H2H, PREDICTION Rafael Nadal vs Jannik Sinner | French Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Paris. Nadal and Sinner will face off in the quarter of the French Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Jannik Sinner

Rafael Nadal and Jannik Sinner will play each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 9 pm on Court Philippe CHATRIER . Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.034
Jannik Sinner -> 15.5

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Jannik Sinner

There is no head to head record between Rafael Nadal and Jannik Sinner since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 2, Rafael reached the quarter after beating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-4 6-2, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-0 6-3, Stefano Travaglia 6-1 6-4 6-0 and Sebastian Korda 6-1 6-1 6-2.

In the 4th round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Korda (6-1 6-1 6-2). During the match Nadal scored 91 points vs Korda’s 55. Nadal was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nadal scored just 1 ace and he committed only 1 double fault. Rafael Nadal lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 68% of his first serves in, winning 62% (33/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the 2nd serve. Nadal broke Korda 8 times after converting 73% of his break points (8/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 63% of the points he played.

Nadal has a a solid record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (534-104). 6-1 on clay in 2020. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has a 239-24 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he defeated Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2.

The Spaniard has a 19-4 win-loss record in 2020, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the French Open

Nadal won the title last year in Roland-garros after ousting Dominic Thiem .

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 75, Jannik reached the quarter after defeating David Goffin 7-5 6-0 6-3, Benjamin Bonzi 6-2 6-4 6-4, Federico Coria 6-3 7-5 7-5 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the 4th round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Sinner scored 133 points vs Zverev’s 118. Jannik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 58 winners.

Talking about serving, Sinner recorded 3 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was very efficent on serve to win 72% (58/81) of his 1st serve and 53% (33/62) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Sinner broke Zverev 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Italian has a 11-11 win-loss record in 2020, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the French Open

Sinner didn’t compete at the French Open in 2019.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Sinner
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 12 13
Tot Games 95 125
Pts 344-203 445-362
Total Points 547 807
Winners 142 184
%Winners 41% 41%

Both Nadal and Sinner played 4 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner surrendered 1 set while Rafael Nadal hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set(s) less than Sinner (12 vs 13). Therefore, Nadal played 30 games less than Sinner. Nadal scored 142 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Sinner fired 184 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Sinner
Aces 7 8
Avg per match 1.8 2
1st in 192/283 265/416
%1st in 68% 64%
1st pts 142/192 184/265
%1st pts 74% 69%
2nd pts 63/91 81/151
%2nd pts 69% 54%

Nadal managed to score 7 aces (1.8 per match). Sinner struck 8 aces (2 per match). Nadal won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Sinner
Won 26 25
Converted 26/31 25/42
% Converted 84% 60%
Conceded 8 28
Saved 6 18
% Saved 75% 64%
Times Broken 2 10

Nadal broke his opponents 26 times with a 84% conversion rate. Nadal surrendered his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Jannik broke his opponents 25 times with a 60% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R1
Gerasimov
R2
Mcdonald
R3
Travaglia
R4
Korda
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-0 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-0 6-1 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 12
Tot Games 28 22 23 22 95
pts 88-60 85-47 80-41 91-55 344-203
Total points 148 132 121 146 547
Winners 37 37 35 33 142
%Winners 42% 44% 44% 36% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 2 1 7
Double Faults 2 4 0 1 7
1st in 45/71 49/72 45/62 53/78 192/283
% 1st in 63% 68% 73% 68% 68%
1st pts 37/45 37/49 35/45 33/53 142/192
% 1st pts 82% 76% 78% 62% 74%
2nd pts 17/26 14/23 14/17 18/25 63/91
% 2nd pts 65% 61% 82% 72% 69%
Breaks
Won 5 7 6 8 26
Converted 5/5 7/8 6/7 8/11 26/31
Converted % 100% 88% 86% 73% 84%
Conceded 2 0 0 6 8
Saved 1/2 0/0 0/0 5/6 6
Saved % 50% 83% 33%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1 2
Sinner
R1
Goffin
R2
Bonzi
R3
Coria
R4
Zverev
Total
Score 7-5 6-0 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-4 6-3 7-5 7-5 6-3 6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 3 4 13
Tot Games 27 28 33 37 125
pts 98-69 100-78 114-97 133-118 445-362
Total points 167 178 211 251 807
Winners 42 41 43 58 184
%Winners 43% 41% 38% 44% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 0 3 8
Double Faults 2 2 2 6 12
1st in 54/80 63/93 67/100 81/143 265/416
% 1st in 68% 68% 67% 57% 64%
1st pts 42/54 41/63 43/67 58/81 184/265
% 1st pts 78% 65% 64% 72% 69%
2nd pts 12/26 19/30 17/33 33/62 81/151
% 2nd pts 46% 63% 52% 53% 54%
Breaks
Won 7 6 7 5 25
Converted 7/11 6/13 7/12 5/6 25/42
Converted % 64% 46% 58% 83% 60%
Conceded 6 5 9 8 28
Saved 4/6 3/5 5/9 6/8 18
Saved % 67% 60% 56% 75% 65%
Times Broken 2 2 4 2 10

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nadal
LLWLWWWLWL
Sinner
LWWWWWWWWL
2024 2023 2022
7 - 5
33 - 3
2-1
Hard
17-1
0-0
I Hard
5-0
5-4
Clay
11-2

Tennis Scores at the French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw