H2H, PREDICTION Rafael Nadal vs Diego Sebastian Schwartzman | French Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Paris. Nadal and Schwartzman will face off in the semifinal of the French Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

Rafael Nadal and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman will fight against each other in the semifinal of the French Open for the 11th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5 pm on Court Philippe CHATRIER . In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.156
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman -> 7.3

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

This will be the 11th time that Rafael Nadal and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman square off. The head to head is 9-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Nadal won 7-65 6-3 7-5 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2015.

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 2, Rafael reached the 2nd round after beating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-4 6-2, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-0 6-3, Stefano Travaglia 6-1 6-4 6-0, Sebastian Korda 6-1 6-1 6-2 and Jannik Sinner 7-64 6-4 6-1.

In the quarter, Nadal had a good straight sets win against Sinner (7-64 6-4 6-1). During the match Nadal scored 106 points vs Sinner’s 84. Nadal was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nadal wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Rafael Nadal lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 65% of his first serves in, winning 67% (42/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the 2nd serve. Nadal broke Sinner 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 61% of the points he played.

Nadal has a a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (535-104). 7-1 on clay in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a 240-24 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2.

Nadal has a 20-4 win-loss record in 2020, 7-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the French Open

Rafael conquered the title last year in Roland-garros after defeating Dominic Thiem .

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

Ranked no. 14, Schwartzman reached the 2nd round after defeating Miomir Kecmanovic 6-0 6-1 6-3, Lorenzo Giustino 6-1 7-5 6-0, Norbert Gombos 7-63 6-3 6-3, Lorenzo Sonego 6-1 6-3 6-4 and Dominic Thiem 7-61 5-7 6-76 7-65 6-2.

In the quarter, The Argentine had a tough win against Thiem to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-61 5-7 6-76 7-65 6-2). During the match Schwartzman scored 197 points vs Thiem’s 179. Diego was pretty aggressive to blast 77 winners.

Talking about serving, Schwartzman scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Diego Sebastian Schwartzman lost the serve 9 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Schwartzman put 66% of his first serves in, winning 62% (77/124) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (34/65) on the 2nd serve. Schwartzman broke Thiem 10 times after converting 63% of his break points (10/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The Argentine’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Cordoba and Rome.

Schwartzman has a 20-9 win-loss record in 2020, 15-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the French Open

Schwartzman lost in the 2nd round to Leonardo Mayer.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Schwartzman
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 15 17
Tot Games 125 163
Pts 450-287 595-468
Total Points 737 1063
Winners 184 221
%Winners 41% 37%

Both Nadal and Schwartzman played 5 matches. At the moment, Diego Sebastian Schwartzman surrendered 2 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nadal has played 2 set(s) less than Schwartzman (15 vs 17). Therefore, Nadal played 38 games less than Schwartzman. Nadal scored 184 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Schwartzman scored 221 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Schwartzman
Aces 7 7
Avg per match 1.4 1.4
1st in 255/380 345/539
%1st in 67% 64%
1st pts 184/255 221/345
%1st pts 72% 64%
2nd pts 83/125 102/194
%2nd pts 66% 53%

Nadal managed to score 7 aces (1.4 per match). Schwartzman made 7 aces (1.4 per match). Nadal won 72% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Schwartzman won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Schwartzman
Won 32 44
Converted 32/39 44/72
% Converted 82% 61%
Conceded 15 62
Saved 11 41
% Saved 73% 66%
Times Broken 4 21

Rafael broke his opponents 32 times with a 82% conversion rate. Nadal dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Schwartzman broke his opponents 44 times with a 61% conversion rate. Schwartzman conceded his serve 21 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R1
Gerasimov
R2
Mcdonald
R3
Travaglia
R4
Korda
1/4
Sinner
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-0 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-0 6-1 6-1 6-2 7-64 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 3 15
Tot Games 28 22 23 22 30 125
pts 88-60 85-47 80-41 91-55 106-84 450-287
Total points 148 132 121 146 190 737
Winners 37 37 35 33 42 184
%Winners 42% 44% 44% 36% 40% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 2 1 0 7
Double Faults 2 4 0 1 1 8
1st in 45/71 49/72 45/62 53/78 63/97 255/380
% 1st in 63% 68% 73% 68% 65% 67%
1st pts 37/45 37/49 35/45 33/53 42/63 184/255
% 1st pts 82% 76% 78% 62% 67% 72%
2nd pts 17/26 14/23 14/17 18/25 20/34 83/125
% 2nd pts 65% 61% 82% 72% 59% 66%
Breaks
Won 5 7 6 8 6 32
Converted 5/5 7/8 6/7 8/11 6/8 32/39
Converted % 100% 88% 86% 73% 75% 82%
Conceded 2 0 0 6 7 15
Saved 1/2 0/0 0/0 5/6 5/7 11
Saved % 50% 83% 71% 41%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1 2 4
Schwartzman
R1
Kecmanovic
R2
Giustino
R3
Gombos
R4
Sonego
1/4
Thiem
Total
Score 6-0 6-1 6-3 6-1 7-5 6-0 7-63 6-3 6-3 6-1 6-3 6-4 7-61 5-7 6-76 7-65 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 5 17
Tot Games 22 25 31 26 59 163
pts 94-61 94-63 118-102 92-63 197-179 595-468
Total points 155 157 220 155 376 1063
Winners 36 31 47 30 77 221
%Winners 38% 33% 40% 33% 39% 37%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 1 1 1 7
Double Faults 3 2 4 3 5 17
1st in 53/85 49/79 75/112 44/74 124/189 345/539
% 1st in 62% 62% 67% 59% 66% 64%
1st pts 36/53 31/49 47/75 30/44 77/124 221/345
% 1st pts 68% 63% 63% 68% 62% 64%
2nd pts 15/32 17/30 18/37 18/30 34/65 102/194
% 2nd pts 47% 57% 49% 60% 52% 53%
Breaks
Won 9 10 7 8 10 44
Converted 9/14 10/14 7/17 8/11 10/16 44/72
Converted % 64% 71% 41% 73% 63% 61%
Conceded 8 10 15 7 22 62
Saved 6/8 7/10 11/15 4/7 13/22 41
Saved % 75% 70% 73% 57% 59% 67%
Times Broken 2 3 4 3 9 21

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nadal
LLWLWWWLWL
Sebastian Schwartzman
2024 2023 2022
7 - 5
0 - 0
2-1
Hard
0-0
5-4
Clay
0-0

Tennis Scores at the French Open

  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasAndrey RublevRublev (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicPablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (4-6 6-2 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Rafael NadalNadalJannik SinnerSinner (7-64 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
  • Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian SchwartzmanDominic ThiemThiem (7-61 5-7 6-76 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
  • Mate Pavic/Bruno SoaresPavic/Bruno SoaresRajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicStefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (3-2) – H2H and prediction
  • Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian SchwartzmanRafael NadalNadal (1-9) – H2H and prediction