H2H, PREDICTION Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal | French Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Paris. Djokovic and Nadal will fight against each other in the final of the French Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal

Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will square off in the final of the French Open for the 56th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3 pm on Court Philippe CHATRIER . In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.94
Novak Djokovic -> 2.05

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal

This will be the 56th time that Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal fight against each other. The head to head is 29-26 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but Nadal has a winning record of 17-7 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 6-3 6-3 in the final in Miami back in 2014.

Novak Djokovic

Currently world no. 1 the Serbian reached the final after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-0 6-2 6-3, Richard Berankis 6-1 6-2 6-2, Daniel Elahi Galan 6-0 6-3 6-2, Karen Khachanov 6-4 6-3 6-3, Pablo Carreno-Busta 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3 6-2 5-7 4-6 6-1.

In the semifinal, Novak had a tough win against Tsitsipas to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 6-2 5-7 4-6 6-1). During the match Djokovic scored 172 points vs Tsitsipas’s 149. The Serbian was extremely aggressive to blast 74 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 67% of his first serves in, winning 73% (74/102) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (24/51) on the 2nd serve. The Serbian broke Tsitsipas 8 times after converting 36% of his break points (8/22).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian has dropped 3 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 88% of his matches (624-85). 11-0 on clay in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has a 143-25 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in in ATP Cup where he beat Rafael Nadal in the final 6-2 7-6(4) and in at the Australian Open where he defeated Dominic Thiem in the final 6-4 4-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in New York where he beat Milos Raonic in the final 1-6 6-3 6-4 and in Rome where he defeated Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 7-5 6-3.

Djokovic has a 37-1 win-loss record in 2020, 11-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the French Open

The Serbian surrendered in the semifinal to Dominic Thiem.

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 2, Rafael got to the final after beating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-4 6-2, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-0 6-3, Stefano Travaglia 6-1 6-4 6-0, Sebastian Korda 6-1 6-1 6-2, Jannik Sinner 7-64 6-4 6-1 and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 6-3 6-3 7-60.

In the semifinal, Nadal had a good straight sets win against Schwartzman (6-3 6-3 7-60). During the match Nadal scored 114 points vs Schwartzman’s 87. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 55 winners.

Talking about serving, Nadal blasted 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (55/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the 2nd serve. Rafael broke Schwartzman 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Acapulco where he beat Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2.

Rafael has a 21-4 win-loss record in 2020, 8-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the French Open

Rafael won the title last year in Roland-garros after besting Dominic Thiem .

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Nadal
Match played 6 6
Tot Set 21 18
Tot Games 180 156
Pts 676-505 564-374
Total Points 1181 938
Winners 267 239
%Winners 39% 42%

Both Djokovic and Nadal played 6 matches. At the moment, Novak Djokovic conceded 3 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Djokovic has played 3 sets more than Nadal (21 vs 18). Therefore, Djokovic played 24 games more than Nadal. Novak scored 267 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Rafael made 239 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Nadal
Aces 23 10
Avg per match 3.8 1.7
1st in 357/571 336/497
%1st in 63% 68%
1st pts 267/357 239/336
%1st pts 75% 71%
2nd pts 113/214 102/161
%2nd pts 53% 63%

Djokovic fired 23 aces (3.8 per match). Nadal bagged 10 aces (1.7 per match). Djokovic won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Nadal
Won 42 38
Converted 42/79 38/48
% Converted 53% 79%
Conceded 46 27
Saved 35 20
% Saved 76% 74%
Times Broken 11 7

Djokovic broke his opponents 42 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Serbian surrendered his serve 11 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Nadal broke his opponents 38 times with a 79% conversion rate. Rafael conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Ymer
R2
Berankis
R3
Elahi Galan Riveros
R4
Khachanov
1/4
Carreno-Busta
1/2
Tsitsipas
Total
Score 6-0 6-2 6-3 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-0 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-3 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-3 6-2 5-7 4-6 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 4 5 21
Tot Games 23 23 23 28 37 46 180
pts 84-46 76-43 102-66 112-88 130-113 172-149 676-505
Total points 130 119 168 200 243 321 1181
Winners 26 36 38 40 53 74 267
%Winners 31% 47% 37% 36% 41% 43% 39%
SERVE
Aces 2 10 2 2 2 5 23
Double Faults 2 1 2 1 5 6 17
1st in 35/58 38/66 51/74 57/89 74/131 102/153 357/571
% 1st in 60% 58% 69% 64% 56% 67% 63%
1st pts 26/35 36/38 38/51 40/57 53/74 74/102 267/357
% 1st pts 74% 95% 75% 70% 72% 73% 75%
2nd pts 14/23 13/28 13/23 19/32 30/57 24/51 113/214
% 2nd pts 61% 46% 57% 59% 53% 47% 53%
Breaks
Won 9 6 7 6 6 8 42
Converted 9/11 6/7 7/11 6/15 6/13 8/22 42/79
Converted % 82% 86% 64% 40% 46% 36% 53%
Conceded 2 2 5 9 13 15 46
Saved 0/2 2/2 5/5 7/9 10/13 11/15 35
Saved % 0% 100% 100% 78% 77% 73% 71%
Times Broken 2 0 0 2 3 4 11
Nadal
R1
Gerasimov
R2
Mcdonald
R3
Travaglia
R4
Korda
1/4
Sinner
1/2
Schwartzman
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-0 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-0 6-1 6-1 6-2 7-64 6-4 6-1 6-3 6-3 7-60
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 3 3 18
Tot Games 28 22 23 22 30 31 156
pts 88-60 85-47 80-41 91-55 106-84 114-87 564-374
Total points 148 132 121 146 190 201 938
Winners 37 37 35 33 42 55 239
%Winners 42% 44% 44% 36% 40% 48% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 2 1 0 3 10
Double Faults 2 4 0 1 1 0 8
1st in 45/71 49/72 45/62 53/78 63/97 81/117 336/497
% 1st in 63% 68% 73% 68% 65% 69% 68%
1st pts 37/45 37/49 35/45 33/53 42/63 55/81 239/336
% 1st pts 82% 76% 78% 62% 67% 68% 71%
2nd pts 17/26 14/23 14/17 18/25 20/34 19/36 102/161
% 2nd pts 65% 61% 82% 72% 59% 53% 63%
Breaks
Won 5 7 6 8 6 6 38
Converted 5/5 7/8 6/7 8/11 6/8 6/9 38/48
Converted % 100% 88% 86% 73% 75% 67% 79%
Conceded 2 0 0 6 7 12 27
Saved 1/2 0/0 0/0 5/6 5/7 9/12 20
Saved % 50% 83% 71% 75% 47%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1 2 3 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
LWWWWWWLWW
Nadal
LLWLWWWWLL
2024 2023 2022
36 - 9
12 - 7
15-5
Hard
2-1
16-3
Clay
10-6
5-1
Grass
0-0

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