H2H - Preview

H2H, PREDICTION Thiago Moura Monteiro vs Lorenzo Musetti | Forli Challenger odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Forli Challenger. Moura Monteiro and Musetti will fight against each other in the final of the Forli Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Mark Hall

26 September 2020

Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Lorenzo Musetti

Thiago Moura Monteiro and Lorenzo Musetti will play each other in the final of the Forli Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.44
Thiago Moura Monteiro -> 2.79

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

Prediction and head to head Thiago Moura Monteiro vs. Lorenzo Musetti

There is no head to head record between Thiago Moura Monteiro and Lorenzo Musetti since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Thiago Moura Monteiro

Ranked no. 89, the Brazilian got to the final after beating Francesco Forti 6-3 6-3, Raul Brancaccio 6-2 7-6⁴, Yuichi Sugita 6-1 7-6², Riccardo Bonadio 2-6 7-6² 6-4, Alexander Ritschard 7-6⁴ 6-3 and Andrea Pellegrino 6-4 4-6 6-1.

In the semifinal, Thiago defeated Pellegrino (6-4 4-6 6-1). During the match Moura Monteiro scored 93 points vs Pellegrino’s 76. Thiago was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Moura Monteiro managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Thiago Moura Monteiro lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Moura Monteiro put 70% of his first serves in, winning 71% (45/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Thiago broke Pellegrino 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Thiago has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Moura Monteiro has a winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (354-250). 17-6 on clay in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moura Monteiro has a 292-187 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Thiago’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Punta Del Este Challenger.

The Brazilian has a 22-13 win-loss record in 2020, 17-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year in the Forli Challenger

Moura Monteiro didn’t play in the Forli Challenger in 2019.

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 180 (career high), Lorenzo reached the final after beating Teimuraz Gabashvili 6-2 6-4, Frances Tiafoe 6-4 5-7 6-2, Andreas Seppi 6-3 6-1 and Lloyd Harris 4-6 6-0 4-1 ret..

In the semifinal against Lloyd, Musetti recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-0 4-1 ret.). During the match Musetti scored 80 points vs Lloyd’s 60. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was quite effective on serve to win 72% (33/46) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Lloyd 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Musetti’s best result of the current season was reaching the semi-finals in the Trieste Challenger and the Forli Challenger.

Musetti has a 24-11 win-loss record in 2020, 15-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year in the Forli Challenger

Lorenzo didn’t compete in the Forli Challenger in 2019.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moura Monteiro	Musetti
Match played	6	3
Tot Set	14	7
Tot Games	139	64
Pts	488-409	235-187
Total Points	897	422
Winners	234	97
%Winners	48%	41%

Moura Monteiro played 6 matches while Musetti competed in 3 matches. Moura Monteiro started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Thiago Moura Monteiro conceded 2 sets, while Lorenzo Musetti dropper 1 set. Moura Monteiro has played 7 sets more than Musetti (14 vs 7). Therefore, Moura Monteiro played 75 games more than Musetti. The Brazilian scored 234 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo fired 97 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moura Monteiro	Musetti
Aces	19	16
Avg per match	3.2	5.3
1st in	329/464	129/183
%1st in	71%	70%
1st pts	234/329	97/129
%1st pts	71%	75%
2nd pts	75/135	33/54
%2nd pts	56%	61%

Moura Monteiro bagged 19 aces (3.2 per match). Musetti made 16 aces (5.3 per match). Moura Monteiro won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moura Monteiro	Musetti
Won	18	12
Converted	18/34	12/37
% Converted	53%	32%
Conceded	39	9
Saved	31	6
% Saved	79%	67%
Times Broken	8	3

Thiago broke his opponents 18 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Brazilian dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 12 times with a 32% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

	Q1 Forti	Q3 Brancaccio	R1 Sugita	R2 Bonadio	1/4 Ritschard	1/2 Pellegrino	Total
Moura Monteiro
Score	6-3 6-3	6-2 7-6⁴	6-1 7-6²	2-6 7-6² 6-4	7-6⁴ 6-3	6-4 4-6 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	2	3	14
Tot Games	18	21	20	31	22	27	139
pts	66-53	76-58	64-46	113-114	76-62	93-76	488-409
Total points	119	134	110	227	138	169	897
Winners	29	35	29	59	37	45	234
%Winners	44%	46%	45%	52%	49%	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	3	6	3	3	19
Double Faults	0	3	1	1	1	4	10
1st in	39/60	51/70	38/52	88/125	50/67	63/90	329/464
% 1st in	65%	73%	73%	70%	75%	70%	71%
1st pts	29/39	35/51	29/38	59/88	37/50	45/63	234/329
% 1st pts	74%	69%	76%	67%	74%	71%	71%
2nd pts	12/21	11/19	10/14	17/37	12/17	13/27	75/135
% 2nd pts	57%	58%	71%	46%	71%	48%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	2	2	4	18
Converted	3/5	3/4	4/9	2/4	2/5	4/7	18/34
Converted %	60%	75%	44%	50%	40%	57%	53%
Conceded	2	5	2	19	2	9	39
Saved	2/2	4/5	1/2	16/19	1/2	7/9	31
Saved %	100%	80%	50%	84%	50%	78%	74%
Times Broken	0	1	1	3	1	2	8

	R1 Gabashvili	R2 Tiafoe	1/4 Seppi	1/2 Lloyd	Total
Musetti
Score	6-2 6-4	6-4 5-7 6-2	6-3 6-1	4-6 6-0 4-1 ret.
Tot Set	2	3	2	4	11
Tot Games	18	30	16	21	85
pts	72-52	97-92	66-43	80-60	315-247
Total points	124	189	109	140	562
Winners	29	46	22	33	130
%Winners	40%	47%	33%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	3	4	20
Double Faults	1	1	0	4	6
1st in	40/53	63/86	26/44	46/74	175/257
% 1st in	75%	73%	59%	62%	68%
1st pts	29/40	46/63	22/26	33/46	130/175
% 1st pts	73%	73%	85%	72%	74%
2nd pts	9/13	12/23	12/18	16/28	49/82
% 2nd pts	69%	52%	67%	57%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	4	4	4	16
Converted	4/16	4/10	4/11	4/8	16/45
Converted %	25%	40%	36%	50%	36%
Conceded	3	6	0	7	16
Saved	2/3	4/6	0/0	6/7	12
Saved %	67%	67%	–	86%	37%
Times Broken	1	2	0	1	4