%
2nd pts 25/39 68/105
%2nd pts 64% 65%

Rublev made 22 aces (11 per match). Sonego managed to score 32 aces (5.3 per match). Rublev won 86% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rublev Sonego
Won 5 14
Converted 5/10 14/24
% Converted 50% 58%
Conceded 2 16
Saved 2 13
% Saved 100% 81%
Times Broken 0 3

Andrey broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Sonego broke his opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
R1
Gombos		 R2
Sinner		 1/4
Thiem		 1/2
Anderson		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 2-1 ret. 7-65 6-2 6-4 4-1 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 17 3 21 15 56
pts 59-38 9-6 77-62 52-38 197-144
Total points 97 15 139 90 341
Winners 26 3 35 27 91
%Winners 44% 33% 45% 52% 46%
SERVE
Aces 11 2 11 11 35
Double Faults 0 0 2 1 3
1st in 32/47 3/4 39/63 31/45 105/159
% 1st in 68% 75% 62% 69% 66%
1st pts 26/32 3/3 35/39 27/31 91/105
% 1st pts 81% 100% 90% 87% 87%
2nd pts 11/15 1/1 14/24 7/14 33/54
% 2nd pts 73% 100% 58% 50% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 1 2 2 8
Converted 3/4 1/1 2/6 2/5 8/16
Converted % 75% 100% 33% 40% 50%
Conceded 0 0 2 0 2
Saved 0/0 0/0 2/2 0/0 2
Saved % – – 100% – 25%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0 0
Sonego
Q1
Miedler		 Q3
Bedene		 R1
Lajovic		 R2
Hurkacz		 1/4
Djokovic		 1/2
Evans		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-4 6-3 7-66 7-62 6-2 6-1 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 2 2 13
Tot Games 19 30 19 26 15 19 128
pts 62-42 – 64-50 85-71 62-41 58-40 331-244
Total points 104 0 114 156 103 98 575
Winners 29 27 37 28 24 145
%Winners 47% NAN% 42% 44% 45% 41% 44%
SERVE
Aces 7 0 9 5 8 3 32
Double Faults 0 0 4 0 1 5
1st in 36/50 / 33/57 43/73 35/52 30/50 177/282
% 1st in 72% NAN% 58% 59% 67% 60% 63%
1st pts 29/36 / 27/33 37/43 28/35 24/30 145/177
% 1st pts 81% NAN% 82% 86% 80% 80% 82%
2nd pts 10/14 / 17/24 19/30 7/17 15/20 68/105
% 2nd pts 71% NAN% 71% 63% 41% 75% 65%
Breaks
Won 3 2 1 5 3 14
Converted 3/6 / 2/4 1/4 5/6 3/4 14/24
Converted % 50% NAN% 50% 25% 83% 75% 58%
Conceded 1 4 3 6 2 16
Saved 0/1 0/ 4/4 2/3 6/6 1/2 13
Saved % 0% – 100% 67% 100% 50% 79%
Times Broken 1 0 1 0 1 3

Head 2 Head

Andrey Rublev
  • 0Slam
  • 17Main
  • 1Chall
  • 4Minor
Lorenzo Sonego
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 3Chall
  • 3Minor

Andrey
Rublev

3:2

Lorenzo
Sonego

Rank

8

High

5

1Clay2

2I.hard0

Rank

53

High

21

Win Loss
Rublev
LLWLLWWLWL
Sonego
LWLWWLLWLL
2024 2023 2022
43 - 25
27 - 33
26-11
Hard
10-14
6-6
I Hard
4-5
11-6
Clay
10-11
0-2
Grass
3-3
See Updated Draw

Upcoming matches in the draw
Rublev Andrey Rublev
More Stats
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Sonego Lorenzo Sonego