Catherine Cartan Bellis and Varvara Lepchenko will square off in the semifinal of Macon (W80) for the 3rd time of their career. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Catherine Cartan Bellis who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Catherine Cartan Bellis is the pick to win this match.
Catherine Cartan Bellis -> 1.46
Varvara Lepchenko -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Catherine Cartan Bellis vs. Varvara Lepchenko
This will be the 3rd time that Catherine Cartan Bellis and Varvara Lepchenko play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Lepchenko won 6-3 6-2 in the quarter in Rabat back in 2017.
Catherine Cartan Bellis
Ranked no. 173, the American got to the quarter after defeating Lara Arruabarrena 6-3 7-5, Gabriela Talaba 6-1 6-3 and Sara Errani 6-0 6-3.
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Errani (6-0 6-3). During the match Cartan Bellis scored 53 points vs Errani’s 29. Cartan Bellis was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Cartan Bellis recorded 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Catherine Cartan Bellis was very effective on serve to win 71% (20/28) of her 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Cartan Bellis broke Errani 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Catherine hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points she played.
Cartan Bellis has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (142-71). 12-6 on hard in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Cartan Bellis has a 100-48 record in the last 8 years on hard.
The American has a 12-7 win-loss record in 2020, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Macon (W80)
Cartan Bellis didn’t play in the Macon (W80) in 2019.
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranked no. 186, the American got to the quarter after beating Ashley Lahey 6-2 6-2, Mayo Hibi 6-3 6-2, Nina Stojanovic 6-75 6-2 7-66, Katie Volynets 6-0 6-1 and Sachia Vickery 6-75 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter against Vickery, Lepchenko recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 6-4). During the match Lepchenko scored 120 points vs Vickery’s 109. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Lepchenko was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Varvara Lepchenko lost the serve 6 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Lepchenko put 75% of her first serves in, winning 59% (53/90) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Vickery 8 times after converting 73% of her break points (8/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lepchenko has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Lepchenko has a 18-10 win-loss record in 2020, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Macon (W80)
Lepchenko capitulated in the 1st round to Coco Vandeweghe.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cartan Bellis | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 113 |
| Pts | 208-148 | 434-351 |
| Total Points | 356 | 785 |
| Winners | 85 | 198 |
| %Winners | 41% | 46% |
Cartan Bellis played 3 matches while Lepchenko competed in 5 matches. Lepchenko started her run from the qualifications while Cartan Bellis had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Varvara Lepchenko lost 2 sets while Catherine Cartan Bellis hasn’t lost a set so far. Cartan Bellis has played 6 set(s) less than Lepchenko (6 vs 12). Therefore, Cartan Bellis played 61 games less than Lepchenko. The American scored 85 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara scored 198 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cartan Bellis | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st in | 127/190 | 301/397 |
| %1st in | 67% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 85/127 | 198/301 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 33/63 | 45/96 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 47% |
Cartan Bellis scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Lepchenko scored 7 aces (1.4 per match). Cartan Bellis won 67% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Lepchenko won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cartan Bellis | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 28 |
| Converted | 16/29 | 28/51 |
| % Converted | 55% | 55% |
| Conceded | 17 | 36 |
| Saved | 11 | 24 |
| % Saved | 65% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 12 |
Catherine broke her opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. The American lost her serve 6 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Varvara broke her opponents 28 times with a 55% conversion rate. Varvara conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Cartan Bellis | |||||
| R1 Arruabarrena-Vecino |
R2 Talaba |
1/4 Errani |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 16 | 15 | 52 | |
| pts | 84-73 | 71-46 | 53-29 | 208-148 | |
| Total points | 157 | 117 | 82 | 356 | |
| Winners | 41 | 24 | 20 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 34% | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 66/94 | 33/55 | 28/41 | 127/190 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 60% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 41/66 | 24/33 | 20/28 | 85/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 73% | 71% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 13/22 | 9/13 | 33/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 59% | 69% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/11 | 5/8 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 45% | 63% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 5 | 1 | 17 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 4/5 | 0/1 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 80% | 0% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Lepchenko | |||||||
| Q1 Lahey |
Q3 Hibi |
R1 Stojanovic |
R2 Volynets |
1/4 Vickery |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-75 6-2 7-66 | 6-0 6-1 | 6-75 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 34 | 13 | 33 | 113 | |
| pts | 62-41 | 61-45 | 132-124 | 59-32 | 120-109 | 434-351 | |
| Total points | 103 | 106 | 256 | 91 | 229 | 785 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 67 | 25 | 53 | 198 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 49% | 51% | 42% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 36/50 | 41/54 | 102/129 | 32/44 | 90/120 | 301/397 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 76% | 79% | 73% | 75% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 23/36 | 30/41 | 67/102 | 25/32 | 53/90 | 198/301 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 73% | 66% | 78% | 59% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 7/13 | 11/27 | 5/12 | 14/30 | 45/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 54% | 41% | 42% | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/8 | 5/13 | 5/11 | 8/11 | 28/51 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 50% | 38% | 45% | 73% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 16 | 36 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/4 | 10/13 | 0/0 | 10/16 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 75% | 77% | – | 63% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLLWW Tennis Scores in W80 Macon
- Catherine Cartan BellisCartan Bellis – Sara ErraniErrani (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko – Sachia VickeryVickery (6-75 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Misaki DoiDoi (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Francesca Di LorenzoDi Lorenzo (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Jordi Samper-MontanaSamper-Montana – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Magdalena FrechFrech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Catherine Cartan BellisCartan Bellis – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (1-1) – H2H and prediction
