H2H, PREDICTION Dominic Thiem vs Alexander Zverev | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Thiem and Zverev will fight against each other in the final of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Alexander Zverev

Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev will fight against each other in the final of the U.S. Open for the 10th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominic Thiem who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Dominic Thiem is the pick to win this match.
Dominic Thiem -> 1.4
Alexander Zverev -> 3.26

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Alexander Zverev

This will be the 10th time that Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev square off. The head to head is 7-2 for Thiem (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

Dominic Thiem

Ranked no. 3 (career high), Thiem got to the final after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-66 6-3 ret., Sumit Nagal 6-3 6-3 6-2, Marin Cilic 6-2 6-2 3-6 6-3, Felix Auger Aliassime 7-64 6-1 6-1, Alex De Minaur 6-1 6-2 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 6-2 7-67 7-65.

In the semifinal, Dominic had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-2 7-67 7-65). During the match Thiem scored 128 points vs Medvedev’s 112. The Austrian was very aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about the service games, Thiem recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Dominic Thiem was extremely efficent on serve to win 79% (53/67) of his 1st serve and 55% (26/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Austrian broke Medvedev 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dominic has conceded 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

Thiem has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (414-206). 13-4 on hard in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Thiem has a 116-76 record in the last years on hard.

Thiem’s best result of the current year was getting to the final at the Australian Open .

Dominic has a 15-5 win-loss record in 2020, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

The Austrian lost in the 1st round to Thomas Fabbiano.

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 7, Alexander got to the final after defeating Kevin Anderson 7-62 5-7 6-3 7-5, Brandon Nakashima 7-5 6-78 6-3 6-1, Adrian Mannarino 6-74 6-4 6-2 6-2, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 6-2 6-1, Borna Coric 1-6 7-65 7-61 6-3 and Pablo Carreno-Busta 3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal, The German had a tough win against Carreno-Busta to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-3). During the match Zverev scored 149 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 138. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 67 winners.

Talking about serving, Zverev buried his opponent with 24 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve 7 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 78% (67/86) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (19/52) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Carreno-Busta 8 times after converting 36% of his break points (8/22).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zverev has conceded 6 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Zverev’s best result of the current season was getting to the semi-finals at the Australian Open and at the U.S. Open .

Alexander has a 12-6 win-loss record in 2020, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

Zverev lost in the 4th round to Diego Sebastian Schwartzman.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Thiem Zverev
Match played 5 6
Tot Set 16 24
Tot Games 146 236
Pts 531-408 793-683
Total Points 939 1476
Winners 225 398
%Winners 42% 50%

Thiem played 5 matches while Zverev competed in 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Dominic Thiem conceded 1 set, while Alexander Zverev dropper 6 sets. Thiem has played 8 set(s) less than Zverev (16 vs 24). Therefore, Thiem played 90 games less than Zverev. Dominic scored 225 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 398 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Thiem Zverev
Aces 32 116
Avg per match 6.4 19.3
1st in 282/461 498/736
%1st in 61% 68%
1st pts 225/282 398/498
%1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 96/179 102/238
%2nd pts 54% 43%

Thiem made 32 aces (6.4 per match). Zverev blasted 116 aces (19.3 per match). Thiem won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Thiem Zverev
Won 29 34
Converted 29/62 34/64
% Converted 47% 53%
Conceded 34 56
Saved 26 40
% Saved 76% 71%
Times Broken 8 16

Dominic broke his opponents 29 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Austrian dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Zverev broke his opponents 34 times with a 53% conversion rate. Zverev conceded his serve 16 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Thiem
R1
Antoni Munar Clar
R2
Nagal
R3
Cilic
R4
Auger-Aliassime
1/4
De Minaur
1/2
Medvedev
Total
Score 7-66 6-3 ret. 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-2 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-64 6-1 6-1 6-1 6-2 6-4 6-2 7-67 7-65
Tot Set 3 3 4 3 3 3 19
Tot Games 22 26 34 27 25 34 168
pts 78-66 97-67 110-92 100-68 96-69 128-112 609-474
Total points 144 164 202 168 165 240 1083
Winners 31 35 53 40 44 53 256
%Winners 40% 36% 48% 40% 46% 41% 42%
SERVE
Aces 9 7 9 3 11 2 41
Double Faults 2 1 2 2 3 3 13
1st in 43/68 47/74 61/104 54/80 53/89 67/114 325/529
% 1st in 63% 64% 59% 68% 60% 59% 61%
1st pts 31/43 35/47 53/61 40/54 44/53 53/67 256/325
% 1st pts 72% 74% 87% 74% 83% 79% 79%
2nd pts 15/25 18/27 20/43 18/26 14/36 26/47 111/204
% 2nd pts 60% 67% 47% 69% 39% 55% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 7 5 6 7 4 32
Converted 3/10 7/15 5/10 6/14 7/13 4/10 32/72
Converted % 30% 47% 50% 43% 54% 40% 44%
Conceded 7 8 8 3 7 8 41
Saved 5/7 6/8 7/8 2/3 5/7 6/8 31
Saved % 71% 75% 88% 67% 71% 75% 75%
Times Broken 2 2 1 1 2 2 10
Zverev
R1
Anderson
R2
Nakashima
R3
Mannarino
R4
Davidovich Fokina
1/4
Coric
1/2
Carreno-Busta
Total
Score 7-62 5-7 6-3 7-5 7-5 6-78 6-3 6-1 6-74 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-2 6-2 6-1 1-6 7-65 7-61 6-3 3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 4 4 4 3 4 5 24
Tot Games 46 41 39 23 42 45 236
pts 140-126 143-123 131-106 94-58 136-132 149-138 793-683
Total points 266 266 237 152 268 287 1476
Winners 78 81 58 38 76 67 398
%Winners 56% 57% 44% 40% 56% 45% 50%
SERVE
Aces 18 24 14 18 18 24 116
Double Faults 6 10 11 2 12 8 49
1st in 91/135 97/129 73/116 51/77 100/141 86/138 498/736
% 1st in 67% 75% 63% 66% 71% 62% 68%
1st pts 78/91 81/97 58/73 38/51 76/100 67/86 398/498
% 1st pts 86% 84% 79% 75% 76% 78% 80%
2nd pts 20/44 11/32 22/43 13/26 17/41 19/52 102/238
% 2nd pts 45% 34% 51% 50% 41% 37% 43%
Breaks
Won 3 5 7 8 3 8 34
Converted 3/4 5/10 7/9 8/11 3/8 8/22 34/64
Converted % 75% 50% 78% 73% 38% 36% 53%
Conceded 5 5 8 7 15 16 56
Saved 3/5 5/5 6/8 6/7 11/15 9/16 40
Saved % 60% 100% 75% 86% 73% 56% 75%
Times Broken 2 0 2 1 4 7 16

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Thiem
LWLWLLLWLW
Zverev
WWWWWWWLWW
2024 2023 2022
6 - 9
29 - 9
2-2
Hard
18-6
4-7
Clay
11-3

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

  • Mate Pavic/Bruno SoaresPavic/Bruno SoaresWesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw