Dominic Thiem and Daniil Medvedev will face off in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5.30 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.79
Dominic Thiem -> 2.17

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Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Daniil Medvedev

This will be the 4^th time that Dominic Thiem and Daniil Medvedev square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Thiem (see full H2H stats), but Medvedev leads 1-0 on hard.

Dominic Thiem

Ranked no. 3 (career high), Dominic reached the semifinal after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-6⁶ 6-3 ret., Sumit Nagal 6-3 6-3 6-2, Marin Cilic 6-2 6-2 3-6 6-3, Felix Auger Aliassime 7-6⁴ 6-1 6-1 and Alex De Minaur 6-1 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, Dominic had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-1 6-2 6-4). During the match Thiem scored 96 points vs De Minaur’s 69. The Austrian was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Thiem fired 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Dominic Thiem lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Thiem put 60% of his first serves in, winning 83% (44/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (14/36) on the 2nd serve. The Austrian broke De Minaur 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Thiem has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Thiem has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (413-206). 12-4 on hard in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Thiem has a 115-76 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Thiem’s best result of the current year was reaching the final at the Australian Open .

The Austrian has a 14-5 win-loss record in 2020, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

Dominic had to surrender in the 1^st round to Thomas Fabbiano.

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 5, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Federico Delbonis 6-1 6-2 6-4, Christopher O Connell 6-3 6-2 6-4, Jeff Wolf 6-3 6-3 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 6-4 6-1 6-0 and Andrey Rublev 7-6⁶ 6-3 7-6⁵.

In the quarter, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-6⁶ 6-3 7-6⁵). During the match Medvedev scored 107 points vs Rublev’s 90. Daniil was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Talking about serving, Medvedev blasted 16 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was pretty effective on serve to win 89% (51/57) of his 1st serve and 65% (26/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniil was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Rublev once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a 15-5 win-loss record in 2020, 14-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

Medvedev had to surrender in the final to Rafael Nadal.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Thiem played 4 matches while Medvedev competed in 5 matches. At the moment, Dominic Thiem surrendered 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Thiem has played 2 set(s) less than Medvedev (13 vs 15). Therefore, Thiem played 24 games less than Medvedev. Dominic scored 172 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Daniil struck 183 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Thiem fired 30 aces (7.5 per match). Medvedev bagged 49 aces (9.8 per match). Thiem won 80% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Austrian broke his opponents 25 times with a 48% conversion rate. Thiem dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 25 times with a 52% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 1Slam
• 17Main
• 2Chall
• 5Minor

• 1Slam
• 21Main
• 1Chall
• 4Minor

Dominic
Thiem

3:3

Daniil
Medvedev

Rank

134

High

3

1Hard1

1Clay0

1I.hard2

Rank

5

High

1

Win Loss

Thiem

LLWLWLLLWL

Medvedev

WWWWLWLWWW

2024 2023 2022

6 - 10

32 - 9

2-2

Hard

18-4

4-7

Clay

9-4

0-1

Grass

5-1

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

• Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (7-6³ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Dominic ThiemThiem (1-2) – H2H and prediction

Thiem

More Stats

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Medvedev